Gleeful-Chandelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$177

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-10 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

45% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No		+7	$5	76¢	$5	+$0	06-06 10:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$27	23	16	+7	open	—	05-25 03:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 03:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-23 06:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$15	72	0	+72	open	—	03-27 16:42
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	251	0	+251	open	—	06-06 21:22
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 15:39
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-18 20:58
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 03:26
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	$-2	04-15 03:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 03:50
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$5	9	9	+0	No	$-5	04-15 03:50
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-28 18:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-06 10:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-08 21:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	03-23 07:29
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	03-14 15:55
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-14 15:42
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	03-20 20:31
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 21:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 21:19:03	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x63780c…
06-06 21:22:57	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0x4089e9…
06-06 10:18:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xae864e…
05-25 03:36:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe5a3b4…
05-23 06:02:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa75bf9…
05-11 21:24:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8b27c6…
05-10 21:53:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x3a8c37…
05-08 21:36:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf0d6d4…
05-08 16:27:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe885d2…
04-15 03:50:24	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x6b6e2f…
04-15 03:50:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x785361…
04-15 03:49:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x41206e…
04-15 03:26:46	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf4afb2…
04-15 03:26:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x5989e6…
03-28 18:22:29	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x855854…
03-27 16:42:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8bbbc2…
03-23 07:34:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc3d2b6…
03-23 07:29:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x042189…
03-22 18:28:03	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x026516…
03-22 18:17:21	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd6df52…
03-20 20:31:33	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x1e592e…
03-18 20:58:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xef5b90…
03-16 06:58:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x662ce9…
03-16 06:47:39	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8a123a…
03-16 06:35:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa695e5…
03-14 15:59:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb762d0…
03-14 15:55:21	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x2f6d1e…
03-14 15:42:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x279356…
03-14 15:39:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xba826d…