Serene-Consent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$77

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-11 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 36% $-8

Other

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$4	12	5	+7	Down	$-0	05-11 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 01:11
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-07 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$2	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-11 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-10 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-11 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-08 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-10 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-11 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 03:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3374e6…
05-11 03:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x3c4421…
05-11 03:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x607d02…
05-11 03:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8a240e…
05-11 02:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe22624…
05-11 02:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcdc27d…
05-11 02:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xc8a06a…
05-11 02:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbe5b17…
05-11 02:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9c2482…
05-11 01:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9fe509…
05-11 01:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x2ec359…
05-11 01:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2c830c…
05-11 01:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x69cbde…
05-11 01:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xca9ed1…
05-11 01:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe294a6…
05-11 01:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x71d80a…
05-11 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x056c28…
05-11 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xd6f542…
05-11 01:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc5c76c…
05-11 01:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6e0259…
05-11 01:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf1ea66…
05-11 01:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x98c84f…
05-11 01:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe42f40…
05-11 01:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x967d08…
05-11 01:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfcb364…
05-10 23:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x120456…
05-10 23:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x101f4b…
05-10 23:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe40044…
05-10 23:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe2874b…
05-10 23:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe375e8…
05-10 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0be07b…
05-10 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe06e2a…
05-10 23:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xa2fbcb…
05-10 23:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6194a0…
05-10 22:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x2345a2…
05-10 22:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x92b2f2…
05-08 04:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3005af…
05-08 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x6d3024…
05-08 02:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x129c02…
05-08 01:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x2c5c04…
05-08 01:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9bf4b7…
05-08 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xf870a0…
05-08 01:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x05998b…
05-08 01:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e779b…
05-08 01:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6a28ec…
05-08 01:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x131210…
05-08 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdeb47e…
05-08 00:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x96facf…
05-08 00:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb20500…
05-08 00:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd5a984…
05-07 23:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1dedb5…
05-07 23:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd8d474…
05-07 23:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe50ed1…
05-07 23:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe9946…
05-07 23:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x10b421…
05-07 23:23:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa3f594…
05-07 23:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x02aabb…
05-07 22:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf7186b…
05-07 22:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16d25d…
05-07 12:25:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x243b15…