Clear-Cut-Sabre-Mythology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-19 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 59% $-43

Other

13% — —

Politics

3% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	8	$208	895	718	+177	open	—	04-27 08:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	3	$137	106	101	+5	open	—	04-26 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	6	$101	128	128	+0	Down	+$5	05-10 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	6	$81	63	63	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	5	$65	69	69	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$63	63	62	+0	Up	+$19	05-09 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$56	61	61	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	8	$55	48	48	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	5	$46	87	59	+28	Up	$-0	05-10 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$41	48	38	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$40	77	57	+20	open	—	05-19 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$40	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$39	32	32	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 08:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$37	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$37	48	33	+15	Down	$-3	05-08 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$36	52	52	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on April 27?	2	$36	93	90	+4	open	—	04-27 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$34	48	48	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$34	33	33	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 23:27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$33	237	0	+237	open	—	04-27 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$31	28	28	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$31	59	0	+59	Up	$-31	05-11 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$30	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$30	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$28	33	33	+0	open	—	05-19 23:33
btc updown 5m 1776241200	4	$28	49	19	+30	open	—	04-15 08:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 18:00
btc updown 5m 1776241800	4	$24	128	25	+103	open	—	04-15 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$24	55	13	+41	Up	$-5	05-09 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 23:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5c1762…
05-19 23:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	57	33¢	$19	0xe99d38…
05-19 23:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	34¢	$19	0x08fa6f…
05-19 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xd00919…
05-19 23:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x4fdd2d…
05-19 23:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xed74f7…
05-19 23:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x5a5c41…
05-19 23:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xab48fe…
05-19 23:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xb6802c…
05-19 23:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x2f5997…
05-19 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xa2ed6c…
05-19 23:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf17642…
05-19 23:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x492881…
05-19 23:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x97c1ec…
05-19 23:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xfaeb4c…
05-19 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x02e721…
05-19 23:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xc86642…
05-19 23:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a5214…
05-19 23:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xbe202e…
05-19 23:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x9df6be…
05-19 23:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2b051b…
05-11 18:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	77¢	$21	0x6d4fdf…
05-11 18:00:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x6f80e2…
05-11 18:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x5f3b6f…
05-11 17:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x74156b…
05-11 17:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x5f8c4b…
05-11 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x40894e…
05-11 05:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc885bb…
05-11 05:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xed3cf9…
05-11 05:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe335fb…
05-11 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdb003a…
05-11 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcc092b…
05-11 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xc2704d…
05-11 05:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2de832…
05-11 04:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0xf3b850…
05-11 04:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	39¢	$24	0x4110fd…
05-11 04:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe8d65f…
05-11 04:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xe9013a…
05-11 04:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x0e3318…
05-11 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x98245d…
05-11 04:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x23fd31…
05-11 04:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xa03591…
05-10 10:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x5d856e…
05-10 10:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbcfbd3…
05-10 10:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb2bb8d…
05-10 10:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x2ad5f4…
05-10 10:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7d8352…
05-10 10:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcf8c28…
05-10 10:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1bd496…
05-10 10:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x40146c…
05-10 10:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	26	48¢	$13	0x17b78c…
05-10 10:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xe3b7e3…
05-10 10:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x5f1085…
05-10 10:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xb52586…
05-10 10:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x1019d9…
05-10 10:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdcbf46…
05-10 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x3e8945…
05-10 09:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xf3a0c3…
05-10 09:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xca5ce5…
05-10 07:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0x2e9eaf…
05-10 07:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x9c20fa…
05-10 07:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	45¢	$21	0x7a54c7…
05-10 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0xa9eeff…
05-10 07:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x036752…
05-10 07:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xd3abac…
05-10 07:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x7e6ef1…
05-10 07:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x463f5a…
05-10 07:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x5f9a7b…
05-10 07:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x400803…
05-10 07:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x193668…
05-10 07:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x33f1b5…
05-10 07:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xb1bc86…
05-10 07:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xab98f6…
05-10 07:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd9e6fe…
05-10 07:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x985537…
05-10 07:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x939ed3…
05-10 07:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x26b655…
05-10 07:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9e9317…
05-10 07:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0xb7e0dd…
05-10 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0xfe1bb6…
05-10 07:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xaf8e46…
05-10 07:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x96b47a…
05-10 07:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xaa69fd…
05-10 07:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0x36840b…
05-10 07:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x2c0995…
05-10 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xa43418…
05-10 06:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x269f15…
05-10 06:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x5e5e2b…
05-10 06:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0xb4bf12…
05-10 06:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xb524c6…
05-10 06:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x136e6e…
05-09 02:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0x4d99cc…
05-09 02:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xc928a8…
05-09 02:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x9da06f…
05-09 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	38	71¢	$27	0x91539b…
05-09 02:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0xed2527…
05-09 02:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	56¢	$14	0x6a89a5…
05-09 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xb6252a…
05-09 02:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x33b42c…
05-09 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x9e2489…