Red-Swordfight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-29 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$0

Politics

28% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$163	4,780	4,780	+0	open	—	02-24 14:59
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$137	2,021	2,021	+0	open	—	02-24 12:43
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 13:02
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 09:54
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 12:42
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-08 10:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 08:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-05 18:20
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-04 14:52
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-03 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-31 07:34
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-30 12:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-29 07:40
bitcoin above 60k on march 28	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-28 05:58
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-26 09:09
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-25 16:37
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-23 08:04
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-22 11:49
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 12:13
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-19 10:09
will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-18 15:22
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 09:51
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-07 16:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 17:45
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 10:45
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	07-03 08:23
bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	07-01 18:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-23 11:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 10:51:03	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb11347…
07-28 15:28:34	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcc97d3…
07-16 11:50:44	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3d0ef8…
07-07 17:54:44	bitcoin above 70k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdc07b…
07-03 08:23:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3cf276…
07-01 18:40:47	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x18ee7e…
06-19 11:43:01	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4c904…
06-12 13:03:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b9264…
06-11 01:35:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43139f…
06-06 11:39:06	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07c3d5…
06-04 10:00:07	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330f03…
05-28 02:26:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d46ca…
05-23 11:26:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd12d7b…
05-18 14:33:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0aea7f…
05-14 09:34:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x12349d…
05-13 12:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x880b0c…
05-13 12:29:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xcc32c8…
05-10 10:11:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc6488b…
05-09 14:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2e6658…
05-03 08:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9603ef…
04-27 09:39:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x844928…
04-26 12:32:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfa91d…
04-24 12:25:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f8e32…
04-24 10:10:36	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9400ff…
04-23 09:59:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27bc56…
04-22 14:26:50	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe45523…
04-21 09:47:50	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb37871…
04-20 13:41:04	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x260f13…
04-19 14:06:04	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x538315…
04-19 14:02:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x636af5…
04-18 13:48:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ee366…
04-17 13:00:44	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x69e24a…
04-15 12:46:38	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc161f3…
04-14 13:20:01	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8be7d…
04-13 09:17:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x2efeb6…
04-13 00:54:17	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd39c03…
04-12 13:02:19	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x32f2b1…
04-10 09:54:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0da14c…
04-09 12:42:49	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfc15cd…
04-08 10:30:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x189a5f…
04-07 08:30:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf33db3…
04-05 18:20:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x58587a…
04-04 14:52:13	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x510f0c…
04-03 15:06:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x476ff7…
04-01 04:04:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5e9321…
03-31 07:34:11	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6778bb…
03-30 12:00:36	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x304948…
03-29 07:40:20	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x03c66d…
03-28 05:58:37	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbf2fff…
03-26 09:09:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x91434f…
03-25 16:37:27	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x13f228…
03-24 10:45:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaac941…
03-23 08:04:01	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd5a9b8…
03-22 11:49:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0d8da3…
03-21 12:13:41	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe535a9…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf78f02…
03-19 10:09:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x295db8…
03-18 15:22:15	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc3c881…
03-13 17:45:49	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x43fdb7…
03-12 09:51:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xde28b3…
03-07 16:29:53	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6bad1…
03-02 15:55:25	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2fde91…
02-24 14:59:26	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	3,150	2¢	$54	0xd1ae96…
02-24 14:59:00	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	3,150	2¢	$54	0x8da009…
02-24 13:41:54	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	1,630	2¢	$28	0xe14ba6…
02-24 13:32:36	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,630	2¢	$28	0x300d69…
02-24 12:43:40	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,274	3¢	$43	0x3e43d8…
02-24 12:42:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	140	3¢	$5	0xaa8e4e…
02-24 12:42:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xa59321…
02-24 12:42:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x57d4eb…
02-24 12:42:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x31ed51…
02-24 12:42:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x11cb9c…
02-24 12:36:00	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	410	3¢	$14	0x33b62f…
02-24 12:07:02	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,021	3¢	$69	0x9b33b1…