Even-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-07 21:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 58% $-3

Other

27% — —

Sports

11% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$53	41	31	+10	Up	+$3	05-04 23:29
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	1	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	06-26 22:56
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	07-07 21:03
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	06-25 20:01
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	1	$30	52	0	+52	open	—	06-28 02:05
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	1	$30	43	0	+43	open	—	07-02 20:54
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-26 14:00
Thunder vs. Suns	3	$29	46	26	+20	open	—	04-28 03:42
btc updown 5m 1782852000	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-30 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$26	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 23:42
Rockets vs. Lakers	4	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$25	35	0	+35	Down	$-16	05-05 00:48
btc updown 5m 1782438300	2	$23	23	23	+0	open	—	06-26 01:46
btc updown 5m 1782528600	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 23:22
btc updown 5m 1782528000	2	$20	63	0	+63	open	—	06-27 02:44
btc updown 5m 1782515100	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	06-26 23:04
btc updown 5m 1782437400	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	06-26 01:31
btc updown 5m 1782433500	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	06-26 00:26
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	07-02 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 12:06
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	07-03 20:22
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	06-30 20:40
fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	06-26 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 23:19
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	07-01 21:23
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	07-06 19:04
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	07-02 20:57
btc updown 5m 1782438000	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	06-26 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$14	15	12	+3	Up	$-0	05-14 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 21:03:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x86a411…
07-06 20:28:37	btc updown 5m 1783369800	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb6ffb2…
07-06 19:04:04	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x079098…
07-06 04:38:31	btc updown 5m 1783312800	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x450d51…
07-06 04:34:56	btc updown 5m 1783312500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd8a5b4…
07-06 00:38:28	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x273063…
07-05 22:15:28	btc updown 5m 1783289700	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x75efcd…
07-05 21:17:52	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xeed70a…
07-05 21:16:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc0556e…
07-03 20:28:28	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x086f7a…
07-03 20:22:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x51f61f…
07-03 15:16:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x19dfb1…
07-03 01:14:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x97475b…
07-02 20:57:23	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x86700f…
07-02 20:54:58	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x4fcd95…
07-02 19:07:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7191d4…
07-02 02:40:10	btc updown 5m 1782960000	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x674c53…
07-01 21:23:32	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x354554…
07-01 20:12:40	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1da59d…
07-01 20:09:59	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf06931…
07-01 15:56:23	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0027dd…
06-30 20:51:28	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x74e72f…
06-30 20:44:19	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xf44a6e…
06-30 20:40:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x05a998…
06-30 20:39:44	btc updown 5m 1782852000	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x77eb53…
06-28 02:05:07	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x288c22…
06-27 03:34:52	btc updown 5m 1782531300	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe27b55…
06-27 02:54:50	btc updown 5m 1782528900	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb03308…
06-27 02:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782528600	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x468af9…
06-27 02:49:40	btc updown 5m 1782528600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x291b9c…
06-27 02:44:17	btc updown 5m 1782528000	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x146677…
06-27 02:41:16	btc updown 5m 1782528000	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x21c8c8…
06-26 23:04:34	btc updown 5m 1782515100	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x31dc10…
06-26 22:56:10	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xbbde68…
06-26 14:00:40	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xc512e7…
06-26 01:46:40	btc updown 5m 1782438300	Down	SELL	23	59¢	$13	0x9d6d5f…
06-26 01:45:49	btc updown 5m 1782438300	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9d76bc…
06-26 01:44:19	btc updown 5m 1782438000	Down	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xd2b739…
06-26 01:40:22	btc updown 5m 1782438000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4a9812…
06-26 01:39:32	btc updown 5m 1782437700	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd3a086…
06-26 01:31:35	btc updown 5m 1782437400	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x727586…
06-26 00:38:40	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x390eca…
06-26 00:26:20	btc updown 5m 1782433500	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa32542…
06-25 20:01:58	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x94b14b…
05-30 00:04:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xc50a2a…
05-25 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x521acb…
05-25 16:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4bcf11…
05-25 03:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x80823d…
05-24 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c915d…
05-24 12:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3c466e…
05-24 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa60dc6…
05-24 01:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x593204…
05-24 00:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x3cfa83…
05-24 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27d700…
05-23 23:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9160df…
05-23 12:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xfd28ae…
05-23 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4da3b2…
05-22 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5b47d8…
05-22 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5c151e…
05-22 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8f3be8…
05-22 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0ad6e6…
05-22 11:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8a7e9e…
05-22 11:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc68680…
05-22 05:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x741059…
05-22 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe00be3…
05-22 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x04b97c…
05-19 16:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0323eb…
05-15 17:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa67443…
05-15 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0c7a78…
05-15 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xf027fe…
05-15 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x065bff…
05-15 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xde7b0a…
05-15 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf3e7c2…
05-15 04:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x171cab…
05-15 04:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb31912…
05-15 04:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x11273e…
05-15 04:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf59855…
05-15 04:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc0874e…
05-15 04:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc315e3…
05-15 04:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x0682d1…
05-15 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb7438f…
05-15 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xbe4485…
05-15 04:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x20dda5…
05-15 04:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x4d4290…
05-15 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa88022…
05-14 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x470f71…
05-14 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa43ebc…
05-14 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x626d68…
05-14 11:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x6e9828…
05-14 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x105d7d…
05-14 03:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf11011…
05-14 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x5c1790…
05-14 03:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x02ef88…
05-14 03:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xf12a9e…
05-14 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2e8bd5…
05-14 03:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc446f9…
05-14 03:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x872fc2…
05-14 03:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4124ed…
05-14 03:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x129eea…
05-14 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5e0aee…