Shoddy-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

9.4%

Resolved

Trades

718

lifetime

Volume

$7.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-25 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 10% $-7

Other

31% — —

Politics

25% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+111	$10	10¢	$11	+$1	06-23 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$694	688	688	+0	open	—	03-06 15:33
will israel strike gaza on march 2 2026	2	$508	268	268	+0	open	—	03-03 11:29
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 8	2	$401	239	239	+0	open	—	03-03 01:15
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$341	823	823	+0	open	—	03-07 14:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$258	1,246	1,246	+0	open	—	03-08 08:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	3	$239	144	144	+0	open	—	03-02 15:10
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$219	655	655	+0	open	—	03-16 11:24
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$213	139	139	+0	open	—	03-02 15:10
btc updown 5m 1773110700	3	$205	164	101	+63	open	—	03-10 02:50
btc updown 5m 1773851700	82	$179	185	145	+40	open	—	03-18 16:39
btc updown 5m 1772885700	3	$179	5,672	115	+5,557	open	—	03-07 12:20
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 220 239	5	$121	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	03-20 00:36
btc updown 5m 1773125100	4	$114	74	73	+1	open	—	03-10 06:50
btc updown 5m 1773125400	5	$104	83	82	+1	open	—	03-10 06:54
btc updown 5m 1782395400	3	$102	992	0	+992	open	—	06-25 13:51
will iran strike israel on march 5	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	03-04 14:41
btc updown 5m 1773149100	2	$88	89	88	+1	open	—	03-10 13:29
btc updown 5m 1773213000	4	$86	103	101	+2	open	—	03-11 07:14
btc updown 5m 1782393900	8	$82	92	92	+0	open	—	06-25 13:29
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$82	500	500	+0	open	—	03-17 04:08
btc updown 5m 1773122100	4	$81	94	77	+18	open	—	03-10 05:59
btc updown 5m 1773124800	2	$76	41	41	+0	open	—	03-10 06:45
btc updown 5m 1773118500	4	$72	199	36	+163	open	—	03-10 04:56
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	03-02 02:57
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	11	$62	900	900	+0	open	—	03-15 11:25
btc updown 5m 1773119400	5	$61	71	53	+18	open	—	03-10 05:14
will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	7	$56	288	288	+0	open	—	03-14 13:04
btc updown 5m 1773122700	4	$56	79	11	+68	open	—	03-10 06:11
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	5	$53	400	400	+0	open	—	03-16 09:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	2	$53	204	204	+0	open	—	03-17 04:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:14:26	btc updown 5m 1782396600	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xeaa1ea…
06-25 13:51:37	btc updown 5m 1782395400	Up	BUY	986	10¢	$100	0x9751bf…
06-25 13:51:07	btc updown 5m 1782395400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x369e4e…
06-25 13:50:55	btc updown 5m 1782395400	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x09c328…
06-25 13:43:10	btc updown 5m 1782394800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2f400f…
06-25 13:42:17	btc updown 5m 1782394800	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbbd33f…
06-25 13:35:35	btc updown 5m 1782394500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb82a16…
06-25 13:35:34	btc updown 5m 1782394500	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd398b0…
06-25 13:32:20	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe0e3c3…
06-25 13:29:53	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Down	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x7702fd…
06-25 13:27:46	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Up	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xd75f2e…
06-25 13:26:53	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x23b79c…
06-25 13:26:52	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6f16ea…
06-25 13:26:46	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc49f62…
06-25 13:25:38	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x244cdd…
06-25 13:25:37	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa79e5a…
06-25 13:25:37	btc updown 5m 1782393900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa5a8c5…
06-23 09:54:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0a4cf1…
06-22 12:54:14	btc updown 5m 1782132600	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5cd9f6…
06-22 12:52:08	btc updown 5m 1782132600	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfe731f…
06-22 12:48:14	btc updown 5m 1782132300	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x622f02…
06-22 12:47:47	btc updown 5m 1782132300	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd01dc3…
06-22 12:18:34	btc updown 5m 1782130500	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x141cdd…
06-22 12:08:04	btc updown 5m 1782129900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe80391…
06-22 12:08:04	btc updown 5m 1782129900	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe43d5a…
06-22 12:07:56	btc updown 5m 1782129900	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x771390…
06-22 12:07:41	btc updown 5m 1782129900	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1490c3…
06-22 12:03:20	btc updown 5m 1782129600	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5a8c9f…
06-22 07:24:29	btc updown 5m 1782112800	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x848228…
06-22 07:19:38	btc updown 5m 1782112500	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x80fb55…
06-22 06:59:40	btc updown 5m 1782111300	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x2d41a9…
06-22 06:59:40	btc updown 5m 1782111300	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1071ef…
06-22 06:39:46	btc updown 5m 1782110100	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf7eaf4…
06-22 06:39:46	btc updown 5m 1782110100	Down	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xd4a003…
