Hefty-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,260

lifetime

Volume

$6.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-07 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-3

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	16	$60	49	48	+1	open	—	04-27 17:33
btc updown 5m 1775453400	5	$40	120	0	+120	open	—	04-06 05:30
btc updown 5m 1772042100	5	$34	80	0	+80	open	—	02-25 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	9	$25	32	25	+7	open	—	04-27 17:48
btc updown 5m 1772116200	5	$24	60	0	+60	open	—	02-26 14:34
btc updown 5m 1771859100	3	$23	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 15:09
btc updown 5m 1771774800	4	$23	60	0	+60	open	—	02-22 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771848300	3	$22	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 12:10
btc updown 5m 1771835400	3	$22	59	0	+59	open	—	02-23 08:35
btc updown 5m 1771898700	3	$22	60	0	+60	open	—	02-24 02:09
btc updown 5m 1771852500	3	$22	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 13:19
btc updown 5m 1774339800	4	$22	40	0	+40	open	—	03-24 08:10
btc updown 5m 1771818300	4	$21	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 03:49
bitcoin up or down january 11 7am et	4	$21	660	660	+0	open	—	01-11 12:54
btc updown 5m 1771844100	3	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	02-23 10:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$12	05-06 07:40
btc updown 5m 1771914300	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-24 06:29
btc updown 5m 1771831200	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 07:24
btc updown 5m 1771959600	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-24 19:04
btc updown 5m 1771817700	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 03:38
btc updown 5m 1772114100	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-26 13:59
btc updown 5m 1771842300	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 10:29
btc updown 5m 1771840200	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 09:54
btc updown 5m 1772033700	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-25 15:39
btc updown 5m 1772177700	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-27 07:35
btc updown 5m 1771768800	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-22 14:04
btc updown 5m 1771857300	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 14:39
btc updown 5m 1771871100	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 18:29
btc updown 5m 1772038200	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-25 16:54
btc updown 5m 1771851300	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-23 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1db362…
05-07 04:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x35e2be…
05-07 04:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bbc71…
05-07 03:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7896e3…
05-07 03:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x70d2b6…
05-07 03:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x9a191f…
05-07 03:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3df59b…
05-06 08:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x82dce8…
05-06 07:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdd8e4c…
05-06 07:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x170918…
05-06 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x06ceb4…
05-06 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x495290…
05-06 07:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc8d26f…
05-06 06:31:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xaefaa4…
05-06 06:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1b73d9…
05-05 02:41:50	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d95df…
05-05 01:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3e68a9…
05-05 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa5a582…
05-05 01:06:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4fe47a…
05-05 00:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4816f2…
05-05 00:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47943c…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x3a817c…
05-05 00:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc6ca40…
05-04 22:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x1ccac0…
05-04 22:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x07bdba…
05-04 19:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x88c90b…
05-04 19:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9fd21d…
05-04 15:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf192cd…
05-04 15:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x62c2ed…
05-04 15:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xaf394d…
05-04 15:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x59d73e…
05-04 14:50:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x714b72…
05-04 14:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe549da…
05-04 14:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0cd0cb…
05-04 14:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd21cf1…
05-04 14:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xf24770…
05-04 14:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xad0829…
05-04 14:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x387db6…
05-04 14:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2f87f8…
05-04 14:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x90d7ad…
05-04 14:20:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbd5e76…
05-04 13:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x83fa2a…
05-04 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5f96f9…
05-04 10:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd97023…
05-04 10:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd9c9f9…
05-04 10:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x2f65fd…
05-04 10:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xc545f7…
05-04 06:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x50e336…
05-04 04:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf98f8a…
05-04 04:20:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a1780…
05-04 02:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x9742cf…
05-04 02:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4274a3…
05-04 02:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x62c6a6…
05-04 01:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa45632…
05-04 01:35:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x47c234…
05-04 00:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaa924c…
05-04 00:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeec091…
05-04 00:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x30abed…
05-04 00:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc70671…
05-04 00:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc5c71c…
05-04 00:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8cb528…
05-03 23:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd8c734…
05-03 23:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd04260…
05-03 23:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x2f60d3…
05-03 23:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa602e1…
05-03 23:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b0618…
05-03 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3471e9…
05-03 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x0f7328…
05-03 23:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe022ff…
05-03 23:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd58577…
05-03 22:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8facde…
05-03 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5e971f…
05-03 22:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x36e23d…
05-03 21:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe6602e…
05-03 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x51686d…
05-03 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x17f8bd…
05-03 19:35:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x198b6b…
05-03 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x00bbe4…
05-03 19:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x729adf…
05-03 16:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0dba01…
05-03 12:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x750e59…
05-03 11:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xc508d7…
05-03 11:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6f665f…
05-03 11:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2f584a…
05-03 11:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x0e689d…
05-03 11:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x931906…
05-03 11:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x52e460…
05-03 11:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcf5edf…
05-03 11:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x4d74d1…
05-03 09:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x05bf99…
05-03 07:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdaf117…
05-03 07:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbc78ff…
05-03 07:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x41a66d…
05-03 05:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xc7f588…
05-03 05:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x423f35…
05-03 01:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x681bb8…
05-03 01:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a02cb…
05-03 01:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2733aa…
05-02 21:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x77f971…
05-02 20:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc294b5…