Glittering-Tunic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$467

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 71% $-26

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Down	$-30	05-13 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$24	55	0	+55	Down	+$16	05-12 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$1	05-12 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	Down	+$0	05-12 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	05-12 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$20	33	0	+33	Down	$-4	05-12 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$20	20	12	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	6	$19	53	10	+43	Down	$-5	05-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$19	21	0	+21	Up	+$2	05-12 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	05-12 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$19	26	8	+18	Up	+$1	05-12 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$18	19	0	+19	Up	+$1	05-12 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$18	21	0	+21	Down	+$3	05-12 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$18	35	0	+35	Down	+$2	05-12 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$17	19	0	+19	Down	+$2	05-12 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$12	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-12 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Down	+$0	05-12 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	Up	+$0	05-12 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-13 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$8	9	0	+9	Up	$-8	05-12 18:13
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-12 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-12 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	Up	+$2	05-12 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-12 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-12 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-12 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	Down	$-5	05-12 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 18:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd118bb…
05-13 10:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x050c08…
05-13 10:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6ce941…
05-13 10:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x0b4e6b…
05-13 10:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1f0ed0…
05-13 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x9ecc3e…
05-13 10:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xb0264d…
05-13 10:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4d5980…
05-13 10:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x25f228…
05-13 10:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6b4b83…
05-13 10:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x45841d…
05-13 10:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf6328e…
05-13 10:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe2598e…
05-13 10:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x421c05…
05-13 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x47da87…
05-13 10:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x6480fa…
05-12 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xc22c4e…
05-12 20:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7713d7…
05-12 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x91e540…
05-12 20:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4e122e…
05-12 20:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0cd2dc…
05-12 20:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x3e4dfd…
05-12 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe20693…
05-12 19:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x113d19…
05-12 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd6fab7…
05-12 19:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5f4849…
05-12 19:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x86debf…
05-12 19:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x89c7bd…
05-12 19:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x28befc…
05-12 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe58f41…
05-12 19:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe04c48…
05-12 19:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x92cf18…
05-12 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x9a3bb8…
05-12 18:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x06bf35…
05-12 18:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x12ee0c…
05-12 18:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x369ba2…
05-12 18:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8cbae8…
05-12 18:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa24b1c…
05-12 18:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xf4648e…
05-12 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc1b140…
05-12 18:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x2d3950…
05-12 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6dec08…
05-12 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x681b4d…
05-12 18:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x69e740…
05-12 18:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x46a12c…
05-12 18:06:20	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0xb1163c…
05-12 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x07de1c…
05-12 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xca7e9d…
05-12 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4fdbae…
05-12 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x83719a…
05-12 17:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb1863a…
05-12 17:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x644f1b…
05-12 17:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb86290…
05-12 17:26:01	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xe7ef43…
05-12 10:30:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf006aa…
05-12 10:29:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x8c39c9…