Disguised-Native — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$96

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 11% $-52

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	4	$28	92	0	+92	Down	$-28	05-11 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$16	25	25	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	8	$12	71	21	+50	Up	+$0	05-10 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$6	10	10	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$4	13	2	+11	Up	$-2	05-10 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$4	12	2	+10	Up	+$0	05-10 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$4	11	3	+8	Down	$-0	05-10 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$3	50	10	+40	Up	$-3	05-10 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-10 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$3	13	0	+13	Down	$-3	05-10 17:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-11 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-10 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$2	5	4	+1	Down	$-1	05-10 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-10 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-10 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-10 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-10 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc818e9…
05-11 14:34:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97f225…
05-10 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xccfbdb…
05-10 18:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xfef430…
05-10 18:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x10dd69…
05-10 17:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x19b339…
05-10 17:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2356dd…
05-10 17:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa87f8a…
05-10 17:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcfdf60…
05-10 17:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x670400…
05-10 17:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x55fb65…
05-10 17:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x2103c2…
05-10 17:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8bf41f…
05-10 17:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6668d4…
05-10 17:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5e04e9…
05-10 17:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc03580…
05-10 17:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x560430…
05-10 17:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbe9cfc…
05-10 17:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x588707…
05-10 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xdde46a…
05-10 17:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x16ae5e…
05-10 17:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xe3b9e6…
05-10 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5c3804…
05-10 17:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x10bdf3…
05-10 17:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5d88e2…
05-10 17:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5f7af3…
05-10 17:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xaaa0d7…
05-10 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x79e252…
05-10 17:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x576000…
05-10 17:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4463f4…
05-10 16:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe9959d…
05-10 16:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaaf4d2…
05-10 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd175eb…
05-10 16:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33d7d3…
05-10 16:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x81395f…
05-10 16:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7fa2ab…
05-10 16:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x1055d7…
05-10 16:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xab2e79…
05-10 16:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf4b713…
05-10 16:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa2df65…
05-10 16:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xccf497…
05-10 16:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd46c93…
05-10 16:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c305f…
05-10 16:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbb730f…
05-10 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x211e0c…
05-10 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x795aae…
05-10 16:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd9e893…
05-10 16:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x47e904…