Scared-Ruin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-05 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Crypto

25% 33% $-127

Sports

16% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba den nop 2026 01 13	3	$1.8K	933	933	+0	open	—	01-14 03:53
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	5	$1.7K	1,795	997	+798	open	—	03-18 12:28
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	4	$634	1,327	1,327	+0	open	—	03-18 14:27
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	4	$362	844	809	+35	open	—	04-16 17:26
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	2	$264	617	617	+0	open	—	03-18 08:51
eth updown 15m 1773370800	5	$262	611	210	+401	open	—	03-13 03:12
btc updown 5m 1773868500	2	$238	183	180	+3	open	—	03-18 21:16
eth updown 15m 1773369900	2	$232	270	266	+4	open	—	03-13 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	3	$227	278	278	+0	open	—	03-20 14:53
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	2	$224	161	161	+0	open	—	03-17 14:21
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$219	181	174	+7	open	—	04-10 14:54
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	2	$218	172	172	+0	open	—	03-16 13:26
eth updown 5m 1773355500	2	$197	113	112	+1	open	—	03-12 22:49
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	2	$195	588	588	+0	open	—	03-29 11:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	2	$193	582	582	+0	open	—	03-18 08:46
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	4	$191	653	622	+31	open	—	04-24 10:49
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	3	$174	285	285	+0	open	—	03-20 03:35
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	2	$174	270	270	+0	open	—	03-17 02:49
eth updown 5m 1773350400	2	$172	99	98	+1	open	—	03-12 21:23
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	2	$170	125	125	+0	open	—	03-23 13:43
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	2	$160	441	441	+0	open	—	03-29 11:14
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	4	$159	167	163	+4	open	—	04-24 10:48
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$158	113	113	+0	open	—	05-04 17:08
btc updown 5m 1773868800	2	$155	133	131	+2	open	—	03-18 21:20
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	2	$155	646	646	+0	open	—	03-14 12:34
eth updown 5m 1773355800	2	$154	100	99	+2	open	—	03-12 22:55
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	3	$147	463	0	+463	open	—	04-10 17:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	3	$145	696	0	+696	open	—	04-10 17:57
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	2	$142	152	152	+0	open	—	03-14 02:56
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	2	$134	178	178	+0	open	—	03-24 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:16:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x823adb…
05-05 17:15:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x336fbd…
05-05 17:10:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	61¢	$50	0x9a7371…
05-05 17:07:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0x61b82b…
05-05 17:06:10	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x834f57…
05-05 17:03:12	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xe4a2e6…
05-05 12:19:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	93	6¢	$5	0x23543f…
05-05 12:17:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xbe214c…
05-05 12:06:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	51	73¢	$37	0x99e6a7…
05-05 12:05:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xcf14e4…
05-04 19:29:24	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbf4a5d…
05-04 17:17:32	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	41	69¢	$28	0x36453d…
05-04 17:16:48	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xd6c46c…
05-04 17:08:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	113	76¢	$86	0x937246…
05-04 17:06:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	113	64¢	$72	0x28bfa1…
05-04 16:58:20	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x99e140…
05-04 16:57:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x0ea28a…
05-04 16:51:38	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	37	83¢	$31	0xf59d91…
05-04 16:51:12	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xc23cdf…
05-04 14:55:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x29ea17…
05-04 13:57:10	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	67¢	$33	0x06e6df…
05-04 13:56:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9960b8…
04-27 14:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	47¢	$77	0x0dfa55…
04-27 14:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	209	27¢	$56	0xdb8bcd…
04-26 22:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	28¢	$48	0xff7868…
04-26 22:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	18¢	$31	0x181ff3…
04-26 15:36:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	240	12¢	$29	0x125173…
04-25 15:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xf22f20…
04-25 15:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x459ee9…
04-25 15:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x032c4a…
04-24 17:50:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x6dfe33…
04-24 10:49:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	270	48¢	$130	0x074d0a…
04-24 10:48:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0xb46604…
04-23 19:25:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x508c80…
04-23 19:24:52	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	282	9¢	$25	0x917398…
04-23 18:17:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	102	49¢	$50	0x7c4b33…
