Alienated-Pinecone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$366

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-14 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 41% $-127

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$51	75	25	+50	Down	$-1	05-08 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$50	241	0	+241	Down	$-50	05-08 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$26	71	0	+71	Down	$-26	05-08 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$25	62	0	+62	Up	$-25	05-08 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-08 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$21	57	10	+48	Up	$-9	05-07 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$20	500	0	+500	Up	$-20	05-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$17	110	10	+100	Up	+$1	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$15	25	15	+10	Up	+$1	05-08 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$9	05-07 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 06:41
Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-08 07:55
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 18:09
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-08 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-08 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Down	$-7	05-09 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-07 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-08 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-09 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2	100	0	+100	Up	$-2	05-07 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-1	05-07 19:40
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-12 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-07 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-09 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 18:09:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc26c80…
05-12 18:50:54	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa66b17…
05-11 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc73579…
05-09 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xaa83d7…
05-09 12:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7266aa…
05-09 12:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x75ecad…
05-09 12:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xf418ae…
05-09 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x74aebc…
05-09 12:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x9689fe…
05-09 12:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0xb41248…
05-09 12:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x303091…
05-08 07:57:29	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in May?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x782ee9…
05-08 07:55:30	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x286512…
05-08 07:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdba380…
05-08 07:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc27f63…
05-08 07:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x89458d…
05-08 07:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5ca681…
05-08 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x009b7d…
05-08 07:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x917a56…
05-08 07:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	122	20¢	$25	0x56f1d8…
05-08 07:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7ada6d…
05-08 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x450f30…
05-08 07:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x27aa75…
05-08 06:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc0199d…
05-08 06:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xf86d5f…
05-08 06:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xab7b3e…
05-08 06:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x53995c…
05-08 06:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x0fcaaf…
05-08 06:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7088b6…
05-07 20:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7a306d…
05-07 20:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x4d2443…
05-07 20:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x98c171…
05-07 20:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x934374…
05-07 20:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x558475…
05-07 20:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6cdca8…
05-07 20:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8fa79…
05-07 19:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x632d41…
05-07 19:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x00fda8…
05-07 19:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1da383…
05-07 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4f25c8…
05-07 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x91bcf8…
05-07 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x612f38…
05-07 19:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3d8c5…