Sparkling-Target — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$3.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-13 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 48% $-86

Politics

39% — —

Other

11% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$413	533	533	+0	open	—	01-13 04:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$268	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	01-16 16:19
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$219	517	517	+0	open	—	01-12 04:24
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$173	192	96	+96	open	—	01-12 17:52
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	5	$146	136	136	+0	open	—	01-04 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$135	1,586	1,400	+186	Down	$-75	05-12 07:18
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$121	122	122	+0	open	—	01-15 23:18
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$100	388	0	+388	open	—	01-13 04:42
will trump meet with reza pahlavi by january 31	2	$95	189	189	+0	open	—	01-13 05:02
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by june 30	3	$92	62	62	+0	open	—	01-11 16:57
will any minnesota politician be charged with fraud by march 31	2	$78	47	47	+0	open	—	01-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$55	78	70	+7	open	—	05-02 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-30 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$42	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	05-11 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	6	$42	69	24	+44	Down	+$2	05-06 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$37	36	20	+17	Up	$-3	05-11 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$35	33	19	+15	Up	+$3	05-06 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$28	36	20	+16	open	—	05-02 00:23
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	2	$28	227	227	+0	open	—	01-11 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$27	38	24	+14	open	—	05-02 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$27	23	14	+9	Down	+$1	05-06 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$26	20	20	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$25	22	22	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 23:59
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	2	$24	115	115	+0	open	—	01-04 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 01:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x67cc1f…
05-13 01:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x491760…
05-13 01:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x11fb00…
05-13 01:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x21063b…
05-13 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb17490…
05-13 00:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x482332…
05-13 00:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x58d15a…
05-13 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe3f7bf…
05-13 00:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x707fba…
05-13 00:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf84c12…
05-13 00:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x53c8c8…
05-13 00:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x52a199…
05-13 00:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f9022…
05-13 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xae36e5…
05-13 00:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x819652…
05-13 00:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7f4ece…
05-13 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x15adf7…
05-13 00:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8f0094…
05-13 00:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8ba1cc…
05-13 00:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcd1b0f…
05-13 00:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x992c20…
05-12 08:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x87839f…
05-12 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1ee67d…
05-12 08:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x9c9463…
05-12 08:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe9b9e7…
05-12 08:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x687b29…
05-12 07:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5e209a…
05-12 07:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x72557c…
05-12 07:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5040cb…
05-12 07:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a78c3…
05-12 07:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x89bdaf…
05-12 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3681cd…
05-12 07:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x66e0b2…
05-12 07:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x70f0f7…
05-12 07:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c9232…
05-12 07:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1,400	2¢	$30	0x09c352…
05-12 07:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,503	7¢	$100	0xd07ddd…
05-12 07:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x351a41…
05-12 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xe3afe3…
05-12 00:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x281d77…
05-12 00:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x9981b4…
05-12 00:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x16de21…
05-12 00:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5d69c1…
05-12 00:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0eeabe…
05-12 00:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf7a9b9…
05-12 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x91580a…
05-12 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf96ced…
05-12 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x112d5a…
05-12 00:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8109d6…
05-12 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9a0fe7…
05-11 22:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xeadb72…
05-11 22:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf5fefd…
05-11 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x061830…
05-11 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xbe5010…
05-11 21:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5a3c03…
05-11 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x820389…
05-11 19:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xa76c85…
05-11 19:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x525724…
05-11 19:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x85182b…
05-11 19:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7a9f5…
05-11 19:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x9fa20f…
05-11 19:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5e2512…
05-11 18:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6143c9…
05-11 18:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x67adeb…
05-11 18:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x5473af…
05-11 18:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xade060…
05-11 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9abc3b…
05-11 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0xfb8a89…
05-11 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xcaec1b…
05-11 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x89d65a…
05-11 18:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe9f7f9…
05-11 18:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2e29ec…
05-11 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7680b2…
05-11 17:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$17	0xc7f69d…
05-11 17:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa5947b…
05-11 17:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2877f9…
05-11 17:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x51d714…
05-11 17:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x23d917…
05-11 17:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbe748c…
05-11 17:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x94fc49…
05-11 16:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb89409…
05-11 15:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4dae39…
05-11 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x481799…
05-11 09:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x2264e1…
05-11 09:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x703540…
05-11 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x232207…
05-11 09:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x48febc…
05-11 09:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xaa8b61…
05-11 09:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xea6298…
05-11 08:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x2a7730…
05-11 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x946609…
05-11 08:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x088d57…
05-11 08:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xc2babe…
05-11 08:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3a06f7…
05-11 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x9d15bd…
05-11 08:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x639a57…
05-11 08:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x14b30e…
05-11 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x248aa9…
05-11 08:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x2318bc…
05-11 08:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x40b60c…