Made-Up-Succotash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$615

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-09 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

45% 100% +$35

Sports

9% 0% $-55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	10	$115	2,409	0	+2,409	open	—	03-06 18:22
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$75	785	0	+785	open	—	01-13 19:38
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$55	1,538	0	+1,538	No	$-55	03-24 00:16
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$55	56	56	+0	Yes	+$35	05-02 23:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$50	245	0	+245	open	—	01-13 19:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	3	$33	410	0	+410	open	—	02-24 23:36
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$25	108	0	+108	open	—	07-09 20:02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$20	396	0	+396	open	—	05-12 23:18
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$20	230	0	+230	open	—	01-12 19:00
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	1	$20	270	0	+270	open	—	02-25 21:53
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	1	$15	83	0	+83	open	—	07-03 17:57
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	2	$11	367	0	+367	open	—	03-06 18:22
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$10	884	0	+884	open	—	03-14 01:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	01-12 18:58
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$10	120	0	+120	open	—	02-25 21:55
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-12 23:15
open up or down on january 13 2026	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	01-12 18:48
will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	1	$5	101	0	+101	open	—	02-24 23:30
will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	02-24 23:24
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	02-24 23:24
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	1	$5	192	0	+192	open	—	02-24 23:24
will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$5	39	0	+39	open	—	02-24 23:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	03-06 18:26
will the state of the union be 80 minutes or longer	1	$5	107	0	+107	open	—	02-24 23:26
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 draw	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	02-22 16:43
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 goals mohamed salah gte2	1	$5	89	0	+89	open	—	07-03 17:58
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$3	60	0	+60	open	—	03-14 01:38
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	02-24 23:26
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	1	$2	14	0	+14	open	—	02-24 23:24
will jd vance clap between 5059 times during the state of the union	1	$2	88	0	+88	open	—	02-24 23:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:02:44	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x3e3295…
07-03 17:58:05	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 goals mohamed salah gte2	Yes	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xbd9105…
07-03 17:57:29	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xef0517…
05-12 23:18:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x46680c…
05-12 23:15:14	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x57f73b…
05-12 23:15:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x1755a2…
05-02 23:06:36	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0x6e4a70…
03-24 00:16:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	536	5¢	$25	0x4e055c…
03-15 18:36:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,002	3¢	$30	0x685cef…
03-14 01:38:25	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xe15efe…
03-14 01:35:07	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	884	1¢	$10	0x2a528a…
03-06 18:26:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x37eaba…
03-06 18:22:55	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5e3dd6…
03-06 18:22:43	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x3c4f3a…
03-06 18:22:31	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xaca591…
02-25 21:55:12	Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x7e024c…
02-25 21:53:06	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$20	0xbf2988…
02-24 23:40:20	will trump say zohran or mamdani during the state of the union address 273	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc6e381…
02-24 23:40:14	will trump say reza or pahlavi during the state of the union address 692	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf1215f…
02-24 23:40:06	will trump say prince mohammed during the state of the union address 763	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x47f948…
02-24 23:36:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xba9bb7…
02-24 23:32:38	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x277b33…
02-24 23:32:32	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0f4501…
02-24 23:32:22	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3e90bc…
02-24 23:32:18	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa926fc…
02-24 23:30:48	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xfac2b7…
02-24 23:30:44	will jd vance clap between 6069 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xba199c…
02-24 23:30:40	will jd vance clap between 5059 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xc4fa0a…
02-24 23:30:32	will jd vance clap between 4049 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8ef1b7…
02-24 23:30:26	will jd vance clap between 3039 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x8b1ca4…
02-24 23:30:20	will jd vance clap between 2029 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xde0f5e…
02-24 23:29:52	will jd vance clap 100 times or more during the state of the union	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf71e74…
02-24 23:29:10	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x2984a0…
02-24 23:29:02	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x18fb9c…
02-24 23:29:00	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xb262a5…
02-24 23:26:30	will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xff2ebb…
02-24 23:26:22	will the state of the union be 80 minutes or longer	No	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xf7ccaf…
02-24 23:25:20	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x618985…
02-24 23:24:58	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x2f3130…
02-24 23:24:38	will trump say hottest during the 2026 state of the union address 491	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x559cde…
02-24 23:24:24	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcf2262…
02-24 23:24:14	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x294fef…
02-24 23:24:12	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1e09a1…
02-22 16:43:10	epl tot ars 2026 02 22 draw	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe7ef01…
02-22 16:40:30	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa43b35…
02-22 16:29:48	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xe3fef4…
02-22 16:28:42	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xbe043a…
02-22 16:28:34	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x94f35f…
02-22 16:28:26	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	271	2¢	$5	0x58cb09…
01-22 23:59:30	will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x05eee5…
01-22 23:58:48	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0x66bee6…
01-13 19:39:16	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x675dff…
01-13 19:38:58	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0xe61519…
01-12 19:02:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xe13300…
01-12 19:00:15	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x0941a4…
01-12 19:00:03	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	230	9¢	$20	0xbb0de8…
01-12 18:59:55	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1,012	5¢	$50	0xac46f5…
01-12 18:58:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd81f2b…
01-12 18:48:27	open up or down on january 13 2026	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8e8721…
01-12 18:39:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x1cbd26…
01-12 18:38:27	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x511b14…