Calm-Intensity-Toffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-18 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$11

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

8% 0% $-31

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	4	$647	722	722	+0	open	—	04-30 19:01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	2	$310	204	204	+0	open	—	04-30 11:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$230	121	121	+0	open	—	04-29 12:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	04-30 12:04
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	1	$150	239	0	+239	open	—	04-30 13:05
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	1	$150	234	0	+234	open	—	04-30 13:05
Stars vs. Wild	2	$133	87	87	+0	open	—	05-01 02:22
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	2	$128	76	76	+0	open	—	04-30 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$126	71	71	+0	open	—	05-01 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	2	$123	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 12:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	5	$106	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-28 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	04-27 10:50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$65	90	0	+90	open	—	05-01 16:16
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$64	102	0	+102	open	—	05-01 15:17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$51	120	0	+120	open	—	05-01 05:57
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-30 19:22
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$48	87	0	+87	open	—	04-30 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	2	$47	36	35	+1	open	—	04-28 06:46
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$41	43	43	+0	HANJIN BRION	+$11	05-07 10:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 21:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 21:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 21:22
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	1	$31	60	0	+60	76ers	$-31	05-06 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-12 00:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 21:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 16:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 08:56
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 16:19:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x2332f8…
05-18 16:18:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x8b83da…
05-15 22:18:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x3c9f77…
05-15 20:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x299ec2…
05-12 00:21:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9fdeb3…
05-11 15:29:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5bccde…
05-11 15:27:04	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x25762f…
05-11 15:27:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x01deab…
05-11 15:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0d5f5a…
05-11 15:26:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x293b04…
05-11 05:46:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xde6c03…
05-11 05:46:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x467845…
05-11 05:45:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xb1d824…
05-10 22:24:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xca880c…
05-10 15:36:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x49669e…
05-07 10:47:42	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0xffe991…
05-07 08:16:53	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x454524…
05-06 21:02:51	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	Knicks	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x442f22…
05-01 16:16:36	Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	G2	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0x741840…
05-01 15:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	71	93¢	$66	0x038c63…
05-01 15:17:10	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	102	63¢	$64	0xd9c5dd…
05-01 12:48:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x3759bb…
05-01 05:57:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	120	42¢	$51	0x7dbc15…
05-01 05:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	65	90¢	$58	0xb570e3…
05-01 02:22:04	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	87	100¢	$86	0xefb917…
04-30 20:09:38	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xe5272c…
04-30 19:22:30	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	87	55¢	$48	0x83ce9e…
04-30 19:22:28	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xf18914…
04-30 19:22:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	76	69¢	$52	0x7e9c82…
04-30 19:22:24	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x7955d4…
04-30 19:01:40	LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xd2406c…
04-30 16:22:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4db941…
04-30 13:22:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0xca5640…
04-30 13:06:36	LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	GIANTX	BUY	205	72¢	$148	0x166510…
04-30 13:06:14	LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Heretics	SELL	517	28¢	$145	0xf20384…
04-30 13:05:14	LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	SK Gaming	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0x1c9d7e…
04-30 13:05:12	LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Heretics	BUY	517	29¢	$150	0x7fa754…
04-30 13:05:06	LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	239	63¢	$150	0x4bc0a9…
04-30 12:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$89	0xb098bd…
04-30 11:28:36	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	SELL	204	97¢	$198	0x4c9f13…
04-30 09:42:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xd88c9a…
04-30 07:16:28	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LGD Gaming	BUY	204	55¢	$112	0x957acb…
04-30 02:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x84e4db…
04-30 01:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x9eebee…
04-29 21:23:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf0f7dd…
04-29 21:23:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf0e4a8…
04-29 21:22:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf87ee8…
04-29 21:15:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xccbed1…
04-29 21:02:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xf62b8d…
04-29 12:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x6487b7…
04-29 08:17:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x34411d…
04-28 13:21:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0x8f7b82…
04-28 07:05:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x312202…
04-28 06:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0xe3b6dc…
04-27 10:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x691f21…
04-27 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x231164…
04-27 10:08:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbdf3e0…
04-27 10:08:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9b1d11…
04-27 10:08:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x9748d9…
04-27 08:56:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe07564…
04-27 08:56:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xbaa874…
04-27 08:56:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae04ae…
04-27 07:34:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x7ae961…
04-27 07:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xdc8998…
04-27 06:29:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd3a3ee…
04-27 06:05:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x71638f…
04-26 21:00:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xa30280…
04-26 20:59:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf171bd…