Bare-Sill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

106

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-10 17:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$216	172	172	+0	Up	+$36	05-07 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$148	100	100	+0	Up	+$48	05-06 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$138	89	89	+0	Up	+$38	05-06 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$105	56	56	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$105	214	0	+214	Down	$-105	05-10 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	05-02 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$95	77	77	+0	open	—	04-28 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$90	210	0	+210	open	—	05-02 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$86	81	81	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$73	58	58	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$70	82	0	+82	open	—	05-02 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$69	46	46	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$65	60	60	+0	Down	+$15	05-07 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$62	57	57	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$60	120	0	+120	Up	+$60	05-06 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$55	85	0	+85	Up	$-55	05-10 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	5	$55	46	41	+4	open	—	05-04 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$51	34	34	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$50	99	0	+99	Up	$-50	05-06 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$48	41	41	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$46	36	36	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$45	44	44	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	05-01 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$40	98	0	+98	open	—	05-02 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$40	63	0	+63	Up	$-40	05-07 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$40	57	0	+57	Up	+$17	05-08 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$37	79	0	+79	Up	$-37	05-06 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$36	31	31	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf2bea4…
05-10 17:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xe0cf39…
05-10 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd5ab61…
05-10 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x260b06…
05-10 16:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	214	49¢	$105	0x21afe8…
05-10 16:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0x3d938f…
05-10 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x820ec1…
05-10 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xa53774…
05-10 16:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x131154…
05-10 16:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0xb291d5…
05-10 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x69ab16…
05-10 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	85	65¢	$55	0xe5d593…
05-10 11:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbe14f6…
05-10 11:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc18317…
05-10 01:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x577d57…
05-10 01:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xc9cd31…
05-10 00:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6ad782…
05-10 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x855fb2…
05-10 00:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	57¢	$25	0x694ee8…
05-10 00:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xe824a9…
05-10 00:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7a0634…
05-09 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x890183…
05-09 21:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	46	85¢	$39	0x6035d6…
05-09 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xd434d0…
05-09 16:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x590f68…
05-09 16:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8bf34c…
05-09 16:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfa66f8…
05-09 15:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x90b2c2…
05-09 15:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb448a4…
05-09 11:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xaeb356…
05-09 11:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd2d91e…
05-09 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7cd8a8…
05-09 05:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xee137b…
05-09 05:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0xea9d73…
05-09 05:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf7d1ab…
05-09 04:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xd6c33b…
05-09 04:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x364f96…
05-09 04:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4fa46a…
05-09 04:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0d11db…
05-09 04:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x02c287…
05-09 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x44066f…
05-09 02:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x549b77…
05-09 02:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x86041f…
05-09 02:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x59907b…
05-09 02:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xc8e6dd…
05-09 02:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3fd1fa…
05-09 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	57	57¢	$32	0x4ffc7c…
05-09 02:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xbe666e…
05-09 02:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd48bec…
05-09 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa4d5b6…
05-09 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x30a553…
05-08 17:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6662f1…
05-08 17:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0x666b67…
05-08 17:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa020d3…
05-08 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x80c0e4…
05-08 16:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0xa4cb12…
05-08 16:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c54c4…
05-08 16:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x36c0f5…
05-08 16:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x02cb76…
05-08 16:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6e00c5…
05-08 16:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x14777f…
05-08 15:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x1fe10a…
05-08 15:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3d11ba…
05-08 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98abd9…
05-08 15:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa8d58d…
05-08 15:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x4245ff…
05-08 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x04d0f2…
05-08 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd23d4f…
05-08 14:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x3fc173…
05-08 14:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x183fb9…
05-08 13:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x87d87a…
05-08 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x44115b…
05-08 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd92608…
05-08 13:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf7be7c…
05-08 13:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb80e22…
05-08 13:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	68¢	$2	0xd7ffd0…
05-08 13:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x57674c…
05-08 13:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	58	76¢	$44	0x95b3b8…
05-08 13:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xad37b0…
05-08 12:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x161fb0…
05-08 12:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7f737a…
05-08 12:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x395be2…
05-08 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x314fd9…
05-08 12:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1461d0…
05-08 12:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74a34b…
05-08 12:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xce699b…
05-08 12:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x14aafb…
05-08 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa4e055…
05-08 11:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x3bef55…
05-08 11:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x83ba0c…
05-08 11:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbb960f…
05-08 11:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xf5fcc7…
05-08 11:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xaf86bf…
05-08 11:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xd1d290…
05-08 03:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x29193c…
05-08 01:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd21ce8…
05-08 00:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x6345ec…
05-08 00:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xff6456…
05-08 00:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0x7e46ee…
05-08 00:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x496749…