Reasonable-Fight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-02 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$0

Other

24% — —

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	1	$127	127	+127	open	—	01-29 09:22
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$126	126	+126	open	—	01-20 07:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	1	$126	126	+126	open	—	01-07 07:42
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$126	126	+126	open	—	01-24 09:26
ethereum above 3600 on january 16	1	$125	125	+125	open	—	01-16 09:32
ethereum above 2500 on january 3	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	01-02 09:26
bitcoin above 94k on january 11	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	01-11 11:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 3	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	02-02 09:20
ethereum above 2600 on february 9	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	02-08 10:42
ethereum above 2500 on march 1	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-01 02:55
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-11 11:04
ethereum above 2400 on march 5	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-05 09:47
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	06-07 07:25
bitcoin above 76k on february 15	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	02-15 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-03 02:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-27 11:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$100	100	+100	Yes	+$0	05-08 01:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-11 09:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 16	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-16 02:16
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 480 499	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-03 07:47
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-20 07:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-27 03:59
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-22 07:34
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-13 09:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 440 459	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-18 07:15
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 420 439	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	03-25 08:55
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-09 07:40
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	03-30 03:47
cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02	1	$16	46	+46	open	—	02-02 09:09
will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	08-02 08:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 08:51:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc31dbb…
06-07 07:25:36	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x207420…
05-27 11:03:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62b096…
05-11 09:55:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x49f5de…
05-08 01:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x73d247…
05-03 02:21:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50b0c4…
04-27 03:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xbfd8bc…
04-22 07:34:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 340 359	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbd393f…
04-18 07:15:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 440 459	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x20802b…
04-13 09:44:05	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x9212f3…
04-09 07:40:17	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 190 214	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa77cd0…
04-09 07:40:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa86a44…
04-09 07:39:33	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e2ed9…
04-09 07:39:23	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x00e2f8…
04-03 07:47:33	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 480 499	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x86b7e2…
03-30 03:47:50	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x820118…
03-25 08:55:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 420 439	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2724fb…
03-20 07:30:29	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xc6b1b8…
03-20 07:30:17	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	No	BUY	1,400	0¢	$3	0x8e3c97…
03-16 02:16:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe43bbc…
03-16 02:16:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 400 419	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$4	0xf1ca1f…
03-11 11:04:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf658fe…
03-05 09:47:11	ethereum above 2400 on march 5	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfb3e7b…
03-05 09:46:51	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb55057…
03-05 09:46:41	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa90182…
03-01 02:55:31	ethereum above 2500 on march 1	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x202ab2…
02-15 05:15:45	bitcoin above 76k on february 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd9b881…
02-15 05:15:35	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 215 239	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa899b0…
02-15 05:15:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83948f…
02-15 05:15:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 480 499	Yes	BUY	1,750	0¢	$4	0xfdbffb…
02-08 10:42:15	ethereum above 2600 on february 9	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x34a960…
02-08 10:41:53	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e788d…
02-08 10:37:33	bitcoin above 76k on february 8	Yes	BUY	2,400	0¢	$5	0x298816…
02-02 09:20:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 3	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x1badb7…
02-02 09:20:00	will the highest temperature in london be 10c on february 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedb291…
02-02 09:19:48	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fdac8…
02-02 09:19:34	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf924c…
02-02 09:09:44	cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02	BC.Game Esports	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x770857…
01-29 09:22:08	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3282f6…
01-24 09:26:04	bitcoin above 96k on january 25	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x3a071b…
01-20 07:39:42	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xaf4ab0…
01-16 09:32:14	ethereum above 3600 on january 16	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x368f3c…
01-11 11:15:14	bitcoin above 94k on january 11	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x914d3c…
01-11 11:15:02	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1000 1039	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13b8df…
01-11 11:14:54	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaad15…
01-07 07:42:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 8	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x5e1980…
01-02 09:26:43	ethereum above 2500 on january 3	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xae1f6d…
01-02 09:26:31	will israel strike gaza on january 1 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe8a335…
01-02 09:26:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aad34…
01-02 09:26:07	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c9fc3…