Nervous-Regime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

Trades

594

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-26 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$14

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$70	38	38	+0	open	—	05-19 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	16	$59	58	39	+18	Up	$-1	05-07 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-19 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$51	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	13	$50	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$47	28	28	+0	open	—	05-20 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$46	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	05-20 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	15	$45	74	74	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	13	$42	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	16	$38	29	29	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	15	$36	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	9	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	15	$33	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	12	$31	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	11	$30	26	11	+16	Up	+$3	05-08 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	13	$29	25	22	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-21 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	12	$28	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	12	$27	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	9	$26	26	26	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	6	$25	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	05-20 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	12	$25	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	6	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	10	$23	24	24	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$22	16	16	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 22:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef1a92…
05-26 22:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1c0aca…
05-24 06:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2c08cf…
05-24 06:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x71ca67…
05-24 06:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6fc984…
05-24 06:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7ca1ac…
05-24 06:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd98131…
05-24 06:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd1f0fc…
05-24 06:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4b4dc7…
05-24 06:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x324d9b…
05-24 06:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9eef4…
05-24 06:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0ce60f…
05-24 06:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x756a9d…
05-24 06:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb46fd3…
05-24 06:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7ba65b…
05-24 06:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cd33f…
05-24 06:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd33618…
05-24 06:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7b4575…
05-24 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x8c6a23…
05-24 06:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa6762f…
05-24 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x83af61…
05-24 06:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x63e88e…
05-24 06:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x3656a6…
05-24 06:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc4cdf1…
05-24 05:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xc7c7fd…
05-24 05:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x9424af…
05-24 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8f9b55…
05-24 05:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x069426…
05-24 05:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x201106…
05-24 05:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc074d7…
05-24 05:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0ec954…
05-24 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x409c64…
05-24 05:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x439a4e…
05-24 05:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xa6a874…
05-24 05:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x49b458…
05-24 05:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x642454…
05-24 05:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x973995…
05-24 05:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6b6e27…
05-24 05:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xdf606d…
05-24 05:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xddaf12…
05-24 05:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9c9235…
05-24 05:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x82bc93…
05-24 05:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1492ab…
05-24 05:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x4a228a…
05-24 05:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$2	0x43c4e9…
05-24 05:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x126192…
05-21 04:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x639060…
05-21 04:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x37d18f…
05-21 04:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x71ba6a…
05-21 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ed2db…
05-21 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75f61b…
05-21 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x097db7…
05-21 04:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3665d3…
05-21 04:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x399d39…
05-21 04:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x990d5f…
05-21 04:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xec6970…
05-21 04:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x594801…
05-21 04:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf87bc9…
05-21 04:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf22cae…
05-21 04:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x833de0…
05-21 04:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xe9b9b8…
05-21 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd84324…
05-21 04:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x230abe…
05-21 04:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa2a6e5…
05-21 04:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x64aa73…
05-21 04:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57e7bf…
05-21 04:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x477f3d…
05-21 04:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd94530…
05-21 04:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xb1a66f…
05-21 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x9b6bec…
05-21 04:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3d1b83…
05-21 04:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x26d5b0…
05-21 04:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x000e0e…
05-21 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x892c8d…
05-21 03:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcf6d17…
05-20 21:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x59c232…
05-20 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x243df4…
05-20 21:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x433477…
05-20 21:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x272a0b…
05-20 21:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x08fcb6…
05-20 10:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xa5b961…
05-20 10:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x886310…
05-20 10:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x51806a…
05-20 10:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xd3f26c…
05-20 10:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x2e8c7e…
05-20 10:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x54f980…
05-20 10:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x20d358…
05-20 10:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0ba28f…
05-20 10:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xb7cb8f…
05-20 10:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5660c1…
05-20 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xee1c75…
05-20 10:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4c00f8…
05-20 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x0a6f01…
05-20 10:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x673662…
05-20 10:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x882bd1…
05-20 10:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xe67218…
05-20 10:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6a68c5…
05-20 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x0c2f51…
05-19 23:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x4c6be5…
05-19 23:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x3acf3d…