Unacceptable-Shipyard-Contagion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

216

Trades

893

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-16 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% +$128

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 889 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$158	329	+329	Down	+$171	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$132	300	+300	Down	+$168	05-06 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$116	200	+200	Up	$-116	05-06 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$90	183	+183	Down	+$94	05-06 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$84	200	+200	Up	$-84	05-06 18:16
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	1	$58	90	+90	open	—	06-16 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Up	$-49	05-06 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$49	100	+100	Down	+$51	05-06 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 15:40:29	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	90	65¢	$58	0x4077a9…
05-07 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb61f1b…
05-07 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xabec3f…
05-07 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0x8d4a7a…
05-06 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x561ebf…
05-06 23:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x17f3d1…
05-06 23:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xbe16ee…
05-06 23:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x470f10…
05-06 23:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd8d1b6…
05-06 23:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf37dde…
05-06 23:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	94	49¢	$46	0x5510cf…
05-06 23:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1f3547…
05-06 23:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x85b73f…
05-06 23:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe19488…
05-06 23:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	73	49¢	$36	0x9f7dfb…
05-06 23:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2db1dc…
05-06 23:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x19453f…
05-06 23:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9176a3…
05-06 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x654ca5…
05-06 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ef905…
05-06 23:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3673cd…
05-06 23:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99fe7f…
05-06 23:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xca7cb9…
05-06 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdeab53…
05-06 23:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34c334…
05-06 23:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc1aee7…
05-06 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0xc6d06b…
05-06 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x17a16f…
05-06 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	67	49¢	$33	0x3f209d…
05-06 23:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5dc43…
05-06 23:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0xb7da26…
05-06 23:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x1e743e…
05-06 23:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc289f…
05-06 23:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x283df9…
05-06 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x552ee0…
05-06 23:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x6363ae…
05-06 23:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x78d5ba…
05-06 23:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x519923…
05-06 22:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb2c56b…
05-06 22:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x628d40…
05-06 22:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x21ae7b…
05-06 22:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x4e8833…
05-06 22:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xe8dfdf…
05-06 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8c7db4…
05-06 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9ea9fa…
05-06 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9b1a12…
05-06 22:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb122bf…
05-06 22:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1178da…
05-06 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3a4315…
05-06 22:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6b0256…
05-06 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7088fd…
05-06 22:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x694b14…
05-06 22:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xee2bf0…
05-06 22:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x4ab20c…
05-06 22:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x47be7f…
05-06 22:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0383b1…
05-06 22:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9879bb…
05-06 22:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x782905…
05-06 22:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xd1abeb…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcb92f9…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x887da2…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x853afd…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7e1289…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x315579…
05-06 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x28d555…
05-06 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7f6e34…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd1d939…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xabe308…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab6f31…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x5ee055…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x533e4e…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4319ed…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x128890…
05-06 21:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x10cfcd…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa19ddc…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8b2a03…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x86d1db…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5cf653…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x190848…
05-06 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1597ae…
05-06 21:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xce20ea…
05-06 21:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x245d56…
05-06 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x204444…
05-06 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xedfded…
05-06 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0xb5c0e3…
05-06 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x848e06…
05-06 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4d94ac…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf1aeba…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd99463…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd3b9ab…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xca731f…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xad313c…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7df0b6…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x2efc6c…
05-06 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x298170…
05-06 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x451d75…
05-06 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x47ab41…
05-06 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	58	49¢	$29	0xe01a6c…
05-06 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb53e31…
05-06 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x55de86…