Aching-Grape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

110

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$759

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-12 18:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 58% $-30

Politics

21% — —

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$66	41	41	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	Up	+$15	05-08 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$53	29	29	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 01:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	04-04 15:13
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 22:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$26	21	11	+10	open	—	04-06 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$26	32	20	+12	Up	+$7	05-08 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$25	71	0	+71	Down	$-25	05-08 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Up	$-25	05-08 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$25	60	0	+60	Up	+$35	05-08 11:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 23:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	04-06 13:17
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	03-27 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 01:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	03-26 17:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-25 23:21
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	03-26 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$11	23	0	+23	Up	$-11	05-08 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-10 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-10 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-08 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Down	$-10	05-08 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-10	05-08 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-10 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	05-10 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Down	$-5	05-08 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$5	15	0	+15	Up	$-5	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-08 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Up	$-5	05-08 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x22e424…
05-12 18:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3889ac…
05-12 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6293ce…
05-12 12:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7e503a…
05-12 12:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf7817c…
05-12 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x422e74…
05-12 12:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa769e5…
05-12 11:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0e511c…
05-12 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xda6638…
05-12 10:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7f475…
05-12 10:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3b25a9…
05-11 22:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb4aa26…
05-11 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3120ca…
05-11 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x47ee7d…
05-11 21:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8220b3…
05-11 20:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xba0a6c…
05-11 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1f63c6…
05-11 19:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9e6c6d…
05-11 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6f1906…
05-11 19:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4ef472…
05-11 19:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x328a8e…
05-11 17:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x24aa7d…
05-11 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc79e4c…
05-11 16:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3371fd…
05-11 16:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xdb0aeb…
05-11 16:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x619ea5…
05-11 16:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda95e1…
05-11 16:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x054ce8…
05-11 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa4f720…
05-11 16:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x548a1d…
05-11 16:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x42afb6…
05-11 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x866cb8…
05-11 15:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07663d…
05-11 15:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x356db3…
05-11 15:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x50fdf0…
05-11 15:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xebf7a3…
05-11 15:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf26ca8…
05-11 15:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x16fe0f…
05-11 15:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb59ac6…
05-11 14:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc0da64…
05-11 12:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x85dd17…
05-11 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9619da…
05-11 12:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf7f7e1…
05-11 12:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x102e41…
05-11 12:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa3e0d6…
05-11 12:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3a37ae…
05-11 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x575048…
05-11 12:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb76d56…
05-11 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1e3719…
05-11 11:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6d10de…
05-11 11:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x86c3ab…
05-11 11:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa1b86d…
05-11 11:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x25256a…
05-11 11:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe893e6…
05-11 11:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeddccc…
05-11 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x06a319…
05-11 11:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7cbe70…
05-10 23:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfcf411…
05-10 23:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x440566…
05-10 22:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x138551…
05-10 22:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7839a0…
05-10 22:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe61354…
05-10 22:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1d0a7d…
05-10 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x0084e6…
05-10 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb938a5…
05-10 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe0863d…
05-10 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeb0db4…
05-10 18:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xccd228…
05-10 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0a5bce…
05-10 18:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x48ccf7…
05-10 14:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x34dd52…
05-10 09:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9c6672…
05-10 09:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbf6b50…
05-09 22:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x51ca72…
05-09 21:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3112ad…
05-09 21:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03144d…
05-09 21:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bcf27…
05-09 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4bc4aa…
05-08 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x045996…
05-08 16:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe724a7…
05-08 16:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x12908f…
05-08 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x117fbc…
05-08 15:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2ae2ab…
05-08 15:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x945e11…
05-08 14:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x75a680…
05-08 14:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3d0e60…
05-08 14:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x10c29a…
05-08 14:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x79a06d…
05-08 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xecf839…
05-08 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6e6f74…
05-08 14:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb9cc99…
05-08 14:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb0dd25…
05-08 14:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0864a4…
05-08 14:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xbbc2aa…
05-08 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8dfc1a…
05-08 13:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59c051…
05-08 13:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5adc00…
05-08 13:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xafff3c…
05-08 13:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4de99d…
05-08 13:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf7329d…