Cloudy-Obesity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$6.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-15 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

67% 17% $-4

Crypto

24% 25% $-7

Sports

7% 14% $-4

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$267	198	198	+0	open	—	05-04 18:44
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	6	$191	160	160	+0	open	—	02-13 21:27
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5	3	$189	102	102	+0	open	—	05-01 20:49
cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	4	$184	115	115	+0	open	—	02-14 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$179	526	334	+192	open	—	05-04 19:04
cs2 vit mouz 2026 02 07	11	$163	111	111	+0	open	—	02-07 20:44
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 03	4	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	02-03 21:28
mex maz gua 2026 02 06 gua	9	$102	79	79	+0	open	—	02-07 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$102	56	56	+0	open	—	05-04 18:37
epl che lee 2026 02 10 draw	2	$96	57	57	+0	open	—	02-10 21:27
cs2 furia navi 2026 02 02 game1	7	$96	137	108	+29	open	—	02-02 19:04
cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08 game3	2	$90	47	47	+0	open	—	02-08 18:42
lal val rea 2026 02 08 rea	3	$87	54	54	+0	open	—	02-08 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 18:35
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	4	$75	68	68	+0	open	—	05-03 14:19
cs2 vit mouz 2026 02 07 total games 2pt5	4	$75	55	55	+0	open	—	02-07 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	9	$74	59	59	+0	open	—	05-01 18:42
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	13	$69	109	109	+0	open	—	05-02 02:09
itc ata juv 2026 02 05 juv	2	$67	150	150	+0	open	—	02-05 21:31
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	7	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	02-07 09:05
lal ray mad 2026 02 14 mad	2	$63	114	0	+114	open	—	02-14 22:09
cs2 ast10 furia 2026 02 03 game2	2	$58	34	34	+0	open	—	02-03 17:29
epl liv new 2026 01 31 liv	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	01-31 22:12
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 02 06	2	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	02-06 16:19
fl1 str psg 2026 02 01 psg	2	$53	46	46	+0	open	—	02-01 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	5	$52	60	56	+3	open	—	05-15 06:32
cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14 game2	1	$52	67	0	+67	open	—	02-14 15:37
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	4	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	02-01 11:52
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 03 game1	3	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	02-03 20:29
sea gen nap 2026 02 07 nap	7	$48	41	41	+0	open	—	02-07 18:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe281af…
05-15 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x20acdf…
05-15 14:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3ec976…
05-15 14:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x46a263…
05-15 14:31:32	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x717ce3…
05-15 14:31:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x9de359…
05-15 14:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1a74c…
05-15 14:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x41a165…
05-15 14:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xad8936…
05-15 13:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5bdc2d…
05-15 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa2eabf…
05-15 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x39a2fb…
05-15 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x18bb94…
05-15 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xfa4133…
05-15 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0db89b…
05-15 13:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x42ff32…
05-15 13:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x57ff2e…
05-15 13:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x552f1d…
05-15 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc21abf…
05-15 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xcd935c…
05-15 13:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xecaa11…
05-15 13:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xcd0967…
05-15 13:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x55681c…
05-15 13:46:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93181e…
05-15 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x862a76…
05-15 13:44:15	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0f5e7…
05-15 13:44:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xee0986…
05-15 13:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd0634c…
05-15 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xb0e418…
05-15 13:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd04b19…
05-15 13:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc84a23…
05-15 13:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x8bb2df…
05-15 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x64fa0c…
05-15 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6aa9c6…
05-15 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4730ed…
05-15 13:39:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xb15674…
05-15 13:38:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x31322b…
05-15 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x2fe9d0…
05-15 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xec5b44…
05-15 13:34:43	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x52d6ce…
05-15 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xc00b77…
05-15 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc34058…
05-15 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xdc4ebc…
05-15 13:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa29801…
05-15 13:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x85af4d…
05-15 13:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x32172a…
05-15 13:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0x6dd778…
05-15 13:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xc71a5f…
05-15 13:19:14	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	9z	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x327154…
05-15 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xc22dcb…
05-15 13:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7e191f…
05-15 13:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xa51257…
05-15 13:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xade239…
05-15 13:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7bd853…
05-15 13:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x56f897…
05-15 13:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x141f17…
05-15 13:03:57	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	9z	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x189a86…
05-15 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x0d56e1…
05-15 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0xe95fca…
05-15 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x824e2c…
05-15 06:45:39	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfc2251…
05-15 06:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf78596…
05-15 06:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xc6df2d…
05-15 06:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x151b36…
05-15 06:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	74¢	$25	0x8df43e…
05-15 06:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xbf2e76…
05-15 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xec39a7…
05-15 06:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2cb521…
05-15 06:27:22	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc035f2…
05-15 06:27:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x8bafb7…
05-15 06:27:15	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1623f0…
05-15 06:27:12	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xd518b8…
05-15 06:27:06	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xa22f04…
05-15 06:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0xfd4bff…
05-15 06:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x23ddcc…
05-15 06:23:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x77a3a5…
05-15 06:23:14	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdaafcc…
05-15 06:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0x074932…
05-15 06:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x160cb8…
05-15 01:30:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6d1cf8…
05-15 01:23:50	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0x1e49f5…
05-15 01:23:10	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x5f0858…
05-15 01:23:08	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x8a2f47…
05-15 01:23:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa68125…
05-15 01:23:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x76ecfd…
05-14 22:46:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf37882…
05-14 21:01:39	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfbb435…
05-14 20:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xeadb6d…
05-14 20:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x38c88f…
05-14 20:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x30076f…
05-14 20:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x106f15…
05-14 20:39:38	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xe2fcd9…
05-14 20:38:09	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0cd20d…
05-14 20:37:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5d9a08…
05-14 19:49:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff9988…
05-14 19:44:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1d8241…
05-14 19:22:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x49308e…
05-14 19:22:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xcd627a…
05-14 19:20:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Martin Landaluce	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7099f5…
05-14 19:16:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Martin Landaluce	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34f18f…