Upright-Punishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$21.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-21 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-1

Sports

34% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.7K	838	838	+0	open	—	03-21 13:03
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.1K	554	554	+0	No	$-0	03-26 04:54
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$1.1K	529	529	+0	open	—	03-29 06:48
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$948	475	475	+0	open	—	03-19 10:58
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$839	421	421	+0	open	—	02-27 10:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$634	318	318	+0	open	—	04-01 13:47
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	03-23 02:51
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$608	304	304	+0	open	—	03-26 23:47
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$608	305	305	+0	No	$-0	03-22 08:24
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$594	298	298	+0	open	—	02-17 22:04
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$590	296	296	+0	open	—	04-06 18:17
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$582	291	291	+0	open	—	04-16 06:10
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$578	290	290	+0	open	—	03-30 22:54
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$564	282	282	+0	open	—	04-13 20:44
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$556	278	278	+0	open	—	03-16 03:40
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$552	277	277	+0	No	$-0	03-13 18:46
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	03-24 22:16
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$520	260	260	+0	open	—	04-03 05:07
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$514	257	257	+0	open	—	02-12 20:14
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$494	247	247	+0	open	—	04-13 14:29
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$494	247	247	+0	open	—	04-18 22:16
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	02-14 18:28
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$484	242	242	+0	open	—	03-11 20:46
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$482	241	241	+0	open	—	03-19 18:06
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	03-14 01:51
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-14 16:00
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$456	229	229	+0	open	—	03-28 14:32
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	03-28 18:35
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	02-22 21:10
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$448	225	225	+0	open	—	04-08 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 05:44:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xc0c434…
05-19 11:11:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x20b0f7…
04-30 09:16:24	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2582b6…
04-28 22:15:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x736ede…
04-18 22:16:46	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xe4b2ce…
04-18 16:59:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x57b784…
04-16 06:10:46	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$291	0xbd1f8c…
04-16 03:24:46	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0x17f730…
04-13 20:44:13	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0xb391f3…
04-13 17:11:59	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x74f92b…
04-13 14:29:55	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xaca332…
04-13 10:20:05	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x4d9c97…
04-08 08:19:33	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x34a408…
04-08 05:23:33	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x50527c…
04-06 18:17:47	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	296	99¢	$295	0x772d03…
04-06 15:07:39	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x8a2f27…
04-03 05:07:27	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xf94ba5…
04-03 02:54:15	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xc7a506…
04-01 13:47:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0x112212…
04-01 09:49:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x5dae0e…
03-31 11:23:51	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf62d63…
03-30 22:54:29	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x874da6…
03-30 19:03:55	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0xadf423…
03-30 15:15:37	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfd8b71…
03-29 06:48:30	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0x5e10a9…
03-28 22:19:48	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x137987…
03-28 18:35:33	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x304a1e…
03-28 14:32:39	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x2d4d05…
03-28 14:32:23	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$228	0x17fd1b…
03-28 11:14:09	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0xcbf0ae…
03-28 07:26:49	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x1342e7…
03-28 00:01:59	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x69ffb0…
03-26 23:47:25	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xc166cf…
03-26 17:36:47	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x55d13b…
03-26 04:54:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x870afa…
03-26 04:53:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x35c44f…
03-26 04:48:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf23fd1…
03-25 23:09:45	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xbe1172…
03-24 22:16:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x8983bc…
03-24 16:01:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xf7a4fb…
03-24 09:48:25	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0xce77fc…
03-24 06:09:19	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x4c0621…
03-24 05:53:11	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xa389de…
03-24 03:39:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x35bfb9…
03-23 21:27:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x2e0cc0…
03-23 02:51:31	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xdcdd8e…
03-22 20:41:57	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0x0a499d…
03-22 08:24:17	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$304	0x812cc4…
03-22 02:18:07	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0x3f0893…
03-21 13:03:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0xb649d1…
03-21 10:25:49	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0x2c66e9…
03-19 18:06:17	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0x77054a…
03-19 10:59:11	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x573115…
03-19 10:58:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xb33741…
03-19 03:48:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x20082b…
03-17 15:40:15	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x003ecb…
03-17 08:32:15	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x366555…
03-16 03:40:03	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	278	100¢	$278	0x49ab33…
03-15 20:28:35	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0xf260b3…
03-14 16:00:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xa5ae93…
03-14 08:52:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xe904b2…
03-14 01:51:55	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x62bed2…
03-13 18:46:31	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xad63ff…
03-13 18:46:15	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$276	0xe0d23f…
03-13 10:42:35	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0xf4884c…
03-13 00:51:25	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x71bee4…
03-13 00:50:57	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Thunder	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0x68e043…
03-12 12:00:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	313	100¢	$313	0x230f02…
03-12 04:05:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0x0b95ed…
03-11 20:46:49	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	242	100¢	$242	0xab4907…
03-11 13:39:01	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	242	100¢	$242	0x2afb54…
03-10 20:53:37	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	52	45¢	$23	0x8ec0c5…
03-10 20:53:11	nba bos sas 2026 03 10	Celtics	BUY	49	42¢	$21	0xff3fdc…
03-10 20:52:41	nba det bkn 2026 03 10	Pistons	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x7ac0be…
03-04 18:21:19	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x1e6227…
03-04 11:15:11	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xd0055c…
03-04 01:00:13	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xc5353a…
03-03 16:40:47	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0xf13fcb…
03-03 15:57:57	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xd559e2…
03-01 01:44:37	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x4fd6a7…
02-28 09:48:25	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x5e12b0…
02-27 10:17:21	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0xcfeb81…
02-27 02:32:48	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xbb92b2…
02-26 08:52:32	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x69e54d…
02-25 21:19:58	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x1b3183…
02-25 15:11:52	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01d0a0…
02-22 21:11:04	nba tor mil 2026 02 22	Raptors	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x460dd3…
02-22 21:10:22	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x1fd17d…
02-22 04:04:20	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xd5d8a9…
02-21 18:45:58	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xc61523…
02-21 18:45:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0x574388…
02-19 10:42:48	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x3eb98a…
02-17 22:04:39	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0xa9a444…
02-16 05:33:29	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x369d9f…
02-14 18:28:57	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0xfed6cb…
02-14 06:41:43	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x18ca24…
02-13 21:45:47	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x7457c2…
02-13 10:46:31	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x3485a8…
02-12 20:14:41	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$257	0x8c41f8…
02-11 18:39:29	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	257	100¢	$257	0x0c3f2f…