Wasteful-Facelift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

104

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-20 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Sports

36% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	6	$302	151	151	+0	No	$-0	03-25 07:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	03-17 14:00
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-03 07:38
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$214	107	107	+0	No	$-0	04-10 13:19
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$210	105	105	+0	No	$-0	04-05 14:32
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	04-05 23:14
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	4	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	03-01 12:12
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	03-25 00:52
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-01 20:59
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$130	65	65	+0	open	—	03-22 23:14
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	03-22 17:01
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-07 14:12
will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	03-27 02:37
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 13:39
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-21 01:01
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	04-20 05:15
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	04-01 02:03
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	04-18 01:49
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	03-29 12:30
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$112	56	56	+0	open	—	03-14 12:30
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-28 07:57
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$110	55	55	+0	open	—	03-22 10:53
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	02-12 20:39
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 20:07
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$-0	04-04 20:32
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$-0	03-27 14:59
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$96	48	48	+0	open	—	02-17 17:47
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	03-23 17:40
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	02-24 18:45
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	02-21 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 05:15:06	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x567180…
04-20 00:32:26	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x2d6713…
04-18 01:49:52	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x177972…
04-17 15:47:36	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xeaa621…
04-13 13:39:03	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1c8f45…
04-13 09:21:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x100215…
04-10 13:19:33	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x16d30b…
04-10 09:09:13	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb86a86…
04-05 23:14:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x664416…
04-05 14:32:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x48dfed…
04-05 14:32:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xc2bca2…
04-05 08:24:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x22a3c9…
04-04 20:32:43	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf088a8…
04-04 14:10:23	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4cc252…
04-04 03:51:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x8063a1…
04-04 02:15:15	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xad42da…
04-03 07:38:37	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x539b0c…
04-03 04:21:53	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8897e4…
04-02 09:47:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x3aacef…
04-02 03:37:11	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x0830e6…
04-01 20:59:19	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x56244f…
04-01 16:56:49	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x081508…
04-01 02:03:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xacef1b…
03-31 22:10:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x13064c…
03-31 11:54:03	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d8ce6…
03-31 07:17:41	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xda0c72…
03-30 14:46:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f3fec…
03-29 20:07:16	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb7ced7…
03-29 16:17:38	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd10cda…
03-29 12:30:44	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xab3470…
03-29 08:46:16	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xa50fd4…
03-28 07:57:41	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x1e8043…
03-28 03:57:51	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x08b816…
03-27 14:59:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1a50a4…
03-27 08:49:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe88064…
03-27 02:37:31	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xe6ee01…
03-26 20:29:43	will solana dip to 20 in march 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x18bb54…
03-25 13:13:01	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x01fa8e…
03-25 07:04:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa13cee…
03-25 07:04:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xf6e527…
03-25 00:53:15	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xe3ef2d…
03-25 00:52:59	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x725fb0…
03-24 18:33:47	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x0ca969…
03-23 17:40:37	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x2af4e3…
03-23 05:22:39	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xa8fb25…
03-22 23:14:03	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xe535a5…
03-22 17:01:59	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5e62ef…
03-22 17:01:45	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xbe5cc0…
03-22 10:53:29	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x64392b…
03-22 10:53:11	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd71d96…
03-22 04:48:11	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x078696…
03-21 01:01:15	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x82ba82…
03-20 09:27:11	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe3d69b…
03-19 19:06:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xdafa9c…
03-19 03:54:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd8280e…
03-17 14:00:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf329de…
03-17 13:51:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0xcf9128…
03-15 02:12:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xf45db5…
03-14 19:16:09	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6b72f9…
03-14 12:30:05	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd5fddd…
03-14 06:02:25	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x6b268b…
03-13 17:00:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xcea319…
03-13 10:15:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xc5bea4…
03-12 22:41:57	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0xf137af…
03-12 22:41:31	nba bkn atl 2026 03 12	Hawks	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0xf3cf40…
03-12 22:41:03	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x308e81…
03-12 14:20:33	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6de9ab…
03-12 06:06:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0d7f20…
03-10 18:57:57	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	76ers	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0xccaa39…
03-10 18:57:27	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x91d7a7…
03-08 22:22:21	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0xc71d07…
03-07 14:12:49	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x6e68eb…
03-07 14:12:25	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xeaf659…
03-06 11:23:31	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x64ef7e…
03-05 06:54:39	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x42bd28…
03-04 23:16:21	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x5d41dc…
03-03 21:16:07	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x220757…
03-03 14:29:49	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x734dd0…
03-02 23:04:45	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5c7618…
03-02 12:12:49	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdc8c72…
03-02 03:13:09	nba phi bos 2026 03 01	Celtics	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0x72a275…
03-01 20:03:11	nba phi bos 2026 03 01	Celtics	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0xf02484…
03-01 20:02:43	nba sac lal 2026 03 01	Kings	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0xe62607…
03-01 12:12:29	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x554d4e…
03-01 00:19:09	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x28baf1…
02-28 07:11:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x81d4c0…
02-28 07:11:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x92cb2d…
02-27 22:20:27	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xca36a3…
02-27 08:12:29	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x8f0a59…
02-27 00:33:26	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x78b835…
02-24 22:10:56	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc1c67…
02-24 22:10:38	Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x246e34…
02-24 22:10:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2a540d…
02-24 18:45:32	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1f2c74…
02-24 12:59:20	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xbb07ec…
02-22 08:53:40	nba tor mil 2026 02 22	Bucks	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xd98b36…
02-21 02:41:10	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1d7098…
02-18 00:07:17	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa87eff…
02-17 17:47:01	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xccc1f5…
02-15 23:10:25	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7b5c2f…