Well-Off-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$281

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	11	$27	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	8	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	4	$12	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 11:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$10	8	6	+3	Up	$-2	05-07 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	5	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 08:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	Up	$-5	05-07 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$5	4	3	+2	Up	$-1	05-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$4	12	3	+8	Down	$-2	05-06 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$4	6	1	+5	Down	$-2	05-06 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$4	9	9	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 19:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$4	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x4acb57…
05-07 14:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb9facf…
05-07 14:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x4381e9…
05-07 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x16cf9e…
05-07 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbb9327…
05-07 12:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x2df2f3…
05-07 12:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0db6ad…
05-07 12:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$7	0xaaf08a…
05-07 12:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbe4103…
05-07 12:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x764385…
05-07 12:13:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x95a3f0…
05-07 12:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf25898…
05-07 12:09:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x66cd21…
05-07 12:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa45d96…
05-07 12:08:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x0dfbe7…
05-07 12:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa757da…
05-07 12:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xca991c…
05-07 12:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x460f4e…
05-07 12:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xca736d…
05-07 11:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x8c6ff3…
05-07 11:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x36433e…
05-07 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xacdfec…
05-07 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x91b0df…
05-07 11:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xfa3b50…
05-07 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x60b720…
05-07 11:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x25e134…
05-07 11:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfeb599…
05-07 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9a97f4…
05-07 11:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xaa9533…
05-07 11:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcbad7a…
05-07 11:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xea4bdd…
05-07 11:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf7e915…
05-07 11:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc3162c…
05-07 11:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc09b7b…
05-07 11:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x20d0e1…
05-07 11:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x2bc3f5…
05-07 11:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x019722…
05-07 11:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x807a6a…
05-07 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3f368d…
05-07 11:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2b14fd…
05-07 11:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f0155…
05-07 11:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xed8d6c…
05-07 11:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xde8c5f…
05-07 11:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xa67d85…
05-07 11:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb16b29…
05-07 11:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x54e863…
05-07 11:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7f31d2…
05-07 11:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc8d014…
05-07 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x91a17c…
05-07 11:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9f6952…
05-07 11:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x082f4e…
05-07 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x331d19…
05-07 10:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaf728c…
05-07 10:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x5849a6…
05-07 10:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x44f92f…
05-07 10:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbfc4e0…
05-07 10:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc31a78…
05-07 10:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41691d…
05-07 10:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x460531…
05-07 10:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfbc84d…
05-07 10:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x16466e…
05-07 10:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa75314…
05-07 09:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb61856…
05-07 09:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8727f4…
05-07 09:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x85f6fb…
05-07 09:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x87d452…
05-07 09:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4ea39f…
05-07 09:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x4ab3f6…
05-07 09:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x578e08…
05-07 09:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x23c909…
05-07 09:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5f0e6d…
05-07 09:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x1e8803…
05-07 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x503357…
05-07 09:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x13c7af…
05-07 09:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb82267…
05-07 09:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1688b7…
05-07 09:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xed89ad…
05-07 09:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa59298…
05-07 09:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9d2bd9…
05-07 09:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x314114…
05-07 09:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe19efe…
05-07 09:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9af2d7…
05-07 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc42212…
05-07 08:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x07ac02…
05-07 08:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1265c5…
05-07 08:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xe666ff…
05-07 08:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x847bef…
05-07 08:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x10f239…
05-07 08:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe90716…
05-07 08:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8ef5f0…
05-07 08:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1d4472…
05-07 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0b27cb…
05-07 07:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x8a3f6c…
05-07 07:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xffe667…
05-07 07:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xadfe30…
05-07 07:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa070bf…
05-07 07:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb0c85…
05-07 07:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x212f5f…
05-07 06:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x21c548…
05-07 06:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc7df9…