Shoddy-Mincemeat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% $-9

Other

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$9	8	4	+3	Down	+$0	05-06 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$7	13	3	+10	Down	$-3	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$7	5	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$6	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-06 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-06 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-06 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-06 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-06 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-06 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-06 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-06 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-06 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-06 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-07 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 03:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe32a9b…
05-07 03:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0c8acd…
05-07 03:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x3bf515…
05-07 03:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x3fdff0…
05-07 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x4c196c…
05-07 03:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x93dd3e…
05-07 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf0d4a0…
05-07 03:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xacc16c…
05-07 03:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x75bcf5…
05-07 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$2	0x71d8cb…
05-07 02:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd36607…
05-07 02:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xef5b0a…
05-07 02:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xdc7ccf…
05-07 02:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x934ced…
05-07 02:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x82236e…
05-07 02:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x724150…
05-07 02:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc3147a…
05-07 02:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0600d4…
05-07 02:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1c2d7a…
05-07 02:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd1975e…
05-07 02:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2fcac3…
05-07 02:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x985fd8…
05-07 02:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x59b06a…
05-07 02:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x889988…
05-07 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x73bee0…
05-07 02:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x24ee95…
05-07 02:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xaab2fd…
05-07 02:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf2d431…
05-07 02:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd8ef61…
05-07 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x6b4d4d…
05-07 02:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x03e157…
05-06 16:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa36809…
05-06 16:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x52d0a0…
05-06 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc98172…
05-06 16:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x2a07ca…
05-06 16:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4a180b…
05-06 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xf0a547…
05-06 16:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x8ce075…
05-06 16:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x12027e…
05-06 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa055c8…
05-06 16:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x329bdb…
05-06 16:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xdc8060…
05-06 16:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xf37204…
05-06 16:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x11b5b1…
05-06 16:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6d9b97…
05-06 16:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xedd7b5…
05-06 16:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x32db98…
05-06 15:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb58501…
05-06 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xd3545d…
05-06 15:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2ce68d…
05-06 15:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1eb10f…
05-06 14:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x713d6f…
05-06 14:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0dc600…
05-06 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x441e9d…
05-06 14:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4fd022…
05-06 14:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x900e31…
05-06 14:36:58	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x784d56…
05-06 14:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfc8f74…
05-06 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x089033…
05-06 14:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x719b61…
05-06 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x32d2b4…
05-06 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x7b245c…
05-06 14:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x03ce1a…
05-06 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x688894…