Experienced-Urn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.0%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$575

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-30 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 36% $-42

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-28 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	6	$14	32	18	+14	Down	$-4	05-06 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	04-28 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	5	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-26 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	04-29 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-28 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-02 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$10	10	4	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$9	15	3	+12	Up	$-5	05-06 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$8	13	8	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 14:34
wrestlefest oba femi vs brock lesnar	3	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$7	12	0	+12	Down	$-7	05-05 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	Up	$-4	05-05 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	72	0	+72	open	—	04-28 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	04-28 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$5	12	3	+9	Down	$-1	05-06 02:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 21:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 17:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1d14c7…
05-30 17:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6206e8…
05-30 17:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbe005a…
05-30 17:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xeda5a1…
05-30 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x8d77b9…
05-30 17:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc1505d…
05-30 17:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ee2c2…
05-30 16:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd5b682…
05-30 16:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc56bdb…
05-30 16:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8d729e…
05-06 03:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac297b…
05-06 03:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x7d4e20…
05-06 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x140cfe…
05-06 03:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x609e27…
05-06 03:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x23331f…
05-06 03:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x412ffb…
05-06 03:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x38a17b…
05-06 03:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xde21e3…
05-06 03:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x81da64…
05-06 03:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6d73c8…
05-06 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4c8187…
05-06 03:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x92f097…
05-06 03:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x638be8…
05-06 03:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0xd1cc92…
05-06 03:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7b7837…
05-06 03:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xa101a0…
05-06 03:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x80abcc…
05-06 03:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4b1324…
05-06 02:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd77d04…
05-06 02:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1cd48c…
05-06 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1ee710…
05-06 02:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x52d50d…
05-06 02:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x14521c…
05-06 02:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xde98df…
05-06 02:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xe5b8c4…
05-06 02:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd3979d…
05-06 02:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa6dcef…
05-06 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x50f725…
05-06 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1eb5d8…
05-06 02:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x09b6d5…
05-06 02:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x7315d6…
05-06 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa59082…
05-06 01:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcd904d…
05-06 01:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x32b722…
05-06 01:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x59bbec…
05-06 00:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbaab7c…
05-05 23:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x540e8d…
05-05 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x812384…
05-05 23:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1a88eb…
05-05 21:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7d56a2…
05-05 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xffe074…
05-05 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x853d57…
05-05 19:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9be561…
05-05 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x84ae1b…
05-05 19:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf63d22…
05-05 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x067ebf…
05-05 19:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xa7e6b8…
05-05 19:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x020689…
05-05 19:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9d8f43…
05-05 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x61ad3c…
05-05 16:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x48a3f5…
05-05 16:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb58159…
05-05 16:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x296a65…
05-05 15:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x469467…
05-05 15:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa00ff2…
05-05 15:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x905953…
05-05 15:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc4c62…
05-05 15:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x7cf7b1…
05-05 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2c28f2…
05-05 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3ccf0d…
05-05 15:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x96d1b5…
05-05 15:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x704be1…
05-05 14:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x37da52…
05-05 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x84700a…
05-05 14:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x63efee…
05-05 14:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x17e316…
05-05 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x480b5b…
05-05 14:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0x85b0a7…
05-05 14:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x9fc08a…
05-05 14:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd68f80…
05-05 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4dac2b…
05-05 14:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb3c7d1…
05-05 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xf94633…
05-05 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x9a48fc…
05-05 14:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf86d89…
05-05 14:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe5b6e3…
05-05 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa7dafb…
05-05 14:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x969b92…
05-05 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1f8270…
05-05 13:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x20121c…
05-05 13:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa24727…
05-05 13:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6c1290…
05-05 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x66f09c…
05-05 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x3a9995…
05-05 13:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x660d12…
05-05 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x313031…
05-05 12:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x80b1ae…
05-05 01:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf89503…
05-05 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x128e2e…
05-05 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa21c21…