French-Electricity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

209

lifetime

Volume

$809

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-05 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

47% — —

Politics

31% 0% $-2

Other

21% 50% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772105100	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	02-26 11:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-06 20:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	04-26 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 14:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 21:26
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-02 13:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$22	3,542	2,317	+1,225	open	—	04-09 13:23
btc updown 5m 1772665500	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	03-04 23:09
btc updown 5m 1772663700	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-04 22:39
btc updown 5m 1772663400	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-04 22:34
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	4	$19	37	22	+14	open	—	05-24 09:53
btc updown 5m 1772664900	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-04 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775740200	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-09 13:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	03-30 14:24
btc updown 5m 1773978000	3	$17	18	10	+8	open	—	03-20 03:43
btc updown 5m 1773977100	6	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	03-20 03:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 10:02
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	4	$15	31	31	+0	Yes	+$5	04-28 20:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 00:54
btc updown 5m 1773962400	4	$14	19	8	+10	open	—	03-19 23:22
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?	1	$13	37	0	+37	open	—	04-26 17:40
btc updown 5m 1773977400	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-20 03:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 23:41
sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	3	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 19:55
usisrael strike yemen by march 4	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-04 22:12
usisrael strike yemen by march 2	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-04 22:12
spx opens up or down on february 25 2026	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	02-25 10:36
btc updown 5m 1771955400	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-24 17:52
btc updown 5m 1771956300	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	02-24 18:06
btc updown 5m 1771956000	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:14:39	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x266a39…
06-04 10:01:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x100d56…
05-24 09:53:38	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xb63303…
05-23 20:25:00	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	SELL	22	3¢	$1	0x24f0f2…
05-10 20:57:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xa5de11…
05-06 22:10:38	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf0e933…
05-06 22:07:34	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6850c4…
05-06 21:09:19	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbd15d6…
05-06 21:08:32	Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c23fc…
05-06 21:05:58	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x77aec4…
05-06 20:36:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x9e6fdc…
05-02 11:36:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf1f228…
05-01 13:42:38	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xb3b1c3…
05-01 08:59:30	Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xef938a…
04-28 20:57:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0xd3535f…
04-28 20:57:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x59679f…
04-27 10:02:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeed8bb…
04-26 17:40:52	Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x60eb3a…
04-26 17:39:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x37f9d1…
04-23 21:51:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x25758a…
04-23 21:47:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x2cbb4e…
04-23 21:29:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2b8887…
04-23 21:27:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x5d6d07…
04-23 21:26:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x490e81…
04-23 21:04:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xde78f2…
04-23 02:18:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfa44ec…
04-23 02:18:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8550e6…
04-23 02:17:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x20fee8…
04-22 14:40:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0x4c6efa…
04-21 10:08:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1dedd1…
04-21 10:08:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2d090f…
04-19 19:55:14	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xad74dd…
04-19 19:54:52	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6b304b…
04-18 14:10:36	sea juv bol 2026 04 19 juv	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x70806b…
04-18 14:09:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xf6f8d9…
04-18 13:21:12	sea nap laz 2026 04 18 nap	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1db584…
04-18 13:20:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x5fb002…
04-16 07:15:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x49314d…
04-16 07:06:36	btc updown 5m 1776323400	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7f8c0…
04-16 07:05:26	btc updown 5m 1776323100	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x06cdb9…
04-15 23:58:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xfad226…
04-15 23:43:22	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x231bc3…
04-15 23:43:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf5ec01…
04-15 23:41:46	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x8951b2…
04-15 06:20:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xad523b…
04-15 06:13:12	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	No	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x67d089…
04-15 06:12:40	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x45354b…
04-13 03:08:41	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x050af1…
04-13 02:58:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xca30cc…
04-11 22:57:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf9c972…
04-11 22:56:41	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x6b97c3…
04-11 19:05:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3224b7…
04-11 18:55:19	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb72478…
04-11 18:55:09	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x34f10d…
04-09 19:35:19	uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 bol	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9e7d5d…
04-09 13:23:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3dafbe…
04-09 13:14:53	btc updown 5m 1775740200	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8ed979…
04-09 13:12:09	btc updown 5m 1775740500	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x963f5c…
04-09 11:15:07	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x93fa92…
04-09 11:06:51	btc updown 5m 1775732700	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfc00d6…
04-09 10:54:01	btc updown 5m 1775732100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xac16c4…
04-09 10:40:31	btc updown 5m 1775731200	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x718366…
04-09 10:39:21	btc updown 5m 1775730900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4510bf…
04-08 05:44:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xabb04f…
04-08 05:43:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x247d28…
04-08 02:17:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xe996d8…
04-08 02:15:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	375	0¢	$2	0x394130…
04-08 02:13:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x36b2d5…
04-08 01:24:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x55fd5e…
04-08 01:23:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,167	0¢	$5	0xe6a6a9…
04-08 01:16:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x86a629…
04-08 01:15:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2b2ad8…
04-08 01:09:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xece665…
04-08 01:08:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x08a5d4…
04-08 00:55:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x95e33b…
04-08 00:54:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2fb6b6…
03-30 14:25:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9f95b6…
03-30 14:24:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xeb88cf…
03-28 10:56:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9b1d9b…
03-27 22:15:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x284b5e…
03-25 11:11:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x04500c…
03-25 11:05:35	btc updown 5m 1774436700	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa27b45…
03-25 05:21:15	btc updown 5m 1774416000	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd8713e…
03-25 05:19:59	btc updown 5m 1774416000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2757c0…
03-25 05:19:31	btc updown 5m 1774415700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f48d9…
03-25 05:15:37	btc updown 5m 1774415700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x482be9…
03-25 05:13:35	btc updown 5m 1774415400	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x726029…
03-20 16:24:33	btc updown 5m 1774023600	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x50be65…
03-20 16:22:25	btc updown 5m 1774023600	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x379537…
03-20 03:43:31	btc updown 5m 1773978000	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb2ab44…
03-20 03:43:13	btc updown 5m 1773978000	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0xc90b2d…
03-20 03:37:51	btc updown 5m 1773978000	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x538a5d…
03-20 03:37:11	btc updown 5m 1773977700	Up	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x480271…
03-20 03:35:55	btc updown 5m 1773977700	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8a3fc5…
03-20 03:33:29	btc updown 5m 1773977700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0eb75b…
03-20 03:32:49	btc updown 5m 1773977400	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9b367b…
03-20 03:31:49	btc updown 5m 1773977400	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x087dba…
03-20 03:31:45	btc updown 5m 1773977400	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xa5fb8d…
03-20 03:30:01	btc updown 5m 1773977400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x30b081…
03-20 03:29:03	btc updown 5m 1773977100	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x55655a…