Sudden-Conservation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$126

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-21 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 33% +$8

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-26 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+1	open	—	04-25 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	05-16 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$6	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$4	15	0	+15	Up	+$11	05-07 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$4	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	+$5	05-09 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$3	23	0	+23	open	—	04-25 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-09 20:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-21 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-09 20:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-09 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-09 20:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	05-09 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 13:45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	43	0	+43	open	—	05-09 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 14:02:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1ce907…
05-16 20:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfa8221…
05-16 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa0606c…
05-09 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5f6903…
05-09 20:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbb52c9…
05-09 20:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x985b19…
05-09 19:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xad04f5…
05-09 15:38:52	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc5948b…
05-09 15:38:36	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa187c5…
05-09 15:38:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4839d…
05-07 12:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x2f258d…
05-06 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x241395…
04-26 22:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9440ed…
04-26 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd3b970…
04-26 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x80b228…
04-26 17:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xae2780…
04-26 17:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x095eb2…
04-26 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5f66bf…
04-26 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xdbd7f7…
04-26 17:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc14869…
04-26 17:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5ba81e…
04-26 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfc7962…
04-26 08:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1caefb…
04-26 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0dadc8…
04-25 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe8a2c7…
04-25 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5d2715…
04-25 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x65620f…
04-25 14:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x06f5b9…
04-25 14:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x92600d…
04-25 14:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe3b5f4…
04-25 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1471eb…
04-25 14:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x36fa1f…
04-25 14:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x47aec1…
04-25 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9c59b9…
04-25 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x9cb3b1…
04-25 14:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x93441d…
04-25 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3ba72a…
04-25 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d1bb9…
04-25 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x29c902…
04-25 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xfd4a65…
04-25 13:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcdf204…
04-25 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x95f2d1…