Grown-Duck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-01 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$1

Other

25% 100% +$9

Sports

7% 100% +$3

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	03-03 09:42
Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	04-20 06:01
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	04-24 03:54
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$270	136	136	+0	open	—	03-18 04:03
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	135	135	+0	open	—	03-17 06:00
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	03-27 11:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$262	134	134	+0	open	—	05-26 09:05
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	04-11 03:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$149	149	0	+149	open	—	05-15 12:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	05-14 10:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	05-12 11:48
ethereum above 1900 on march 10	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-10 10:00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	1	$139	148	0	+148	No	+$9	05-12 19:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	05-18 04:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	04-22 10:08
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 5	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-05 12:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-08 09:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 2	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-02 04:25
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 3	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-03 09:48
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$138	139	0	+139	open	—	04-21 09:06
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	04-20 06:02
ethereum above 2500 on april 19	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	04-19 05:23
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	04-17 05:17
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 15	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	04-15 10:58
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	04-14 06:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$136	136	0	+136	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:24
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	05-10 03:42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	05-08 03:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-23 12:03
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 7?	1	$136	136	0	+136	Yes	+$0	05-07 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:04:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe81307…
06-01 07:49:06	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Texas Rangers	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x745d98…
05-28 03:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x003b29…
05-28 03:36:01	LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x82d469…
05-26 09:08:38	Vicenza: Marco Cecchinato vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yu-Hsiou Hsu	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x96c16b…
05-26 09:05:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	134	96¢	$128	0x47e1f5…
05-25 11:28:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x62d35c…
05-24 10:31:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x435ff5…
05-24 10:31:02	LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xc85daa…
05-24 10:27:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x48413b…
05-23 12:36:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xfe69f7…
05-22 04:32:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xe501ab…
05-21 03:38:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xdf345d…
05-19 07:12:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xd53f85…
05-19 07:12:16	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi You	Xiaodi You	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x5da3aa…
05-18 04:39:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x9f91de…
05-18 04:00:48	Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Cezar Cretu	Cezar Cretu	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x80a462…
05-17 12:08:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,450	0¢	$5	0xdaab66…
05-15 12:49:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x9a4b45…
05-14 10:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xe3567c…
05-12 19:38:33	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	148	94¢	$139	0x61c4b6…
05-12 11:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3036c3…
05-11 11:59:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xda04c8…
05-11 11:56:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe8b41a…
05-10 03:42:51	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x434cdb…
05-09 04:24:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x2d65bb…
05-08 03:34:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x268070…
05-07 08:42:28	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6ab7ca…
05-06 04:35:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x586a94…
05-02 04:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x7d2832…
05-01 12:05:22	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xcfc52d…
04-30 07:12:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x33044b…
04-28 04:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4bfd59…
04-27 02:52:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 27?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0d46e9…
04-26 10:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x61c29f…
04-26 10:26:26	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x0bca2e…
04-25 12:54:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x4a8e73…
04-24 04:08:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x9c9de1…
04-24 03:55:36	Madrid Open: Magdalena Frech vs Solana Sierra	Magdalena Frech	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6f11e6…
04-24 03:54:56	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xf39524…
04-24 03:36:48	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xe2f644…
04-23 12:03:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x34798d…
04-23 11:49:10	Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Visker	Niels Visker	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x743cfd…
04-22 10:08:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 22	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x0c108a…
04-21 09:06:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x479832…
04-20 06:02:42	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xcabcd0…
04-20 06:01:46	Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x2ace42…
04-20 05:16:20	Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x41f508…
04-19 05:23:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xa2add7…
04-17 05:17:16	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x5909f9…
04-15 10:58:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x849273…
04-14 06:47:59	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x15101f…
04-13 00:34:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 13	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xba83d1…
04-12 12:35:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x59f302…
04-12 12:34:31	nhl ott nj 2026 04 12	Devils	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x589f29…
04-11 03:42:43	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 140 164	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xe34ca2…
04-11 03:38:01	ufc tat loo 2026 04 11	Tatiana Suarez	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xb7eafc…
04-11 03:37:21	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0x37e77e…
04-11 03:17:37	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xf6aab0…
04-10 07:55:03	ethereum above 1900 on april 10	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x1511de…
04-09 05:56:53	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x2d50f5…
04-08 07:31:13	ethereum above 2500 on april 8	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd495cd…
04-08 06:28:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 8	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x8c49e3…
04-07 11:53:07	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x110d99…
04-07 11:43:15	euroleague valencia milano 2026 04 07	Olimpia Milano	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xbbd157…
04-06 01:58:29	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb3c480…
04-05 02:53:51	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x28a8d0…
04-04 08:15:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x46ed98…
04-02 11:03:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x57a16f…
04-01 07:28:53	ethereum above 1900 on april 1	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x4a61b1…
03-31 07:03:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x405a70…
03-30 03:28:16	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 30	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf9b917…
03-29 12:14:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 29	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x76db43…
03-29 12:08:44	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Magic	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x07fc60…
03-28 12:21:59	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x849203…
03-27 11:55:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xa70722…
03-27 11:52:19	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0xc1b605…
03-27 10:56:53	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xac2714…
03-25 06:14:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x670e9f…
03-25 05:42:39	atp nedic kuzmano 2026 03 25	Andrej Nedic	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8c9680…
03-24 07:19:29	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xd0801c…
03-22 04:41:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0xa4df0b…
03-22 04:36:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 22	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x007430…
03-21 10:35:29	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xcb52d7…
03-20 07:34:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd656ba…
03-20 07:27:11	nba por min 2026 03 20	Timberwolves	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xdc19ae…
03-18 04:12:25	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x10614a…
03-18 04:03:51	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0x59e2dd…
03-18 03:39:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xf87f63…
03-17 06:04:21	ethereum above 2600 on march 17	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xb992be…
03-17 06:00:51	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x3f2761…
03-17 05:42:01	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x1979e8…
03-16 07:43:51	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x04d429…
03-14 08:23:53	will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x7f681e…
03-13 12:20:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xbe3770…
03-12 09:13:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0xe9f872…
03-12 08:39:15	shl oer bry 2026 03 12	Brynaes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4635d2…
03-10 10:00:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 10	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x62debf…
03-08 09:31:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xbc9960…
03-07 04:06:37	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x90dab3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$196.5K	3,073	05-31 10:07
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	51	$2.27K	51	05-23 12:29
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	48	$239.0K	1,701	05-28 02:15
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	48	$58.2K	1,214	05-21 10:07
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	45	$540	2,561	04-28 07:30
Detailed-Rivulet 0xa2c0…fad2	43	$527	1,807	04-26 20:04
Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316	41	$2.69K	411	05-28 07:42
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	41	$1.73K	373	05-29 15:24