Loyal-Trick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$568

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 08-06 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 42% $-12

Tech

16% — —

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	03-29 01:49
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-01 01:43
sol updown 15m 1785990600	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	08-06 03:48
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-05 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-24 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-24 21:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 16:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 16:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-01 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-24 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-24 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-29 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-29 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-29 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-29 02:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-23 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-23 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-23 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-23 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-21 15:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-21 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-12 02:40
eth updown 15m 1780776000	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:42
eth updown 15m 1780775100	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:44
eth updown 15m 1780768800	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:42
eth updown 15m 1780772400	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:41
eth updown 15m 1780769700	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:46
eth updown 15m 1780776900	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:45
eth updown 15m 1780773300	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:44
eth updown 15m 1780774200	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-06 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 03:48:44	sol updown 15m 1785990600	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7029e6…
06-17 02:53:19	eth updown 15m 1781674200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5a4c13…
06-17 02:53:16	eth updown 15m 1781668800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd1dc6d…
06-17 02:53:13	eth updown 15m 1781667000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa9ff4b…
06-17 02:53:10	eth updown 15m 1781669700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x040750…
06-17 02:53:07	eth updown 15m 1781666100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x33d8b8…
06-17 02:53:04	eth updown 15m 1781665200	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xaf00c2…
06-17 02:53:01	eth updown 15m 1781667900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb4313b…
06-17 02:52:58	eth updown 15m 1781673300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4c7f42…
06-17 02:52:55	eth updown 15m 1781671500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x322002…
06-17 02:52:52	eth updown 15m 1781672400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb210f0…
06-17 02:52:49	eth updown 15m 1781675100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xd01ac5…
06-17 02:52:46	eth updown 15m 1781670600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xaef795…
06-17 02:30:24	eth updown 15m 1781663400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x260a15…
06-17 02:30:21	eth updown 15m 1781664300	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x568146…
06-16 23:30:53	eth updown 15m 1781654400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a9c2f…
06-16 23:30:52	eth updown 15m 1781660700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x953a3c…
06-16 23:30:49	eth updown 15m 1781655300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1aa162…
06-16 23:30:46	eth updown 15m 1781657100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb816d7…
06-16 23:30:43	eth updown 15m 1781659800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d16bc…
06-16 23:30:40	eth updown 15m 1781658000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf5cec…
06-16 23:30:37	eth updown 15m 1781656200	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd52cee…
06-16 23:30:35	eth updown 15m 1781658900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb5f78e…
06-16 20:54:05	eth updown 15m 1781649900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x463605…
06-16 20:54:02	eth updown 15m 1781652600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa0d8a8…
06-16 20:53:59	eth updown 15m 1781650800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3d7cc0…
06-16 20:53:56	eth updown 15m 1781648100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x19354c…
06-16 20:53:53	eth updown 15m 1781651700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x2f13b4…
06-16 20:53:52	eth updown 15m 1781647200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x98b67b…
06-16 20:53:47	eth updown 15m 1781649000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x08f3ef…
06-16 14:51:13	eth updown 15m 1781642700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8f50ba…
06-16 14:51:08	eth updown 15m 1781634600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x51cff4…
06-16 14:51:02	eth updown 15m 1781646300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x62be94…
06-16 14:50:58	eth updown 15m 1781636400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xe7d370…
06-16 14:50:52	eth updown 15m 1781631900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7525ef…
06-16 14:50:47	eth updown 15m 1781638200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0d7bfa…
06-16 14:50:44	eth updown 15m 1781631000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x33eabf…
06-16 14:50:40	eth updown 15m 1781629200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf72aea…
06-16 14:50:35	eth updown 15m 1781640000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa36182…
06-16 14:50:31	eth updown 15m 1781625600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x56cb7b…
06-16 14:50:26	eth updown 15m 1781641800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xa45228…
06-16 14:50:22	eth updown 15m 1781644500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5d37ec…
06-16 14:50:17	eth updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x1fa271…
06-16 14:50:13	eth updown 15m 1781643600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4838ed…
06-16 14:50:07	eth updown 15m 1781640900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf47a9f…
06-16 14:50:02	eth updown 15m 1781633700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd2c6ab…
06-16 14:49:56	eth updown 15m 1781632800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x295a2c…
06-16 14:49:52	eth updown 15m 1781626500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x29954d…
06-16 14:49:47	eth updown 15m 1781627400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x32225e…
06-16 14:49:43	eth updown 15m 1781630100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x989bc6…
06-16 14:49:40	eth updown 15m 1781628300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x23cd5b…
06-16 14:49:34	eth updown 15m 1781639100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xfd8b6d…
06-16 14:49:28	eth updown 15m 1781635500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x4edcad…
06-16 14:49:23	eth updown 15m 1781645400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x36a509…
06-14 15:34:21	eth updown 15m 1781466300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x5dc708…
06-14 15:34:19	eth updown 15m 1781467200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x955b12…
06-14 15:34:16	eth updown 15m 1781464500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xdf923f…
06-14 15:34:13	eth updown 15m 1781478900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xe349a5…
06-14 15:34:12	eth updown 15m 1781460000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xbfac4c…
06-14 15:34:09	eth updown 15m 1781479800	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xe9eb1c…
06-14 15:34:06	eth updown 15m 1781452800	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x95cd7a…
06-14 15:34:04	eth updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x404e59…
06-14 15:34:01	eth updown 15m 1781474400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb810ae…
06-14 15:33:58	eth updown 15m 1781478000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xe722ac…
06-06 17:46:03	eth updown 15m 1780769700	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3aaaa…
06-06 17:45:34	eth updown 15m 1780771500	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd9192b…
06-06 17:45:09	eth updown 15m 1780776900	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa0d7e0…
06-06 17:44:40	eth updown 15m 1780773300	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x38f7bd…
06-06 17:44:13	eth updown 15m 1780775100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x15c513…
06-06 17:43:46	eth updown 15m 1780778700	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8f08f4…
06-06 17:43:13	eth updown 15m 1780777800	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x30aa26…
06-06 17:42:46	eth updown 15m 1780768800	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c17d2…
06-06 17:42:18	eth updown 15m 1780776000	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3bcfde…
06-06 17:41:49	eth updown 15m 1780772400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x05b00b…
06-06 17:41:24	eth updown 15m 1780774200	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd31222…
06-06 17:40:55	eth updown 15m 1780770600	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5fb373…
06-06 14:25:18	eth updown 15m 1780764300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x877d10…
06-06 14:25:10	eth updown 15m 1780766100	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8bda6d…
06-06 14:25:06	eth updown 15m 1780761600	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x23a46a…
06-06 14:24:58	eth updown 15m 1780765200	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x15bade…
06-06 14:24:51	eth updown 15m 1780762500	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xef8fee…
06-06 14:24:45	eth updown 15m 1780767000	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0aa35b…
06-06 14:24:37	eth updown 15m 1780767900	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x3eeb05…
06-06 14:24:30	eth updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0ae58b…
05-29 02:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x0183b6…
05-29 02:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xed2b1a…
05-29 02:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9ef72b…
05-29 02:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb0ce95…
05-24 22:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x107726…
05-24 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4f29a7…
05-24 15:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x270b39…
05-24 15:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9c15f5…
05-24 15:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xcbeff5…
05-24 15:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xb706b1…
05-23 02:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3d7a66…
05-23 02:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xac5c75…
05-23 02:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xab7c58…
05-23 02:37:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x26f50e…
05-21 16:57:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb1ef40…
05-21 16:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6fd7d5…