Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$10
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$11
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 21:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
40%
Politics
30%
Crypto
20%
Tech
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026? Yes +61 $1 $2 +$1 05-05 21:59
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 +$0 05-05 21:59
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Kash Patel out by May 31? Yes +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +22 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +25 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +143 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes +32 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? Yes +56 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May? Yes +148 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 21:59