Definite-Pledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$156

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-31 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 49% +$4

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	8	$21	25	16	+9	open	—	02-22 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	8	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$11	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 17:04
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-31 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$6	10	6	+4	Down	$-0	05-06 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-09 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$4	11	4	+7	Down	$-2	05-09 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$4	18	18	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Up	$-1	05-09 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-09 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$2	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 20:12:27	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x329895…
05-31 19:17:41	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcc650c…
05-10 08:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x19e449…
05-10 08:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2c36eb…
05-10 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x9ff201…
05-10 08:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x79cf6d…
05-10 07:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xc24d34…
05-10 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc90f0b…
05-10 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2284c7…
05-10 07:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4f937b…
05-10 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb5bb6a…
05-10 07:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf33e67…
05-10 07:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5ff03c…
05-10 07:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3d957a…
05-10 07:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xad0a6a…
05-10 07:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3c97bd…
05-09 07:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x36abb9…
05-09 07:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xaad47e…
05-09 07:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb8c0ec…
05-09 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf9334…
05-09 07:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xef002c…
05-09 07:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x578660…
05-09 06:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1f56cb…
05-09 06:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xf6e66e…
05-09 06:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea5ea3…
05-09 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4d3245…
05-09 06:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1adbd1…
05-09 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6462bf…
05-09 06:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x61af90…
05-09 05:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x8ae5f7…
05-09 05:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc6dc1f…
05-09 05:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xdfd036…
05-09 05:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x91617b…
05-09 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37125b…
05-09 05:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x177ba9…
05-09 05:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x5f4fb9…
05-09 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbec37e…
05-09 05:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc3fff8…
05-09 05:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd5e2db…
05-09 05:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xeaf182…
05-09 05:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x89e179…
05-09 05:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x19802d…
05-09 05:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5892df…
05-09 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x55c07a…
05-09 05:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc14004…
05-09 04:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xe90861…
05-09 04:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1cf3bf…
05-09 04:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x4a669a…
05-09 04:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe61435…
05-09 04:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x18ce9e…
05-09 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3de2e4…
05-09 04:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x94f566…
05-09 04:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8445b4…
05-09 04:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x65e9d6…
05-09 04:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xecf7fa…
05-09 04:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x750453…
05-09 04:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xfcc435…
05-09 04:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x113bb5…
05-09 04:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa519eb…
05-09 04:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x63b122…
05-09 04:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4ad796…
05-09 04:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0e92af…
05-09 04:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x156ae9…
05-09 04:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x842e27…
05-09 04:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xbe9ac0…
05-09 04:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9c7e77…
05-06 17:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x51d80d…
05-06 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2828f3…
05-06 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x648540…
05-06 17:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6dcbde…
05-06 17:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad9da9…
05-06 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9417ab…
05-06 17:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3c113d…
05-06 17:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x6dea25…
05-06 17:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x949754…
05-06 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x088a7a…
05-06 17:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x61a7d7…
05-06 17:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x07844e…
05-06 17:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4f6b35…
05-06 17:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xce3053…
05-06 17:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xde0261…
05-06 17:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xe1f352…
05-06 17:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5f3616…
05-06 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xaed896…
05-06 17:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf49997…
05-06 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe5569…
05-06 16:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xac83af…
04-12 14:29:51	btc updown 5m 1776003900	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x769021…
02-22 15:35:00	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	Canada	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe786a4…
02-22 15:34:08	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	Canada	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x809c34…
02-22 15:31:20	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	Canada	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x925cc6…
02-22 15:31:08	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	USA	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x0c64ea…
02-22 15:27:42	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	USA	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe118b7…
02-22 15:27:12	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	Canada	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x71636a…
02-22 15:25:22	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	USA	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4fc06b…
02-22 15:24:44	mwoh can usa 2026 02 22	Canada	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x07dd26…