Dull-Assumption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$867

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-19 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

83% 12% $-69

Crypto

14% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	2	$109	86	84	+2	open	—	05-03 22:12
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$68	55	55	+0	New York Yankees	$-2	05-12 04:49
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$63	48	48	+0	open	—	05-01 06:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$61	41	41	+0	Yes	+$21	05-06 21:00
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	2	$48	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	04-30 20:26
btc updown 5m 1776967200	4	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 18:03
btc updown 5m 1776966600	4	$30	37	21	+16	open	—	04-23 17:52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	1	$25	44	0	+44	Cleveland Guardians	$-25	05-07 11:07
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$24	37	21	+16	open	—	04-25 10:42
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?	1	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	04-26 18:48
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$20	48	0	+48	Cavaliers	$-20	05-11 21:57
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-25 21:24
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	04-25 21:28
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$20	118	0	+118	open	—	05-04 18:32
btc updown 5m 1776966300	4	$18	39	20	+19	open	—	04-23 17:48
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$15	54	0	+54	No	$-15	05-04 18:36
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 22:00
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$15	45	0	+45	open	—	05-19 21:49
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$15	65	0	+65	Spurs	$-15	05-06 22:41
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 11:43
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-25 18:16
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-23 18:12
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-26 11:43
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	$-10	04-25 10:47
nba cle tor 2026 04 23	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-23 18:12
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-15 08:16
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	04-29 19:21
will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	2	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-23 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 21:49:55	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xb99f50…
05-15 08:16:10	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x81c579…
05-12 04:49:45	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	55	61¢	$33	0xb2c5a7…
05-11 21:57:52	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd2bac5…
05-11 19:14:56	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xd728fc…
05-07 11:07:27	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x80835e…
05-06 22:41:10	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x33ebf4…
05-06 21:00:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x811050…
05-06 18:34:58	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe44c8b…
05-04 18:36:40	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xbe970b…
05-04 18:32:40	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xd42039…
05-03 22:12:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x8f4786…
05-01 06:01:06	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x21dcd1…
04-30 22:00:40	Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x4e2362…
04-30 21:57:56	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xfa1790…
04-30 20:26:22	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x430369…
04-30 20:26:14	Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x7c7bf6…
04-30 20:26:06	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa6470c…
04-30 13:10:34	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x7f5e07…
04-30 13:08:58	Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x627020…
04-30 13:08:02	Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x8b5bda…
04-29 19:21:46	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x462570…
04-28 08:28:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xf8ddd5…
04-26 18:48:14	Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x2a62fe…
04-26 11:43:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0cffa1…
04-26 11:43:38	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x26a880…
04-25 21:28:50	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd7a4a8…
04-25 21:24:32	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xe7e61c…
04-25 18:19:24	Will Valencia CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf5174e…
04-25 18:16:38	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x601df5…
04-25 10:47:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xef5f70…
04-25 10:47:30	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7a6d6a…
04-25 10:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa1de64…
04-25 10:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb8ce98…
04-25 10:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3e67cb…
04-25 10:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	80¢	$16	0x935c54…
04-25 10:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4cf778…
04-24 08:36:22	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7211d0…
04-24 08:35:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9ed6bf…
04-23 23:06:10	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6508d9…
04-23 23:03:50	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xff370a…
04-23 18:13:40	nba den min 2026 04 23	Timberwolves	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb21b86…
04-23 18:12:40	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd30c35…
04-23 18:12:30	nba cle tor 2026 04 23	Raptors	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x01fe4a…
04-23 18:06:36	btc updown 5m 1776967500	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x35f2f2…
04-23 18:03:10	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x9daed5…
04-23 18:01:14	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x82a277…
04-23 18:01:12	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa4577c…
04-23 18:01:12	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x98dabb…
04-23 17:57:12	btc updown 5m 1776966900	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xe4af99…
04-23 17:55:38	btc updown 5m 1776966900	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6feec3…
04-23 17:52:34	btc updown 5m 1776966600	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf7bd49…
04-23 17:51:44	btc updown 5m 1776966600	Up	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xa2f5e7…
04-23 17:50:32	btc updown 5m 1776966600	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf4edf1…
04-23 17:50:16	btc updown 5m 1776966600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd169b4…
04-23 17:48:46	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb15af3…
04-23 17:47:54	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Up	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xfda501…
04-23 17:47:54	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xc03e53…
04-23 17:46:00	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x41d641…