04-23 18:16:46	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	352	7¢	$26	0x7b5c74…
04-23 18:16:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	SELL	97	33¢	$33	0xe470fb…
04-23 13:18:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xd2e3bf…
04-23 13:18:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x48a8ae…
04-23 13:18:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x811c7d…
04-17 10:23:46	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x65b544…
04-16 22:52:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	SELL	160	51¢	$82	0x64f296…
04-16 17:26:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	SELL	139	22¢	$30	0x192318…
04-15 00:45:50	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xef105a…
04-15 00:45:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	144	29¢	$42	0xd5b544…
04-14 21:41:02	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	SELL	670	28¢	$190	0x7667a4…
04-14 14:10:23	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	700	14¢	$100	0x6e76d8…
04-13 22:22:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x3570f8…
04-10 17:57:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xd80adb…
04-10 17:57:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x324802…
04-10 17:56:55	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	106	35¢	$37	0x769842…
04-10 17:56:45	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	Yes	BUY	159	22¢	$35	0x312e1d…
04-10 14:54:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0xfd8702…
04-10 12:10:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0xc67060…
04-10 12:09:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 220 239	Yes	BUY	310	19¢	$60	0x94a81c…
04-07 16:01:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	181	26¢	$47	0x72114e…
04-07 16:00:59	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x6545ac…
04-03 12:48:31	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	SELL	165	5¢	$8	0x9ca0f4…
04-02 20:56:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	SELL	156	58¢	$90	0x689b4f…
04-02 20:56:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	128	14¢	$18	0x878ed7…
04-01 19:36:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x103b5d…
04-01 13:35:51	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 40 64	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xd75ac8…
04-01 13:35:39	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	170	39¢	$67	0x6435e1…
03-31 13:59:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$23	0x220d9d…
03-31 03:22:09	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	SELL	58	34¢	$20	0x0e739c…
03-30 19:04:21	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	SELL	68	37¢	$25	0xb6b97f…
03-30 16:36:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	Yes	BUY	156	19¢	$30	0x594235…
03-30 16:35:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0xdfee4c…
03-30 16:35:03	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x44a5c3…
03-30 16:34:53	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	Yes	BUY	121	28¢	$34	0x3c83e6…
03-29 11:14:12	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	588	16¢	$95	0x0e1926…
03-29 11:14:06	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	441	25¢	$110	0x857887…
03-28 22:43:30	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	SELL	294	17¢	$50	0xb0dee7…
03-27 22:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	SELL	61	69¢	$42	0x29cade…
03-27 22:47:57	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	Yes	SELL	111	16¢	$18	0xe4c475…
03-27 14:10:55	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x1a5bce…
03-27 14:10:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	SELL	106	88¢	$93	0x66aff5…
03-27 04:11:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x7553be…
03-27 04:11:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	441	11¢	$50	0xc25750…
03-27 04:11:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x3f652f…
03-27 03:20:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x7fbd49…
03-26 05:04:55	btc updown 5m 1774501500	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x91d2b6…
03-26 04:19:19	btc updown 5m 1774498500	Down	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0xc51484…
03-26 04:18:37	btc updown 5m 1774498500	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xa2e5a2…
03-26 03:30:39	btc updown 5m 1774495800	Down	BUY	56	48¢	$27	0xc12fdd…
03-26 03:26:59	btc updown 5m 1774495500	Down	SELL	46	82¢	$38	0x83380e…
03-26 03:26:43	btc updown 5m 1774495500	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd8cae3…
03-26 03:13:33	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	Yes	BUY	81	14¢	$11	0x9e2d5d…
03-25 23:07:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0x0a4e90…
03-25 17:46:09	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x4ee576…
03-25 17:45:59	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xac71c4…
03-24 17:52:09	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 65 89	Yes	SELL	178	47¢	$84	0x141d17…
03-24 15:12:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xed6586…
03-24 15:12:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x21a228…
03-24 15:11:59	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	Yes	BUY	106	14¢	$15	0x96c79d…
03-24 06:49:49	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	129	64¢	$83	0x06305a…
03-24 06:49:43	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	SELL	154	6¢	$9	0x6ef64e…
03-24 06:49:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x658717…
03-23 22:47:19	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$9	0x02ccd1…