Leading-Airbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,542

lifetime

Volume

$5.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 06-13 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% +$53

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$136	189	+189	open	—	05-14 16:33
btc updown 15m 1777016700	1	$128	216	+216	open	—	04-24 07:55
btc updown 15m 1775660400	1	$128	237	+237	open	—	04-08 15:01
btc updown 15m 1775533500	1	$128	197	+197	open	—	04-07 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$101	160	+160	open	—	05-14 16:15
btc updown 15m 1777015800	1	$64	128	+128	open	—	04-24 07:30
btc updown 15m 1775659500	1	$64	119	+119	open	—	04-08 14:47
btc updown 15m 1775745000	1	$64	108	+108	open	—	04-09 14:30
btc updown 15m 1775532600	1	$64	123	+123	open	—	04-07 03:37
btc updown 15m 1775434500	1	$64	146	+146	open	—	04-06 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$48	81	+81	Down	+$33	05-08 09:15
btc updown 15m 1775658600	1	$32	81	+81	open	—	04-08 14:30
btc updown 15m 1775744100	1	$32	55	+55	open	—	04-09 14:15
btc updown 15m 1775559600	1	$32	63	+63	open	—	04-07 11:00
btc updown 15m 1775791800	1	$32	48	+48	open	—	04-10 03:30
btc updown 15m 1776357000	1	$32	57	+57	open	—	04-16 16:30
btc updown 15m 1775531700	1	$32	75	+75	open	—	04-07 03:15
btc updown 15m 1776953700	1	$32	59	+59	open	—	04-23 14:15
btc updown 15m 1776484800	1	$32	54	+54	open	—	04-18 04:00
btc updown 15m 1775433600	1	$32	88	+88	open	—	04-06 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$32	58	+58	open	—	04-25 11:45
btc updown 15m 1775540700	1	$32	62	+62	open	—	04-07 05:45
btc updown 15m 1776753000	1	$32	59	+59	open	—	04-21 06:30
btc updown 15m 1777014900	1	$32	56	+56	open	—	04-24 07:15
btc updown 15m 1776327300	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	04-16 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$25	98	+98	open	—	05-14 16:00
eth updown 15m 1781253000	1	$25	44	+44	open	—	06-12 08:30
eth updown 15m 1780629300	1	$19	30	+30	open	—	06-05 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$18	31	+31	Up	$-18	05-08 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$17	30	+30	Up	+$13	05-10 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 07:15:04	eth updown 15m 1781421300	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x37c2d5…
06-13 21:18:33	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2aba5c…
06-13 21:03:30	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa5498e…
06-13 21:03:27	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners team away 6pt5	Over	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x68918b…
06-13 20:03:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 corners team away 6pt5	Over	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9a4116…
06-13 15:41:15	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa88862…
06-13 05:45:07	eth updown 15m 1781329500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9399bb…
06-13 00:15:04	eth updown 15m 1781309700	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x42b020…
06-12 21:02:19	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x76632d…
06-12 20:59:36	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xea0b8d…
06-12 20:11:21	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 corners team home 4pt5	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x100896…
06-12 18:30:07	eth updown 15m 1781289000	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x9ec3c3…
06-12 18:15:06	eth updown 15m 1781288100	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x7be67c…
06-12 17:57:18	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf58ee5…
06-12 16:10:57	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x839e29…
06-12 12:45:06	eth updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x3d189a…
06-12 12:30:06	eth updown 15m 1781267400	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6c306a…
06-12 12:15:04	eth updown 15m 1781266500	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xea18a4…
06-12 09:45:04	eth updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x921a87…
06-12 08:30:06	eth updown 15m 1781253000	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x01a45a…
06-12 08:15:06	eth updown 15m 1781252100	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2e5ec0…
06-12 08:00:06	eth updown 15m 1781251200	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbb3fb0…
06-12 07:45:04	eth updown 15m 1781250300	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0200c9…
06-12 06:45:06	eth updown 15m 1781246700	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfe7db8…
06-12 06:30:04	eth updown 15m 1781245800	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xb8f3f5…
06-11 11:30:04	eth updown 15m 1781177400	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c7e4b…
06-10 17:24:28	eth updown 15m 1781111700	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x5b2e32…
06-10 17:19:21	eth updown 15m 1781111700	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xff1b5b…
06-10 17:00:04	eth updown 15m 1781110800	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd87f06…
06-10 14:45:04	eth updown 15m 1781102700	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x8f90d4…
06-10 09:15:06	eth updown 15m 1781082900	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x66c79d…
06-10 09:00:06	eth updown 15m 1781082000	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x5678de…
06-10 08:45:04	eth updown 15m 1781081100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x950b79…
06-08 14:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xabb958…
