Late-Furnace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$259

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-05 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	13	$18	184	34	+150	open	—	05-03 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$12	507	7	+500	open	—	05-03 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	5	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	5	$8	222	22	+200	Up	$-6	05-05 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	6	$7	76	9	+67	open	—	05-03 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$6	122	22	+100	open	—	05-04 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$5	38	4	+33	open	—	05-03 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$4	2	4	-2	open	—	05-04 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$3	502	2	+500	open	—	05-04 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$3	202	0	+202	open	—	05-03 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$3	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	3	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 02:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8e9206…
05-05 02:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x4a2817…
05-05 02:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x6a80f8…
05-05 02:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x4b62b8…
05-05 02:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x526555…
05-05 01:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xda5203…
05-05 01:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3facb0…
05-05 00:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x36a698…
05-05 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2005e9…
05-04 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x2adf90…
05-04 21:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x277680…
05-04 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8b0692…
05-04 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0b5cf…
05-04 17:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x9d0793…
05-04 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x044d1f…
05-04 17:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0881a2…
05-04 09:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xb789ca…
05-04 09:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x15d11f…
05-04 06:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xc607b9…
05-04 06:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf72f73…
05-04 05:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x2ea051…
05-04 05:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5b62c2…
05-04 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xe5439a…
05-04 05:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb9f0b6…
05-04 04:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x833765…
05-04 02:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3f94e5…
05-04 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc53fd9…
05-04 02:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x2bc309…
05-04 02:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5c7f6…
05-04 02:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0455bb…
05-04 02:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x25c515…
05-04 01:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0be9ff…
05-04 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xe0d339…
05-04 01:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x83d9a7…
05-04 01:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6abb58…
05-04 01:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x8791d4…
05-04 01:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x89b5e8…
05-04 00:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cb6b0…
05-04 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf946bc…
05-04 00:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8bc364…
05-04 00:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xaac32d…
05-04 00:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x16cfc9…
05-04 00:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0cc94a…
05-04 00:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x37b7c8…
05-03 23:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x0cb932…
05-03 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb1612d…
05-03 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x0d8143…
05-03 23:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcf188d…
05-03 23:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x691f20…
05-03 23:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x14a47f…
05-03 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x130d76…
05-03 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x324de1…
05-03 23:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x6cb335…
05-03 23:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa05de4…
05-03 23:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x9e6a40…
05-03 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xca1ab7…
05-03 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x90b583…
05-03 23:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb3f98e…
05-03 23:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x04415c…
05-03 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x816bbe…
05-03 13:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x186ce9…
05-03 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd64aef…
05-03 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x6deaf1…
05-03 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x079915…
05-03 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x80270c…
05-03 12:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xf15376…
05-03 12:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x2cdb0d…
05-03 11:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xdab856…
05-03 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x37288c…
05-03 11:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x9077c6…
05-03 11:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x92f233…
05-03 11:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe9e610…
05-03 11:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x86a7aa…
05-03 11:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb3f9e…
05-03 11:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9712bf…
05-03 11:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf11266…
05-03 11:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6dde47…
05-03 11:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x6298d0…
05-03 11:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4598a3…
05-03 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x75269b…
05-03 11:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x906892…
05-03 11:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xd664a6…
05-03 11:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5939e2…
05-03 11:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xb832a9…
05-03 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc0398f…
05-03 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0ebf2b…
05-03 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xef6937…
05-03 10:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd30df2…
05-03 10:46:38	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xbd72ee…
05-03 10:46:06	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe9d286…
05-03 08:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa16d7c…
05-03 08:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x43b547…
05-03 07:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xd00d81…
05-03 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x32335f…
05-03 07:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa88157…
05-03 06:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x8f27c9…
05-03 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x65c09c…
05-03 06:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x804542…
05-03 06:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5bdf2e…
05-03 06:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfb9a4a…