Fumbling-Nail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$9.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-04 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 67% +$2

Other

13% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775141700	1	$330	340	0	+340	open	—	04-02 14:59
btc updown 5m 1775140800	1	$323	330	0	+330	open	—	04-02 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775132100	1	$320	324	0	+324	open	—	04-02 12:18
btc updown 5m 1775131500	1	$318	321	0	+321	open	—	04-02 12:09
btc updown 5m 1775125500	1	$309	318	0	+318	open	—	04-02 10:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	33	$297	167	167	+0	open	—	04-02 04:31
btc updown 5m 1775125200	1	$296	310	0	+310	open	—	04-02 10:24
btc updown 5m 1775123700	1	$291	297	0	+297	open	—	04-02 09:59
btc updown 5m 1775123100	1	$283	292	0	+292	open	—	04-02 09:48
btc updown 5m 1775122500	1	$278	283	0	+283	open	—	04-02 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775121900	1	$270	278	0	+278	open	—	04-02 09:27
btc updown 5m 1775121300	1	$262	270	0	+270	open	—	04-02 09:19
btc updown 5m 1775119800	1	$257	263	0	+263	open	—	04-02 08:54
lol nip edg 2026 01 28	5	$230	219	148	+71	open	—	01-28 13:47
btc updown 5m 1775119200	1	$224	260	0	+260	open	—	04-02 08:44
btc updown 5m 1775118600	1	$222	224	0	+224	open	—	04-02 08:34
btc updown 5m 1775118300	1	$220	222	0	+222	open	—	04-02 08:29
btc updown 5m 1775118000	1	$216	220	0	+220	open	—	04-02 08:24
btc updown 5m 1775117700	1	$214	216	0	+216	open	—	04-02 08:18
btc updown 5m 1775116200	1	$204	214	0	+214	open	—	04-02 07:55
btc updown 5m 1775115600	1	$198	204	0	+204	open	—	04-02 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775114700	1	$196	198	0	+198	open	—	04-02 07:29
btc updown 5m 1775113500	1	$192	196	0	+196	open	—	04-02 07:09
btc updown 5m 1775113200	1	$178	194	0	+194	open	—	04-02 07:04
btc updown 5m 1775112900	1	$175	178	0	+178	open	—	04-02 06:59
btc updown 5m 1775112600	1	$169	175	0	+175	open	—	04-02 06:54
btc updown 5m 1775111700	1	$165	169	0	+169	open	—	04-02 06:38
btc updown 5m 1775110200	1	$163	165	0	+165	open	—	04-02 06:14
btc updown 5m 1775109900	1	$160	164	0	+164	open	—	04-02 06:09
btc updown 5m 1775109300	1	$159	160	0	+160	open	—	04-02 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:33:34	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Up	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x0f6eed…
06-04 14:32:27	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe3731d…
06-04 14:29:49	btc updown 5m 1780583400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2ca9b2…
06-01 13:22:00	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9742f0…
05-31 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7fb874…
05-31 02:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf05f6a…
05-31 02:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfe7167…
05-31 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x941987…
05-13 15:05:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3f648c…
05-13 15:04:40	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x158853…
05-13 12:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5aa65b…
05-13 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x77db31…
05-13 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x52b420…
05-13 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8370ec…
05-13 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xc4f7b0…
05-13 05:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x55d69a…
05-11 16:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40dc44…
05-11 14:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xf47189…
05-11 14:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbce17f…
05-11 14:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8b2240…
05-11 13:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x612421…
05-11 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7a5c87…
05-11 13:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x2d4824…
05-11 13:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0a7420…
05-11 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8e0ed1…
04-30 09:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x865fe2…
04-30 09:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1c6024…
04-30 09:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb85b3e…
04-30 09:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f79bb…
04-30 09:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2a1c83…
04-30 08:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe7ce6c…
04-30 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x1c3812…
04-30 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x070db8…
04-28 06:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x400e6d…
04-28 05:15:40	Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in April 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf38f38…
04-28 05:15:16	Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5ff9ec…
04-28 05:13:26	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa4d412…
04-28 05:13:06	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x994e8b…
04-27 15:37:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd6ea70…
04-25 13:05:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x1e4f12…
04-25 13:04:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd7dfa6…
04-25 12:51:42	Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x56afc2…
04-25 12:38:46	Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2030ff…
04-25 12:05:54	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x9c0d2b…
04-25 12:03:46	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x600a59…
04-25 11:17:22	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x1b65f0…
04-25 11:16:42	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xed2ac2…
04-25 11:07:00	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x386c0c…
04-25 11:03:52	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd79c6b…
04-25 11:00:22	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xc0f83e…
04-25 10:56:40	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb9ed48…
04-25 10:48:52	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc43bba…
04-25 09:31:14	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x357b35…
04-25 08:34:56	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xe215c1…
04-25 08:31:18	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa9f3c6…
04-25 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x061175…
04-25 06:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x872ec2…
04-25 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x50e10b…
04-25 05:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0612ff…
04-25 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x495162…
04-25 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x14ba69…
04-25 05:12:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe002ed…
04-24 16:16:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x005c20…
04-24 16:11:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x378bb8…
04-24 15:58:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd87ff7…
04-24 15:56:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xe6e87c…
04-24 15:52:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x26c2ea…
04-24 15:47:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x21c1b2…
04-24 15:30:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf6ea8a…
04-24 15:17:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6692a6…
04-24 15:16:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf7ae5d…
04-24 15:02:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xff6aa5…
04-24 14:47:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8d6387…
04-24 06:23:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x650068…
04-24 06:23:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd4c2a6…
04-24 06:07:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x282036…
04-24 06:07:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x36dceb…
04-24 05:55:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x817796…
04-24 05:52:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa5903b…
04-24 05:42:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd66a77…
04-24 05:42:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdf1f4a…
04-24 05:40:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7b58e3…
04-24 05:35:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x41ece9…
04-24 05:32:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xef9453…
04-24 05:29:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9f6314…
04-24 04:16:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x515b45…
04-24 04:10:00	btc updown 5m 1777003800	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xa402bd…
04-24 04:07:50	btc updown 5m 1777003800	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcf84b8…
04-23 16:40:16	btc updown 5m 1776962400	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7adf88…
04-23 16:39:48	btc updown 5m 1776962400	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e5617…
04-23 16:30:18	btc updown 5m 1776961800	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xcb9150…
04-23 16:28:42	btc updown 5m 1776961800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7e8e02…
04-23 15:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776958200	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xad2078…
04-23 15:29:00	btc updown 5m 1776958200	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbb84b0…
04-23 15:16:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xefeb04…
04-23 15:16:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7c1176…
04-23 15:11:24	btc updown 5m 1776957000	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x620d12…
04-22 07:39:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1733fa…
04-22 07:37:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9e408e…
04-22 07:31:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x82ef8a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	134	$79.1K	2,534	06-04 14:35
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	129	$52.9K	15,190	06-04 14:34
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	129	$47.1K	9,148	06-04 14:33
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	129	$40.0K	6,346	06-04 14:34
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	129	$34.7K	12,908	06-04 14:34
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	128	$22.3K	2,046	06-04 14:34
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	128	$9.62K	2,957	06-04 14:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	126	$354.3K	13,969	06-04 14:34