Menacing-Quality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

130

Trades

2,350

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-26 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	6	$239	336	336	+0	open	—	05-17 12:39
btc updown 5m 1775736300	8	$167	190	183	+7	open	—	04-09 12:09
btc updown 5m 1775734800	5	$135	178	110	+67	open	—	04-09 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776115200	5	$123	94	90	+3	open	—	04-13 21:24
btc updown 15m 1775751300	4	$122	116	112	+4	open	—	04-09 16:17
btc updown 5m 1775736600	10	$119	85	77	+8	open	—	04-09 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$115	106	106	+0	open	—	05-17 12:34
btc updown 15m 1775764800	7	$113	129	111	+18	open	—	04-09 20:13
btc updown 5m 1776115800	4	$107	76	75	+1	open	—	04-13 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	05-17 13:20
btc updown 15m 1775728800	4	$92	149	143	+6	open	—	04-09 10:12
btc updown 5m 1776174000	4	$91	52	51	+1	open	—	04-14 13:42
btc updown 5m 1775735700	4	$89	64	62	+2	open	—	04-09 11:59
btc updown 5m 1775736900	11	$85	249	68	+180	open	—	04-09 12:19
btc updown 15m 1775762100	2	$82	93	90	+3	open	—	04-09 19:16
btc updown 15m 1775747700	4	$80	71	69	+2	open	—	04-09 15:21
btc updown 15m 1775726100	2	$78	57	55	+2	open	—	04-09 09:17
btc updown 15m 1775658600	4	$76	80	77	+3	open	—	04-08 14:31
btc updown 15m 1775670300	4	$76	78	75	+3	open	—	04-08 17:49
btc updown 15m 1775664900	4	$76	76	74	+3	open	—	04-08 16:17
btc updown 15m 1775676600	4	$75	76	73	+3	open	—	04-08 19:32
btc updown 15m 1775664000	4	$75	71	69	+2	open	—	04-08 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776113700	3	$75	41	41	+0	open	—	04-13 20:59
btc updown 5m 1776110400	4	$75	51	49	+2	open	—	04-13 20:04
btc updown 15m 1775721600	2	$74	61	59	+2	open	—	04-09 08:10
btc updown 15m 1775759400	2	$74	61	59	+2	open	—	04-09 18:33
btc updown 15m 1775750400	2	$73	60	58	+2	open	—	04-09 16:01
btc updown 15m 1775753100	2	$73	58	56	+2	open	—	04-09 16:47
btc updown 15m 1775754900	2	$72	52	50	+2	open	—	04-09 17:21
btc updown 5m 1775467200	7	$72	40	39	+0	open	—	04-06 09:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 18:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa639b0…
05-26 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x33c35e…
05-26 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x469863…
05-26 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcddf72…
05-18 16:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0x9a7509…
05-18 15:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x25d85f…
05-18 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa04e32…
05-18 15:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe898a3…
05-18 15:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc7ccfc…
05-18 14:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x136103…
05-18 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4d017f…
05-18 14:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa668a1…
05-18 14:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x029766…
05-18 13:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x0a332a…
05-18 13:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x9d2b0c…
05-18 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x322fe1…
05-18 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x0f9a49…
05-18 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xa74d92…
05-18 13:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xdf1938…
05-18 13:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x06d6c6…
05-18 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x55c66c…
05-18 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8f9a96…
05-18 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xdd43e8…
05-18 12:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb9808d…
05-18 12:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa6e4ca…
05-18 12:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x138f36…
05-18 12:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa1db9…
05-18 12:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x44999c…
05-18 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x167944…
05-18 12:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x065689…
05-18 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xbd8c84…
05-18 12:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc455bb…
05-18 12:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x271d67…
05-18 10:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0x2f2937…
05-18 10:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x68b95e…
05-18 09:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xeaa817…
05-18 09:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xc7bd06…
05-18 09:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x254601…
05-18 09:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd877c5…
05-18 09:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x38a5c7…
05-18 09:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9677cb…
05-18 08:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6e0965…
05-18 08:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x22eacf…
05-18 08:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x879bcd…
05-18 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb26afa…
05-18 08:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2b2bba…
05-18 08:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x426c17…
05-18 08:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf6efc9…
05-18 08:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xde1760…
05-18 07:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb88b5a…
05-18 07:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x61b8ef…
05-18 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0054be…
05-18 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x69c8aa…
05-18 06:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb4b327…
05-18 06:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6b587e…
05-18 06:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x52c4ac…
05-18 06:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xcfc4c7…
05-18 06:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x76e375…
05-18 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x138967…
05-18 06:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfe08be…
05-18 06:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x23284c…
05-18 06:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1acb18…
05-18 06:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaa4c07…
05-18 05:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9bb36a…
05-18 05:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb3c66…
05-18 05:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x046f60…
05-18 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x566f5c…
05-18 05:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x15336d…
05-18 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x8028fd…
05-18 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xf32b15…
05-18 05:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x644148…
05-18 05:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x96fa88…
05-18 04:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xe0f077…
05-18 04:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcc10a7…
05-18 04:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x77d729…
05-18 04:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6c45b2…
05-18 04:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9c6af8…
05-18 04:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xee2de4…
05-18 03:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb319d9…
05-18 03:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd0d202…
05-18 03:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf47f99…
05-18 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0d28b0…
05-18 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd0199d…
05-18 03:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4f6082…
05-18 03:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf2ce95…
05-18 03:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2a671b…
05-18 03:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x791752…
05-18 02:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x57ee7f…
05-18 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x56e7ed…
05-18 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf105aa…
05-18 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x609a00…
05-18 02:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6d9401…
05-18 02:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x38c8fd…
05-18 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcee34f…
05-18 01:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x1a3182…
05-18 01:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd55db0…
05-18 01:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfb93d5…
05-18 01:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x75b9ba…
05-18 01:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0e16c9…
05-18 01:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb8d1c3…