Trusting-Psychology-Subcomponent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-07 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 46% $-4

Sports

14% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$6	5	5	+0	Hurricanes	$-0	05-07 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-07 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-06 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$3	0	5	-5	Up	$-2	05-07 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-07 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-06 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$3	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-07 06:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 18:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf236e9…
05-07 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe1694e…
05-07 18:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xcc6df1…
05-07 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x18b437…
05-07 18:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xecacd3…
05-07 18:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6759d1…
05-07 18:42:01	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xaea39d…
05-07 15:26:31	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x28e53a…
05-07 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x1bb0ff…
05-07 06:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x7c6b08…
05-07 06:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x979ee9…
05-07 05:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab0896…
05-07 05:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbd25cf…
05-07 04:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b2a98…
05-07 04:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x074860…
05-06 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfa528e…
05-06 11:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4335a6…
05-06 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7b4da3…
05-06 09:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x33f4bd…
05-06 09:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe0a3bf…
05-06 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeebc51…
05-06 08:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcfe98…
04-30 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x46e8b0…
04-30 11:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6b9cd5…
04-30 11:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x500f73…
04-30 11:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf21769…
04-30 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xac24c1…
04-30 10:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3189df…
04-30 10:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4d8e47…