Afraid-Willow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$234

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-17 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

37% — —

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

14% 50% $-37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	open	—	03-17 07:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$769	779	0	+779	open	—	04-28 10:02
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$633	662	0	+662	open	—	03-17 08:04
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$614	645	0	+645	open	—	03-05 11:35
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$568	614	0	+614	open	—	02-11 04:42
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	1	$559	568	0	+568	open	—	02-03 13:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$530	559	0	+559	open	—	01-15 03:02
another us strike on venezuela by january 10	1	$504	530	0	+530	open	—	01-05 08:35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$177	230	0	+230	open	—	04-28 03:22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$116	203	0	+203	open	—	04-24 06:38
nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	1	$107	185	0	+185	open	—	04-18 03:31
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$104	170	0	+170	open	—	05-25 03:02
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	1	$104	164	0	+164	open	—	04-13 06:10
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	1	$103	223	0	+223	open	—	04-04 02:08
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$102	186	0	+186	Sabres	$-102	05-11 02:55
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$101	166	0	+166	Hurricanes	+$65	05-07 03:37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$100	145	0	+145	open	—	05-21 02:54
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	06-04 03:41
epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	1	$65	175	0	+175	open	—	04-21 11:00
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	5	$63	102	0	+102	open	—	06-17 14:27
lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	1	$62	158	0	+158	open	—	04-21 11:01
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	03-17 07:28
will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$11	16	0	+16	open	—	03-17 07:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:27:58	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	43	62¢	$27	0xc3efa1…
06-17 07:29:56	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc22313…
06-17 07:03:41	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb1afb8…
06-17 04:12:44	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x2e5ae0…
06-17 03:46:56	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17	New York Yankees	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x3cf9de…
06-04 03:41:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xef813b…
05-25 03:02:21	Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0x2c8cb4…
05-21 02:54:03	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2b6143…
05-11 02:55:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	186	55¢	$102	0x708930…
05-07 03:37:16	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	166	61¢	$101	0x66e9a3…
04-28 10:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	779	99¢	$769	0x945869…
04-28 03:22:12	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	230	77¢	$177	0x6bcab1…
04-24 06:38:28	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	203	57¢	$116	0x6575f3…
04-21 11:01:16	lal elc mad 2026 04 22 mad	Yes	BUY	158	39¢	$62	0x6ee8e4…
04-21 11:00:40	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	175	37¢	$65	0x774746…
04-18 03:31:06	nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	Penguins	BUY	185	58¢	$107	0x56c0e3…
04-13 06:10:35	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	164	63¢	$104	0x52edde…
04-04 02:08:59	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	223	46¢	$103	0xb9aeb6…
03-17 08:04:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	662	96¢	$633	0x439d5d…
03-17 07:28:15	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0xf5facf…
03-17 07:27:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0x44688a…
03-17 07:27:31	will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xd46f04…
03-17 07:14:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	670	100¢	$669	0x73b1be…
03-09 08:41:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	670	96¢	$642	0xa21816…
03-05 11:35:55	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	645	95¢	$614	0x1848b1…
02-11 04:42:43	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	614	92¢	$568	0x25fe8c…
02-03 13:07:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	No	BUY	568	98¢	$559	0x87de7e…
01-15 03:02:12	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	559	95¢	$530	0xcfc4a7…
01-05 08:35:27	another us strike on venezuela by january 10	No	BUY	530	95¢	$504	0x285937…