Flustered-Octave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-20 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 46% $-3

Other

5% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-12 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 05:22
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	$1	0	1	-1	Beijing Ducks	$-0	05-12 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-13 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-13 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-13 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-13 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-13 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-13 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-13 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6bacdc…
05-15 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x55a4cc…
05-15 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x237b1c…
05-13 06:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xff5464…
05-13 06:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x77c2d1…
05-13 05:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xfdecce…
05-13 05:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x93fa47…
05-13 05:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x158d34…
05-13 05:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xec118c…
05-13 05:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdd10bb…
05-13 05:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc17bc0…
05-13 05:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6c882…
05-13 05:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xef90d6…
05-13 04:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4d8816…
05-13 04:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x494b4a…
05-13 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb1aef8…
05-13 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x433b8c…
05-12 13:42:24	Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Beijing Ducks	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa1b248…
05-12 07:14:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf4593f…