06-14 10:42:07	btc updown 5m 1781433600	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe917d6…
06-14 10:25:52	btc updown 5m 1781432700	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe4160b…
06-14 10:10:58	btc updown 5m 1781431800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x96bd86…
06-14 10:03:45	btc updown 5m 1781431200	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x995040…
06-14 10:01:04	btc updown 5m 1781431200	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5c85f2…
06-14 09:51:25	btc updown 5m 1781430600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xca3498…
06-14 09:40:42	btc updown 5m 1781430000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x68a88e…
06-14 09:39:13	btc updown 5m 1781429700	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x3b3d22…
06-14 09:36:55	btc updown 5m 1781429700	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x551dd5…
06-14 09:36:54	btc updown 5m 1781429700	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x29566a…
06-14 09:18:34	btc updown 5m 1781428500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6faa2c…
06-14 09:14:03	btc updown 5m 1781428200	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4bb367…
06-14 09:13:36	btc updown 5m 1781428200	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc5576a…
06-14 09:09:46	btc updown 5m 1781427900	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xcbc3e3…
06-14 09:06:00	btc updown 5m 1781427600	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x237195…
06-14 09:05:36	btc updown 5m 1781427900	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0c375c…
06-14 08:45:27	btc updown 5m 1781426700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd17852…
06-14 08:43:01	btc updown 5m 1781426400	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1c9bf7…
06-14 08:31:07	btc updown 5m 1781425800	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8d3993…
06-14 08:30:46	btc updown 5m 1781425800	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x30f1a7…
06-14 08:30:34	btc updown 5m 1781425800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x691083…
06-14 08:27:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x66ccb7…
05-19 01:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbbd705…
05-19 01:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5ebe25…
05-14 10:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x86e0c2…
05-12 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x3dbe64…
05-12 04:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6bea02…
05-12 04:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xba7b80…
05-12 03:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3f0a97…
05-12 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x05e64b…
05-12 03:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf79d26…
05-11 15:18:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xb5c1e1…
05-10 15:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x31dcfc…
05-10 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc7993a…
05-10 14:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x08ea68…
05-10 14:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x58c0ad…
05-10 14:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc5241d…
04-23 15:00:16	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfd5a91…
04-23 14:59:06	btc updown 5m 1776956100	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb94158…
04-23 14:43:20	btc updown 5m 1776955200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x535732…
04-23 14:13:18	btc updown 5m 1776953400	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfe3c03…
04-23 13:36:04	btc updown 5m 1776951300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6b956c…
04-23 13:32:34	btc updown 5m 1776951000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x53ffc8…
04-23 13:23:18	btc updown 5m 1776950400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd72b4b…
04-23 10:56:36	btc updown 5m 1776941700	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3dea6a…
04-23 10:47:24	btc updown 5m 1776941100	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8bb685…
04-23 10:47:14	btc updown 5m 1776941100	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x3c75e4…
04-23 10:46:18	btc updown 5m 1776941100	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe8d4bc…
04-23 10:37:46	btc updown 5m 1776940500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0970ee…
04-23 06:38:52	btc updown 5m 1776926100	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x03f434…
04-23 06:35:24	btc updown 5m 1776926100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d447e…
04-23 06:33:36	btc updown 5m 1776925800	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xac8df6…
04-23 06:26:36	btc updown 5m 1776925500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x72c228…
04-23 06:25:36	btc updown 5m 1776925500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x85a228…
04-23 06:16:56	btc updown 5m 1776924900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc93526…
04-23 06:11:34	btc updown 5m 1776924600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc52a38…
04-23 03:36:54	btc updown 5m 1776915300	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2bda12…
04-23 03:31:16	btc updown 5m 1776915000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1ea05e…
04-23 03:15:20	btc updown 5m 1776914100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1201ad…
04-23 03:08:14	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x84fe61…
04-23 03:08:04	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x30acc5…
04-23 03:07:48	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x17b24d…
04-23 03:07:38	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x706256…
04-23 03:07:28	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4e929f…
04-23 03:07:22	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x256270…
04-23 03:07:04	btc updown 5m 1776913500	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd2beab…