Improbable-Anarchist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 33% $-1

Sports

20% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	8	$1.3K	653	653	+0	No	$-1	04-07 22:25
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$736	369	369	+0	open	—	04-19 11:16
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$662	332	332	+0	open	—	03-25 03:14
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	03-28 04:44
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 13:37
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$396	198	198	+0	open	—	03-29 03:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$386	194	194	+0	open	—	04-10 08:52
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	04-19 22:08
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	04-03 17:16
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$346	174	174	+0	open	—	04-11 23:11
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	04-12 10:57
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$344	172	172	+0	open	—	03-22 18:38
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$342	171	171	+0	open	—	04-14 21:22
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$336	168	168	+0	open	—	03-25 21:02
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$331	166	166	+0	No	$-0	04-21 09:40
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$324	162	162	+0	open	—	04-06 17:36
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$312	156	156	+0	No	+$0	03-29 22:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$310	155	155	+0	open	—	03-24 05:11
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	03-30 09:53
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	04-16 04:41
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	03-21 00:17
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	02-27 22:16
nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	03-03 21:54
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	2	$39	77	0	+77	open	—	03-31 23:29
nba min dal 2026 03 30	1	$36	47	0	+47	open	—	03-30 23:09
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	1	$31	43	0	+43	open	—	03-21 20:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-28 22:47
will ethereum dip to 1600 march 2 8	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-08 23:03
nba por lac 2026 03 31	1	$26	40	0	+40	open	—	03-31 23:28
nba bkn por 2026 03 23	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 22:47:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4380b0…
04-21 09:40:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$165	0xdbd231…
04-21 04:44:44	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xbcfd6c…
04-19 22:08:56	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x1feee6…
04-19 13:54:04	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x758956…
04-19 11:16:26	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0xd3091d…
04-19 08:21:00	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0x189aad…
04-16 04:41:22	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x26a936…
04-15 22:21:44	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xa1a7e8…
04-14 21:22:20	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xcc5b07…
04-14 16:51:36	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x671a90…
04-12 10:57:37	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x6eec8a…
04-12 07:31:05	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0xd0837c…
04-11 23:11:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xe61b48…
04-11 19:45:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x3e3b54…
04-10 08:52:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x89569d…
04-08 20:40:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0xb39f95…
04-07 22:25:41	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x60389a…
04-07 19:03:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xfb2782…
04-06 17:36:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x193f59…
04-06 16:34:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x3db79d…
04-06 07:58:33	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$176	0x5c1b3a…
04-06 06:37:55	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0xc322bb…
04-04 10:19:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x1274d3…
04-04 09:11:25	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0xd0bf22…
04-03 23:17:33	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xb18f4e…
04-03 20:45:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7cffe0…
04-03 17:16:01	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x52e740…
04-03 12:01:55	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x6421e0…
04-03 04:43:11	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xfd04bf…
04-03 00:16:47	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xcac0da…
03-31 23:29:33	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0xa5c89b…
03-31 23:29:05	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Lakers	BUY	38	54¢	$20	0x20b65e…
03-31 23:28:37	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Clippers	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xfd4033…
03-31 18:47:51	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Rockets	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xa4ed1f…
03-30 23:09:03	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Timberwolves	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0xab9703…
03-30 09:53:08	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x980815…
03-30 06:01:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf114ae…
03-29 22:18:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xd74c55…
03-29 22:13:22	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x4ad4c6…
03-29 18:26:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x590927…
03-29 03:00:02	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0x245bfb…
03-28 22:14:40	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	198	100¢	$198	0x244693…
03-28 04:44:13	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0xb2419f…
03-27 14:17:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0xc60fdf…
03-25 21:03:33	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Jazz	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xdd783e…
03-25 21:03:03	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x73db7d…
03-25 21:02:41	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xf60718…
03-25 13:37:55	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xf58860…
03-25 13:37:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xbdd6fb…
03-25 08:25:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xe97d2f…
03-25 03:14:27	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x7da687…
03-24 15:56:03	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0xe37067…
03-24 05:11:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xb32c45…
03-23 23:59:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x98ebde…
03-23 18:24:13	nba bkn por 2026 03 23	Trail Blazers	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x890b81…
03-23 15:26:59	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x8e9a77…
03-23 10:14:35	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x86a9ea…
03-22 18:38:29	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x953dd7…
03-22 13:27:41	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xa86701…
03-21 20:46:27	nba lal orl 2026 03 21	Magic	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xcda2ca…
03-21 20:45:59	nba mia hou 2026 03 21	Rockets	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x899904…
03-21 20:45:27	nba lac dal 2026 03 21	Clippers	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0xc915bf…
03-21 00:17:51	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xb646b5…
03-19 03:18:59	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xa2b612…
03-08 23:03:41	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 2 8	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8e029f…
03-03 21:55:07	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x1f85cc…
03-03 21:54:37	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xb12790…
02-27 22:16:11	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x0bfc68…
02-25 20:54:14	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x69f8ee…