Nocturnal-Quail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$516

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-09 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$0

Sports

19% 0% $-6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	04-19 03:55
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	04-21 11:47
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	03-11 16:31
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	02-14 05:01
nba phx ind 2026 03 12 total 225pt5	1	$38	76	0	+76	open	—	03-12 07:56
epl cry lee 2026 03 15 cry	1	$38	97	0	+97	open	—	03-15 07:15
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	1	$25	52	0	+52	open	—	03-16 08:13
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	1	$24	42	0	+42	open	—	03-25 08:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	05-06 08:14
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-08 03:34
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-24 03:27
atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	1	$13	72	0	+72	open	—	03-14 05:15
mlb tex kc 2026 06 09	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 02:22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	1	$6	16	0	+16	Cleveland Guardians	$-6	05-11 06:12
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-28 08:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:22:54	mlb tex kc 2026 06 09	Kansas City Royals	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xf03a54…
05-24 03:27:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1302a5…
05-11 06:12:45	Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x616e6e…
05-06 08:14:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x90154c…
04-21 11:47:56	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe77f10…
04-21 10:48:08	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xdb7dd7…
04-19 03:55:44	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0x89c86e…
04-19 02:51:10	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0xcca817…
03-25 08:33:45	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Thunder	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0xc96dee…
03-16 08:13:25	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Rangers	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x169e2d…
03-15 07:15:37	epl cry lee 2026 03 15 cry	Yes	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x6067fb…
03-14 05:15:11	atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	72	18¢	$13	0x6aa88c…
03-12 07:56:09	nba phx ind 2026 03 12 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0xc8b392…
03-11 16:31:37	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xbad796…
03-08 03:34:15	Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4caf85…
03-07 03:36:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0x8e1899…
02-28 08:07:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd9003d…
02-14 05:01:05	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xee35b1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	9	$19.5K	611	05-13 18:22
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	8	$152.6K	7,714	04-21 23:39
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	8	$35.7K	238	05-11 22:47
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	8	$5.03K	224	06-10 00:13
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	7	$163.9K	1,843	06-10 00:26
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	7	$150.9K	617	06-10 00:38
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	7	$6.58K	125	05-18 19:12
(anonymous) 0xa4bd…e8a2	7	$2.87K	298	03-17 01:20