Sturdy-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.9%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$241

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-18 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% +$156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$27	26	26	+0	Down	+$24	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	5	$21	35	34	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	9	$15	40	40	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$9	15	15	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	8	$8	43	3	+40	open	—	04-30 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	7	$7	525	0	+525	Up	$-7	05-06 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$6	135	2	+134	Down	$-4	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	6	$6	87	0	+87	Up	$-6	05-06 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	3	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$5	157	0	+157	Up	$-5	05-06 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	5	$5	337	0	+337	Up	$-5	05-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$5	139	0	+139	Up	$-5	05-06 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$5	217	0	+217	Down	$-5	05-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$4	47	12	+34	Up	$-1	05-07 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$4	16	3	+12	Down	$-0	05-06 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$4	85	0	+85	Up	$-4	05-06 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$3	64	0	+64	Up	$-3	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$3	28	3	+25	Down	$-1	05-06 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$3	28	3	+25	Down	$-1	05-06 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$3	33	2	+31	Up	$-1	05-07 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$3	27	2	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$3	638	0	+638	Down	$-3	05-06 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$3	133	0	+133	Down	$-3	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 01:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb74751…
05-13 01:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x514ff1…
05-12 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xca4931…
05-12 20:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88f45b…
05-12 20:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x78a536…
05-12 20:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x0e352d…
05-12 20:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xca40d7…
05-12 20:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1f4a6d…
05-12 19:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x43ccc0…
05-12 19:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4417f8…
05-12 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x75cbf6…
05-12 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6282d8…
05-12 19:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x051d0e…
05-12 19:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8fcf25…
05-12 19:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd98351…
05-12 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f00a4…
05-12 19:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb92095…
05-07 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	243	0¢	$1	0x7f8358…
05-07 01:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xa1258f…
05-07 01:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0x65cecd…
05-07 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xedb113…
05-07 01:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc09502…
05-07 01:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd3fad0…
05-07 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x76bcfb…
05-07 01:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x54436d…
05-07 01:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6176d9…
05-07 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xda2381…
05-07 01:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xad39ae…
05-07 01:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x3b8a08…
05-07 01:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xb485a9…
05-07 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xc315b4…
05-07 01:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xa264fa…
05-07 01:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x16482f…
05-07 01:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaba2fe…
05-07 01:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9adc4f…
05-07 00:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x79757b…
05-07 00:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x86c918…
05-07 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x08af78…
05-07 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x37fa2d…
05-07 00:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xc52ce4…
05-07 00:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf0c702…
05-07 00:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0x559826…
05-07 00:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x425747…
05-07 00:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x53d509…
05-07 00:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe2798f…
05-07 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xa0e2bb…
05-07 00:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4412fc…
05-07 00:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x310415…
05-07 00:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x23721b…
05-07 00:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x116309…
05-07 00:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5a3a70…
05-06 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf39552…
05-06 22:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d828b…
05-06 20:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe3ecf0…
05-06 20:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x488bf3…
05-06 20:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x03fc36…
05-06 20:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaa9750…
05-06 20:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xf486c1…
05-06 20:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdada71…
05-06 20:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd61e0b…
05-06 20:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xffd8fb…
05-06 20:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5b5d3…
05-06 20:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdccc67…
05-06 20:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x71144e…
05-06 20:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc437dc…
05-06 20:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x505a90…
05-06 20:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa6b321…
05-06 20:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63c903…
05-06 20:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6aece…
05-06 19:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfae1fe…
05-06 19:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x429120…
05-06 19:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf74ac6…
05-06 19:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25acb1…
05-06 19:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa40ddb…
05-06 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfe240b…
05-06 19:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe20c5…
05-06 19:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb00f7…
05-06 19:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x909243…
05-06 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa10fe8…
05-06 19:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9eea4d…
05-06 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa9465…
05-06 19:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8635c8…
05-06 19:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9acb44…
05-06 19:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0x8491a0…
05-06 19:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc5feed…
05-06 19:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe715a7…
05-06 19:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x79d790…
05-06 19:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xed9db8…
05-06 19:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x320d70…
05-06 19:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd4e0e9…
05-06 19:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd46efc…
05-06 19:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x40b0f8…
05-06 19:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xa9131e…
05-06 19:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x777fd9…
05-06 19:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6c521a…
05-06 19:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x15c0df…
05-06 19:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0e629a…
05-06 19:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x180593…
05-06 19:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$7	0x8215f7…
05-06 19:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa5cb51…