06-08 11:45:06	eth updown 15m 1780919100	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x523431…
06-08 11:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780918200	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xb4caed…
06-08 09:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780909200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x56d5c9…
06-08 05:15:07	eth updown 15m 1780895700	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xfabb15…
06-08 05:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780894800	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf49b6b…
06-07 19:45:04	eth updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x17395f…
06-07 13:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780839000	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe988ae…
06-07 10:15:04	eth updown 15m 1780827300	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x29eaba…
06-07 09:15:04	eth updown 15m 1780823700	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xe904f7…
06-05 03:15:06	eth updown 15m 1780629300	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xd5d2bc…
06-05 03:00:09	eth updown 15m 1780628400	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x600496…
06-05 02:45:04	eth updown 15m 1780627500	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2162fa…
06-05 01:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780623000	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6a477d…
06-04 23:15:04	eth updown 15m 1780614900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2f8e29…
06-04 22:15:04	eth updown 15m 1780611300	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0c4d52…
06-04 20:30:04	eth updown 15m 1780605000	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x1b7b0c…
06-04 11:15:06	eth updown 15m 1780571700	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x944da3…
06-04 11:00:06	eth updown 15m 1780570800	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa5007f…
06-04 05:30:06	eth updown 15m 1780551000	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4448b1…
06-04 05:15:04	eth updown 15m 1780550100	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xd14c9d…
06-04 04:15:06	eth updown 15m 1780546500	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xa8cf6f…
06-04 04:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780545600	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x0b6aef…
06-04 00:00:09	eth updown 15m 1780531200	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x809417…
06-03 23:45:04	eth updown 15m 1780530300	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x516c87…
06-03 22:00:04	eth updown 15m 1780524000	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xfe9c9c…
06-02 14:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x48bc3a…
06-01 19:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xda6c16…
06-01 17:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xd6acea…
06-01 17:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x8a4fca…
06-01 17:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x39a798…
06-01 14:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3a45a2…
06-01 14:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xee5e0e…
06-01 10:00:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x110b0f…
05-14 16:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	189	72¢	$136	0xcecd78…
05-14 16:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0xcf6fa4…
05-14 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x525b51…
05-14 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$13	0xddf7c4…
05-14 15:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xde37c6…
05-14 15:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x001c57…
05-14 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x10da89…
05-14 13:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xdb489d…
05-14 13:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xddbcca…
05-14 13:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x098d2b…
05-14 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc55beb…
05-14 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x37dc48…
05-14 06:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x665716…
05-14 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfe45ca…
05-14 04:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x38ead6…
05-14 03:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x031562…
05-14 03:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x38d863…
05-13 19:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9109c0…
05-13 18:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7abfb1…
05-13 18:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x82351f…
05-13 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0a32a9…
05-13 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdedba5…
05-13 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x06c199…
05-13 11:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5a0748…
05-13 11:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6f2901…
05-13 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe0a5f5…
05-13 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd06e36…
05-12 18:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x27e205…
05-12 18:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfaf32c…
05-12 11:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x412f69…
05-12 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x85be88…
05-12 10:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1a06df…
05-12 08:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x483e74…