Smooth-Pantologist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-20 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 45% $-79

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769045400	2	$781	425	424	+1	open	—	01-22 01:43
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$442	709	709	+0	open	—	02-08 11:28
btc updown 15m 1769047200	2	$395	589	0	+589	open	—	01-22 02:14
btc updown 15m 1769027400	1	$379	383	0	+383	open	—	01-21 20:44
btc updown 15m 1770549300	2	$359	856	0	+856	open	—	02-08 11:20
btc updown 15m 1768975200	2	$318	423	0	+423	open	—	01-21 06:13
btc updown 15m 1770550200	4	$279	868	0	+868	open	—	02-08 11:36
btc updown 15m 1768959000	1	$278	397	0	+397	open	—	01-21 01:44
btc updown 15m 1768958100	1	$235	279	0	+279	open	—	01-21 01:29
btc updown 15m 1768952700	2	$220	327	0	+327	open	—	01-20 23:57
btc updown 15m 1770552000	2	$200	770	0	+770	open	—	02-08 12:07
btc updown 15m 1768950900	3	$187	221	0	+221	open	—	01-20 23:29
btc updown 15m 1768869900	1	$172	229	0	+229	open	—	01-20 00:58
btc updown 15m 1773535500	7	$168	231	0	+231	open	—	03-15 00:53
btc updown 15m 1770548400	2	$160	539	0	+539	open	—	02-08 11:04
btc updown 15m 1770551100	1	$127	200	0	+200	open	—	02-08 11:45
btc updown 15m 1770245100	2	$126	280	0	+280	open	—	02-04 22:47
btc updown 15m 1770545700	3	$110	460	0	+460	open	—	02-08 10:23
btc updown 15m 1770242400	4	$109	438	0	+438	open	—	02-04 22:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	7	$105	120	60	+60	Up	+$15	05-10 22:05
btc updown 15m 1770269400	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	02-05 05:32
btc updown 15m 1768957200	1	$100	196	0	+196	open	—	01-21 01:02
btc updown 15m 1769164200	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	01-23 10:27
btc updown 15m 1768974300	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	01-21 05:46
btc updown 15m 1768875300	1	$100	178	0	+178	open	—	01-20 02:13
btc updown 15m 1773530100	2	$92	190	0	+190	open	—	03-14 23:14
btc updown 15m 1773401400	12	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 11:36
eth updown 15m 1773442800	8	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 23:05
sol updown 15m 1773441000	4	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 22:31
btc updown 15m 1773406800	2	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	03-13 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 01:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x33ab57…
05-13 07:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xe022f7…
05-12 23:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbba581…
05-12 23:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x474ff5…
05-12 23:50:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x4388f3…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xd95792…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	40¢	$12	0xd5ad30…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd3f2d8…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa350c6…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6836e0…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x5eb329…
05-12 23:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	40¢	$13	0x54296f…
05-12 23:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xe1f802…
05-12 23:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xbb1856…
05-12 23:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x2dd716…
05-12 23:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x089c23…
05-12 23:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x221fc2…
05-12 23:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x416ab1…
05-12 23:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcc71b9…
05-12 23:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x67f960…
05-12 23:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x26c2a4…
05-12 23:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6ad5d…
05-12 23:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8a35ea…
05-12 22:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xca9e6a…
05-12 22:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x5e8fe1…
05-12 22:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x5e16ca…
05-12 22:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x4fb311…
05-12 22:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	81	15¢	$12	0x97d034…
05-12 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xed4fd8…
05-12 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xe620e6…
05-12 22:28:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6e5cb5…
05-12 22:16:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x96f57e…
05-12 22:15:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x232795…
05-12 22:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xfcc4b4…
05-12 22:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdcfd70…
05-12 22:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x949573…
05-12 22:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x86a26c…
05-12 22:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x5dbe72…
05-12 20:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x5404b7…
05-12 19:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x513343…
05-12 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9751d1…
05-12 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x6380fe…
05-12 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x469de4…
05-12 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x2aa1b1…
05-12 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x09efe6…
05-12 19:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7bb1ab…
05-12 19:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xca0e82…
05-12 19:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbfc296…
05-12 19:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x187ed9…
05-12 19:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xb3cc21…
05-12 19:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x732c5b…
05-12 19:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1bbd4e…
05-12 19:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x1996bb…
05-12 19:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x879f13…
05-12 19:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x4d90d8…
05-12 19:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x9952f9…
05-12 19:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x704e9f…
05-12 19:39:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	50¢	$30	0x846e1d…
05-12 17:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x364682…
05-12 17:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x138196…
05-12 17:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x9166ae…
05-12 17:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdfd68e…
05-12 17:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x5674a3…
05-12 17:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xcba721…
05-12 17:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x03afb4…
05-12 17:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xcdbcda…
05-12 17:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x6975f1…
05-12 17:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x3ce206…
05-12 17:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x982f81…
05-12 17:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x55a0b5…
05-12 17:02:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe337d6…
05-12 16:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x7cc6cc…
05-12 16:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc0b5fc…
05-12 16:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x13abdd…
05-12 16:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x974ccd…
05-12 16:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x9fb76b…
05-12 16:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x96e959…
05-12 16:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8d0e41…
05-12 16:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3a8b48…
05-11 02:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x441fa9…
05-11 02:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x657e70…
05-10 22:34:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc84625…
05-10 22:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x704b15…
05-10 22:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x8605a7…
05-10 22:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xe3578c…
05-10 21:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x935e10…
05-10 21:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x45cc29…
05-10 21:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x2468f3…
05-10 21:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xb0379b…
05-10 21:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x4082e8…
05-10 20:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xe0547a…
05-07 22:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbdcc33…
05-07 22:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5b59e4…
05-07 22:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x70172d…
05-07 22:18:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x427652…
05-07 22:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8e848b…
05-07 21:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb71c46…
05-07 20:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9cae47…
05-07 20:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xce3f5a…
05-07 20:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x645299…