Naive-Hub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$144

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-10 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 17% $-84

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.8K	888	888	-0	open	—	01-08 18:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.3K	63,361	63,361	+0	open	—	02-09 17:20
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$642	58,333	58,333	+0	open	—	02-17 17:01
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$409	31,429	31,429	+0	open	—	01-08 18:27
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	1	$30	51	0	+51	Under	$-30	05-10 18:01
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	1	$25	54	0	+54	Under	$-25	05-08 17:38
Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5	1	$25	43	0	+43	Under	$-25	05-08 17:37
epl sun mac 2026 01 01 btts	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	01-01 17:31
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 total 2pt5	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	02-03 18:30
sea com mil 2026 01 15 btts	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	01-15 19:38
itc ata juv 2026 02 05 total 2pt5	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	02-05 19:44
sea ata cre 2026 02 09 total 2pt5	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	02-09 17:17
lal lev esp 2026 01 11 total 2pt5	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	01-11 10:28
sea cag juv 2026 01 17 total 2pt5	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	01-17 17:30
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	1	$20	41	0	+41	Over	+$21	05-08 17:37
sea juv lec 2026 01 03 juv	2	$20	21	21	+0	open	—	01-03 17:55
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	1	$15	25	0	+25	Under	$-15	05-10 18:01
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	01-07 19:45
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	01-07 19:45
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	28	0	+28	Under	$-10	05-10 18:01
sea juv lec 2026 01 03 lec	1	$10	43	0	+43	open	—	01-03 17:57
sea juv lec 2026 01 03 btts	1	$10	61	0	+61	open	—	01-03 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 18:01:50	Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x659289…
05-10 18:01:27	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe74275…
05-10 18:01:08	AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x31ec6d…
05-08 17:38:07	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xd6c0e2…
05-08 17:37:41	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x5c6e46…
05-08 17:37:14	Hamarkameratene vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x021db0…
02-17 17:01:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	58,333	0¢	$292	0xbd850e…
02-17 17:01:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	58,333	1¢	$350	0x1463da…
02-09 17:20:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	30,000	1¢	$270	0xdf969e…
02-09 17:19:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30,000	1¢	$300	0x0e1339…
02-09 17:17:39	sea ata cre 2026 02 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x9636d3…
02-06 17:41:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	33,361	1¢	$334	0x20029d…
02-06 17:39:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	33,361	1¢	$400	0x8ab011…
02-05 19:44:29	itc ata juv 2026 02 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc253d2…
02-03 18:30:20	sea bol mil 2026 02 03 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x62f907…
01-17 17:30:54	sea cag juv 2026 01 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x73b7c7…
01-15 19:38:44	sea com mil 2026 01 15 btts	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x187ff9…
01-11 10:28:22	lal lev esp 2026 01 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x459c9e…
01-08 18:27:50	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	31,429	1¢	$189	0x49a705…
01-08 18:26:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	31,429	1¢	$220	0xcf5e27…
01-08 18:26:12	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	446	100¢	$445	0xe929ad…
01-08 18:23:34	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	446	100¢	$445	0x2346f1…
01-07 19:45:09	over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x36eae8…
01-07 19:45:01	over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xd6c164…
01-05 20:12:19	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	441	100¢	$440	0x8b1496…
01-05 20:01:43	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0xb88b16…
01-03 17:57:27	sea juv lec 2026 01 03 lec	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x891235…
01-03 17:55:43	sea juv lec 2026 01 03 juv	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0xf153f0…
01-03 17:54:27	sea juv lec 2026 01 03 juv	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8d26b3…
01-03 17:54:13	sea juv lec 2026 01 03 btts	No	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x3d2ac3…
01-01 17:31:23	epl sun mac 2026 01 01 btts	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcb779f…