Smoggy-Shot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-25 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

73% 100% +$19

Politics

24% 83% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	1	$130	131	+131	Yes	+$1	06-07 04:00
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	1	$129	130	+130	Yes	+$1	06-04 09:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$125	125	+125	No	+$0	05-11 11:24
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	04-26 03:45
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	1	$117	121	+121	No	+$4	04-23 11:08
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	1	$116	117	+117	No	+$1	04-19 03:03
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$115	116	+116	No	+$2	04-16 11:28
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	1	$114	115	+115	No	+$1	04-10 07:46
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	1	$114	114	+114	No	+$0	04-05 09:02
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	1	$113	113	+113	No	+$0	04-01 06:27
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1	$110	114	+114	No	+$4	03-03 06:56
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	03-05 02:23
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$109	110	+110	No	+$1	02-26 06:25
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	02-15 03:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	02-11 02:46
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$1	02-10 11:19
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$1	03-29 06:16
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-25 07:33
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	02-09 11:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$107	108	+108	No	+$1	03-15 03:54
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 0 39	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	03-20 06:48
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	1	$107	108	+108	No	+$1	02-08 08:40
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$107	107	+107	No	+$0	02-03 08:53
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$106	107	+107	No	+$0	02-01 10:59
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$106	106	+106	Yes	+$0	01-29 11:17
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$105	106	+106	No	+$1	01-26 02:46
will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-23 07:26
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 320 339	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-21 06:30
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 0 39	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-17 09:48
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-15 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:55:22	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7c2af8…
06-07 04:00:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x4f8393…
06-04 09:56:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xd137fa…
05-11 11:24:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x53dac1…
04-26 03:45:46	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x239c13…
04-23 11:08:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x2bd891…
04-19 03:03:52	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x4e5292…
04-16 11:28:24	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x9677e8…
04-10 07:46:55	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 0 39	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0xe7b90e…
04-05 09:02:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 120 139	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xb8cb92…
04-01 06:27:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x36fca6…
03-29 06:16:28	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x7cf3b2…
03-25 07:33:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x7e10ee…
03-20 06:48:33	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 0 39	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x151c91…
03-15 03:54:47	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x053b4c…
03-15 03:54:37	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xcb49df…
03-15 03:54:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x9d142f…
03-15 03:54:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	523	0¢	$1	0xaf5b83…
03-08 10:37:11	will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8c25d9…
03-08 10:37:05	will hoppers opening weekend box office be greater than 31m	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17310d…
03-05 02:23:51	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4d1593…
03-05 02:23:41	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa920a9…
03-05 02:23:33	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 120 139	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5dce45…
03-03 06:56:05	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x4cb73e…
02-26 06:25:54	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xb2bef0…
02-15 03:32:27	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x3a63a9…
02-11 02:46:05	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 100 119	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x0ccdfd…
02-10 11:19:49	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 40 64	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xac5077…
02-09 11:14:29	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x27115e…
02-08 08:40:15	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 140 159	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xa9902c…
02-03 08:53:40	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xf98548…
02-01 10:59:08	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x2029d2…
01-29 11:17:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x28217b…
01-26 02:46:00	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xaf78bd…
01-23 07:26:14	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x939baa…
01-21 06:30:16	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 320 339	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6d194e…
01-17 09:48:08	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 0 39	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4e6df6…
01-15 08:00:34	will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x284c4e…
01-13 11:14:37	will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	No	BUY	105	99¢	$103	0x937a54…
01-10 03:28:38	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 0 39	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x0fa521…
01-07 03:41:33	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 40 64	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xe07f03…
01-06 07:14:29	elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 40 49	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc21462…
01-05 08:26:51	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 40m and 45m	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xe9df4b…
01-02 07:30:49	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9887f7…