Strict-Insectarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$98.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$292

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-07 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Politics

45% 100% +$0

Other

2% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	12	$19.8K	9,910	9,910	+0	open	—	02-10 04:58
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	128	$17.5K	8,301	10,011	-1,710	open	—	02-10 11:18
bitcoin above 76k on february 6	18	$12.6K	6,338	6,338	+0	open	—	02-06 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	12	$8.8K	4,426	4,426	+0	open	—	02-06 16:17
bitcoin above 82k on february 6	2	$6.4K	3,210	3,210	+0	open	—	02-06 09:52
bitcoin above 82k on february 7	5	$6.4K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	02-07 05:42
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	8	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-08 13:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$5.0K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	02-10 11:17
bitcoin above 74k on february 9	22	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-09 12:47
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	11	$2.5K	1,255	1,255	+0	open	—	02-08 12:04
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	5	$1.7K	1,000	705	+295	open	—	02-09 06:20
bitcoin above 80k on february 8	2	$1.5K	765	765	+0	open	—	02-08 04:08
ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	22	$1.2K	1,249	0	+1,249	open	—	02-10 14:01
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	11	$826	417	417	+0	open	—	02-10 05:55
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$421	212	212	+0	open	—	02-12 10:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$267	270	0	+270	open	—	04-05 05:28
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$246	250	0	+250	open	—	03-29 20:28
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	1	$225	225	0	+225	open	—	02-12 11:37
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	2	$200	101	100	+0	open	—	02-19 09:59
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	01-23 03:33
ethereum above 2500 on march 23	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	03-23 12:13
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$200	215	0	+215	open	—	02-27 06:53
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-19 10:02
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	01-30 15:31
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-13 03:32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-23 12:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-18 12:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-09 03:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	06-07 07:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	04-24 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 07:33:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x258208…
05-23 12:32:19	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2045b3…
05-18 12:46:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf974b2…
05-13 04:52:34	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc5bc24…
05-13 04:52:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xe9ad3f…
05-09 03:02:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xd8df05…
05-09 02:56:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1bb6fe…
05-06 11:03:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	120	98¢	$117	0x2722ba…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x5ae8a9…
04-24 06:25:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x8ecffb…
04-22 07:29:20	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4cafd4…
04-14 04:26:07	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2bca3a…
04-05 05:28:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	270	99¢	$267	0xd4c740…
03-29 20:28:48	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0xc0f479…
03-23 12:13:09	ethereum above 2500 on march 23	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x122c91…
03-14 11:19:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb391bb…
03-09 06:44:21	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6781fb…
03-07 12:03:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x48c56e…
03-04 06:26:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4e09b0…
02-27 06:55:38	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd97870…
02-27 06:55:14	lol wb blg 2026 02 27	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa042e2…
02-27 06:53:08	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xd0b8ad…
02-23 07:37:56	bitcoin above 58k on february 23	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xecc7c6…
02-23 07:37:48	will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ff058…
02-19 10:02:12	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xa7833d…
02-19 09:59:52	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5d3933…
02-18 08:31:12	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x20ee50…
02-18 08:30:04	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xfa1d96…
02-18 08:29:32	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd0386d…
02-13 03:32:33	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd4f0bb…
02-13 03:32:09	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xcd8285…
02-12 11:37:15	bitcoin above 58k on february 12	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x3b84ef…
02-12 10:43:33	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	SELL	212	99¢	$211	0x25366b…
02-10 14:47:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f6174…
02-10 14:46:27	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0xe00f22…
02-10 14:43:21	wmb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt57	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3f0795…
02-10 14:28:01	wmb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt57	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b1c0b…
02-10 14:01:51	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x423171…
02-10 14:01:17	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe69eef…
02-10 14:00:49	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe48b95…
02-10 13:58:03	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa72a83…
02-10 13:57:59	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x432f17…
02-10 13:47:11	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2fcd99…
02-10 13:44:09	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70e9d4…
02-10 13:33:31	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x660cae…
02-10 13:10:53	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x41f7ed…
02-10 13:08:17	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x6fef48…
02-10 13:06:39	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x759a8e…
02-10 12:58:15	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb6ead1…
02-10 12:57:23	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0xa8b797…
02-10 12:56:23	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xd8c430…
02-10 12:52:49	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa9c47…
02-10 12:48:07	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcdf86…
02-10 12:46:25	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5a7ee9…
02-10 12:45:05	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc909ac…
02-10 12:28:15	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xd4767a…
02-10 12:28:09	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xbe09ce…
02-10 12:27:41	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 neg1pt06	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x6665ca…
02-10 12:27:07	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0x8b63be…
02-10 12:12:19	ko quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt56	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x75718d…
02-10 11:18:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,256	95¢	$1,199	0xe422f9…
02-10 11:18:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x9dff47…
02-10 11:17:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,233	97¢	$1,195	0xbec9e9…
02-10 10:35:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	179	96¢	$171	0xb0c379…
02-10 10:34:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	464	96¢	$443	0xb89a7f…
02-10 10:34:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x39b053…
02-10 10:34:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x072002…
02-10 10:33:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$57	0x28daac…
02-10 10:33:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xab48bb…
02-10 10:26:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	900	95¢	$858	0x043e7c…
02-10 10:15:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x03dfda…
02-10 10:14:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe06e65…
02-10 10:14:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa95dc9…
02-10 10:14:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4ea027…
02-10 10:14:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa37305…
02-10 10:14:27	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe4c89f…
02-10 10:14:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3d14f8…
02-10 10:13:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	55	96¢	$52	0x519d62…
02-10 10:02:07	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7314bb…
02-10 10:00:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb6905c…
02-10 10:00:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xded8e7…
02-10 10:00:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbf9ee2…
02-10 10:00:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dc942…
02-10 09:59:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b1930…
02-10 09:58:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc685fa…
02-10 09:58:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x94cb0f…
02-10 09:57:57	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	588	96¢	$562	0xcf3faa…
02-10 09:57:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$49	0xe3205b…
02-10 09:55:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbb3fc1…
02-10 09:55:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb69410…
02-10 09:55:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa3ac77…
02-10 09:55:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x613c73…
02-10 09:55:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x412cb0…
02-10 09:55:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x6a9d3f…
02-10 09:52:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	198	96¢	$189	0xe676ab…
02-10 09:52:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x8596d8…
02-10 09:48:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	155	96¢	$148	0x791913…
02-10 09:45:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0xf8c9ea…
02-10 09:45:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x8e93aa…
02-10 09:45:09	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xa178c5…