Immaterial-Cappelletti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-17 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% $-3

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	7	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	04-30 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$8	295	35	+260	open	—	05-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$6	3	8	-5	Down	+$0	05-08 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-02 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-02 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$3	6	5	+1	Up	$-0	05-08 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$2	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$1	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$1	4	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-08 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb81b1d…
05-09 18:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xc2523a…
05-09 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x594747…
05-09 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xeabd16…
05-09 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x65e91a…
05-09 18:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x98be70…
05-09 18:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf111ae…
05-09 18:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9f0411…
05-08 20:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x937b65…
05-08 20:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb34936…
05-08 20:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x51fe10…
05-08 20:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4eab72…
05-08 20:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe769d7…
05-08 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x870b13…
05-08 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x98a739…
05-08 20:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x33fa17…
05-08 20:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xdde159…
05-08 20:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x78a4e2…
05-08 20:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x914934…
05-08 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x866508…
05-08 20:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7c133e…
05-08 20:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xce9c24…
05-08 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8d84a6…
05-08 19:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xca5d8b…
05-08 19:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae63ef…
05-08 19:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x89217f…
05-08 19:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6406db…
05-08 19:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3e85da…
05-08 19:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9ad6ca…
05-08 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2cc02f…
05-08 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6547e3…
05-08 19:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x311b36…
05-08 19:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x1eb0b3…
05-08 19:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x27a1cc…
05-08 19:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x299202…
05-08 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x23740b…
05-08 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00f9d7…
05-08 19:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8c1016…
05-08 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4809af…
05-08 19:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x17a5c3…
05-08 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x4916ea…
05-08 19:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfb9203…
05-08 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x2e90e9…
05-08 11:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8eea2e…
05-06 16:49:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x412174…
05-03 12:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6d1493…
05-03 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x99b8f7…
05-03 12:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x258b19…
05-03 12:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x81ae3a…
05-03 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbf50f2…
05-03 12:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xde6e55…
05-03 12:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x41ff1a…
05-03 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x00a749…
05-03 11:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xbda9fc…
05-03 11:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x855995…
05-03 11:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7e04fc…
05-03 11:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0fe83e…
05-03 11:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xab31cc…
05-03 11:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd85f77…
05-03 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7a1b38…
05-03 11:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xcf7a78…
05-03 11:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x504d1a…
05-03 11:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x609e6f…
05-03 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdbac11…
05-02 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xc3e2a0…
05-02 22:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x91dbff…
05-02 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8686b4…
05-02 22:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8d23ba…
05-02 22:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf914c0…
05-02 22:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8bce64…
05-02 22:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x161997…
05-02 22:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x95cbdd…
05-02 22:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23e179…
05-02 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf9f80a…
05-02 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf82bc4…
05-02 22:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1afb83…
05-02 22:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f1597…
05-02 22:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdb242d…
05-02 22:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x039038…
05-02 22:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x1109cf…
05-02 22:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x778268…
05-02 21:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x11686b…
05-02 21:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x85a297…
05-02 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xde5bb2…
05-02 21:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf9e11c…
05-02 21:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8d864…
05-02 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdf2bc…
05-02 21:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd4d39e…
05-02 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1bc39a…
05-02 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd91c6d…
05-02 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbd3a02…
05-02 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x18a2f1…
05-02 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x341fb1…
05-02 19:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x559837…
05-02 19:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xc3e4b5…
05-02 19:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x9699d5…
05-02 19:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4cab7a…
05-02 19:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc0b2d2…
05-02 19:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xfcf243…
05-02 17:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0xf5d5c0…