Black-Uniformity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-15 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 27% +$4

Other

26% — —

Politics

11% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 12:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	11	$31	37	30	+7	open	—	05-07 11:16
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	6	$17	15	15	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 16:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$17	33	33	+0	open	—	05-07 10:55
lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	open	—	05-15 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$6	5	3	+3	open	—	05-15 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$3	22	0	+22	Up	$-3	05-09 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-09 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-10 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	13	0	+13	Up	+$11	05-09 17:20
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-09 10:16
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 13:49
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-09 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-11 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-11 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Down	+$6	05-10 07:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-11 14:01
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	03-16 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 17:43
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 17:54:50	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03c98f…
05-15 17:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xd8f086…
05-15 17:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x65e617…
05-15 17:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4168f…
05-15 17:49:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7b249c…
05-15 17:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x84e7c4…
05-15 17:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x71eeb1…
05-15 17:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x20f2b5…
05-15 17:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc4102e…
05-15 17:35:17	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8c13b9…
05-15 17:35:17	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x213ce1…
05-15 17:34:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c239a…
05-15 17:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad33f7…
05-15 17:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x149593…
05-15 17:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x01a9f9…
05-15 17:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc8fcea…
05-15 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d65f1…
05-15 17:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5a0a10…
05-15 17:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc0de8b…
05-15 17:28:00	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0cf8a3…
05-15 17:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x2046a9…
05-15 17:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0d3c99…
05-15 17:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa6d330…
05-15 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8a76a2…
05-15 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3cac4d…
05-15 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f42c4…
05-15 17:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46c266…
05-15 17:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5fef74…
05-15 13:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3abc30…
05-15 13:49:08	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x45e94c…
05-15 13:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x341ce8…
05-15 13:48:34	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb65011…
05-11 14:01:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x646d5d…
05-11 09:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x3d11df…
05-11 04:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x585b53…
05-10 07:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x4eaa86…
05-10 05:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x273511…
05-09 17:20:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xce0830…
05-09 13:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x7ff3e0…
05-09 13:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x1e8dec…
05-09 13:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xbf9afb…
05-09 10:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8180b4…
05-09 09:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdd8b77…
05-07 16:21:07	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe5c675…
05-07 16:20:37	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x244b8c…
05-07 12:04:00	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe690e8…
05-07 12:03:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd49577…
05-07 11:16:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x8e333d…
05-07 11:16:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x13e164…
05-07 10:55:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xd2c996…
05-07 10:55:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd6e4d6…
05-07 10:50:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x9bc43d…
05-07 09:41:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbd3cdf…
05-07 09:40:23	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc0671d…
05-07 09:40:01	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf67738…
05-07 09:16:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x0a434f…
05-07 09:15:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x8126ef…
05-07 08:10:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb998ee…
05-07 08:09:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x61f38e…
05-07 07:35:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x68599c…
05-07 07:21:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb6c166…
05-06 09:06:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x45b003…
05-06 08:38:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6ccf67…
05-06 07:53:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xe587f6…
05-06 07:38:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x39b235…
05-06 04:08:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xe31edf…
04-30 12:46:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x69b42f…
04-30 12:46:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa36a33…
04-30 12:40:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x2a068a…
04-30 12:40:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x54970c…
04-30 12:01:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x9e22e6…
04-30 12:00:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3ba544…
04-30 11:59:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x286b58…
04-30 11:57:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5baff2…
03-16 20:15:43	lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	G2 Esports	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a4fe9…
03-16 17:30:35	lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16	G2 Esports	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc6e41a…
03-16 12:42:35	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd1b3a3…