Firm-Ignorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$195

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-15 19:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-195

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$149	100	100	+0	Down	+$49	05-07 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$118	211	0	+211	Down	$-118	05-07 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$105	210	0	+210	Up	$-105	05-07 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$86	169	0	+169	Down	$-86	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	3	$65	156	0	+156	Down	+$91	05-07 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$62	122	0	+122	Up	+$60	05-07 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$59	116	0	+116	Down	$-59	05-07 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$56	110	0	+110	Down	+$54	05-07 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$56	125	0	+125	Up	$-56	05-07 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$55	106	0	+106	Down	+$51	05-06 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$51	101	0	+101	Down	+$51	05-07 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$50	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Up	$-50	05-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$50	102	0	+102	Up	+$52	05-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	Down	$-50	05-07 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$50	97	0	+97	Down	$-50	05-07 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$51	05-07 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$45	94	0	+94	Down	+$49	05-07 16:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$40	83	0	+83	Down	$-40	05-07 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$40	79	0	+79	Down	+$39	05-06 21:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$32	97	0	+97	Up	$-32	05-07 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$30	60	0	+60	Up	$-30	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$29	69	0	+69	Up	$-29	05-06 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$28	57	0	+57	Up	$-28	05-08 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	05-07 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	+$27	05-07 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Up	$-25	05-07 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$26	05-07 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$25	60	0	+60	Down	$-25	05-07 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$20	34	0	+34	Down	+$14	05-07 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x867054…
05-15 19:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x67b128…
05-15 19:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa0bd2a…
05-08 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x9c2739…
05-08 01:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	14¢	$15	0x931f64…
05-08 00:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xbefb19…
05-07 18:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	155	60¢	$93	0x82584a…
05-07 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x10fb7f…
05-07 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	122	51¢	$62	0x0b3ce0…
05-07 18:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xf9dc9f…
05-07 18:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x32be9c…
05-07 18:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xcd8ab7…
05-07 18:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa2041e…
05-07 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x6c23de…
05-07 18:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xd5cefc…
05-07 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	210	50¢	$105	0x61b201…
05-07 17:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x73dc1f…
05-07 16:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	94	48¢	$45	0xbd9d14…
05-07 15:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$51	0xe771fb…
05-07 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xb419dd…
05-07 15:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xfc06a0…
05-07 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x825004…
05-07 15:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xc68591…
05-07 15:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x93cfa1…
05-07 15:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8d59e4…
05-07 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x53774b…
05-07 15:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xb76249…
05-07 15:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x974c30…
05-07 15:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x50e4e3…
05-07 05:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	169	51¢	$86	0x8678a2…
05-07 04:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xfaa742…
05-07 04:53:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x008c04…
05-07 04:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	116	51¢	$59	0xff9125…
05-07 04:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x64855e…
05-07 04:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x50d513…
05-07 04:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0xe7ce10…
05-07 04:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2b39be…
05-07 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xaa2fb5…
05-07 04:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfcecf8…
05-07 04:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe76304…
05-07 04:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xefb217…
05-07 04:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc0a090…
05-07 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x03961b…
05-07 03:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0x1233f6…
05-06 23:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	69	42¢	$29	0x399344…
05-06 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0xb2a48f…
05-06 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x493ed3…
05-06 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x236324…
05-06 21:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1b3d02…
05-06 21:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9ce97c…
05-06 20:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x38ee45…
05-06 20:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6d02b5…
05-06 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaec30d…