Even-Scrutiny — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

163

lifetime

Volume

$696

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-30 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 58% $-3

Sports

15% — —

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$53	41	31	+10	Up	+$3	05-04 23:29
Thunder vs. Suns	3	$29	46	26	+20	open	—	04-28 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$26	19	19	+0	Down	+$6	05-04 23:42
Rockets vs. Lakers	4	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$25	35	0	+35	Down	$-16	05-05 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-03 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$14	15	12	+3	Up	$-0	05-14 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$11	12	7	+6	open	—	05-04 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 12:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 04:01
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-27 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-05 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-29 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-03 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-3	05-05 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 12:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	05-04 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-14 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 00:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$9	0	19	-19	open	—	05-30 00:04
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$9	14	11	+4	open	—	04-29 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$8	13	0	+13	Down	+$5	05-05 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 00:04:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xc50a2a…
05-25 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x521acb…
05-25 16:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4bcf11…
05-25 03:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x80823d…
05-24 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c915d…
05-24 12:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3c466e…
05-24 03:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa60dc6…
05-24 01:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x593204…
05-24 00:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x3cfa83…
05-24 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x27d700…
05-23 23:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9160df…
05-23 12:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xfd28ae…
05-23 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4da3b2…
05-22 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5b47d8…
05-22 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5c151e…
05-22 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8f3be8…
05-22 11:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0ad6e6…
05-22 11:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8a7e9e…
05-22 11:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc68680…
05-22 05:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x741059…
05-22 05:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe00be3…
05-22 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x04b97c…
05-19 16:26:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0323eb…
05-15 17:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa67443…
05-15 17:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0c7a78…
05-15 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xf027fe…
05-15 17:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x065bff…
05-15 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xde7b0a…
05-15 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf3e7c2…
05-15 04:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x171cab…
05-15 04:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb31912…
05-15 04:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x11273e…
05-15 04:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf59855…
05-15 04:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xc0874e…
05-15 04:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc315e3…
05-15 04:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x0682d1…
05-15 04:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb7438f…
05-15 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xbe4485…
05-15 04:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x20dda5…
05-15 04:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x4d4290…
05-15 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa88022…
05-14 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x470f71…
05-14 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa43ebc…
05-14 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x626d68…
05-14 11:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x6e9828…
05-14 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x105d7d…
05-14 03:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf11011…
05-14 03:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x5c1790…
05-14 03:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x02ef88…
05-14 03:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xf12a9e…
05-14 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2e8bd5…
05-14 03:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc446f9…
05-14 03:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x872fc2…
05-14 03:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4124ed…
05-14 03:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x129eea…
05-14 03:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5e0aee…
05-14 03:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x6e0a73…
05-14 03:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x174d89…
05-13 19:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x6a7b57…
05-13 19:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x89ab62…
05-13 14:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x762122…
05-12 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a3179…
05-12 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x62a156…
05-05 19:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xcafbd2…
05-05 19:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x46a703…
05-05 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xe9e2cc…
05-05 19:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5c1bee…
05-05 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9a1651…
05-05 19:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbcecfe…
05-05 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd678d7…
05-05 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x495e45…
05-05 08:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd2fbcb…
05-05 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x83f317…
05-05 08:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5bb33a…
05-05 08:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x12075d…
05-05 08:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x873451…
05-05 08:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x843023…
05-05 00:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xc28211…
05-05 00:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0a25fd…
05-04 23:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xdb99ea…
05-04 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaf7fa7…
05-04 23:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x38a4df…
05-04 23:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xff666a…
05-04 23:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0x93a288…
05-04 23:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1c928b…
05-04 23:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf8531e…
05-04 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x974f2f…
05-04 23:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x9a9e48…
05-04 23:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf741e6…
05-04 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xa5d244…
05-04 23:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x21d030…
05-04 23:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xd2535e…
05-04 23:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf49d82…
05-04 23:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0xf3ec68…
05-04 23:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x99ff27…
05-04 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7a5271…
05-04 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc3dd1f…
05-04 19:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xabeda9…
05-04 19:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x70ac75…
05-04 19:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe2e8db…