Steel-Noon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-26 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-1

Sports

16% — —

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$668	334	334	+0	No	$-0	04-21 07:14
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$646	323	323	+0	open	—	04-08 09:04
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	03-26 10:30
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$478	240	240	+0	No	$-0	03-25 06:16
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	2	$462	231	231	+0	open	—	03-26 19:15
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-04 17:20
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$398	199	199	+0	open	—	03-22 11:50
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$374	187	187	+0	open	—	03-20 09:38
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$344	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 16:56
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	03-27 12:24
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	03-27 02:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	04-26 08:40
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$308	155	155	+0	open	—	03-31 15:06
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$288	144	144	+0	open	—	03-24 11:03
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$278	139	139	+0	open	—	04-07 22:00
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	136	136	+0	No	$-0	04-01 17:07
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$264	132	132	+0	open	—	04-24 19:21
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	03-28 08:25
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	$-0	04-14 15:39
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	04-06 16:37
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	$-0	04-05 17:09
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 22:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-15 09:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	04-08 02:22
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	1	$38	43	0	+43	open	—	03-27 23:12
nba uta den 2026 03 27	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	03-27 23:13
nba dal por 2026 03 27	1	$38	46	0	+46	open	—	03-27 23:13
nba phi mia 2026 03 30	1	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	03-30 21:50
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	1	$29	53	0	+53	open	—	03-23 19:16
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-05 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 08:40:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x0f88b7…
04-24 19:21:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xedd094…
04-24 19:21:02	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xef5cac…
04-24 16:05:42	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x23451b…
04-21 07:14:22	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x90f560…
04-21 01:36:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd66cda…
04-15 09:16:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x220825…
04-15 07:43:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xdc3cd0…
04-14 15:39:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0xa660db…
04-14 09:34:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x83373c…
04-13 22:21:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x91f51e…
04-13 18:32:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f1100…
04-08 09:04:05	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xf27ef4…
04-08 05:51:19	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x691f72…
04-08 02:22:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xb237ff…
04-08 00:18:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xff1039…
04-07 22:00:15	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x0f55d2…
04-07 18:04:45	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x801ba3…
04-07 10:29:35	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x048a23…
04-07 04:39:55	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x1ed1dc…
04-06 16:37:17	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xb7c618…
04-06 14:37:57	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x498781…
04-05 17:09:49	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xf9a820…
04-05 14:17:03	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x9ced07…
04-04 17:20:09	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xd08bba…
04-04 15:33:15	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa5b27d…
04-04 13:13:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x29a8a3…
04-04 09:00:15	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x24564a…
04-01 17:07:51	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0xe4256a…
04-01 13:10:17	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xe3f8db…
04-01 05:01:09	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xd7a89c…
04-01 01:00:03	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb4b83a…
03-31 21:10:13	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Raptors	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x7b1f72…
03-31 21:09:45	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Rockets	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x54c279…
03-31 21:09:13	nba phx orl 2026 03 31	Suns	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb7f769…
03-31 15:06:31	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0x3280be…
03-31 06:53:39	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$154	0xddd5f4…
03-30 21:51:45	nba phx mem 2026 03 30	Grizzlies	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0xc6c919…
03-30 21:51:15	nba min dal 2026 03 30	Mavericks	BUY	47	26¢	$12	0x1cac0b…
03-30 21:50:43	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	76ers	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x11bb54…
03-28 08:25:37	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x0f843a…
03-28 02:52:55	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x3f31c9…
03-27 23:13:37	nba dal por 2026 03 27	Trail Blazers	BUY	46	82¢	$38	0x1a5402…
03-27 23:13:09	nba uta den 2026 03 27	Nuggets	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x8be2ee…
03-27 23:12:35	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Rockets	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x628a9c…
03-27 12:24:51	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x87f203…
03-27 07:16:07	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x673538…
03-27 02:08:39	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0xce79f4…
03-26 20:59:13	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x292cd9…
03-26 19:15:59	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x1ca5f4…
03-26 15:46:45	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x947c72…
03-26 10:30:17	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xb77b77…
03-26 05:08:19	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x4e5835…
03-25 20:47:19	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Nets	BUY	53	16¢	$8	0x459531…
03-25 20:46:49	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Pacers	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xb31f2a…
03-25 20:46:27	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x4b2ca2…
03-25 16:39:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xd1eb69…
03-25 06:16:45	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xe8cc80…
03-25 01:05:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xadd626…
03-24 20:27:53	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x937903…
03-24 11:03:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xd4327b…
03-24 05:44:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x2a0193…
03-23 19:16:13	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	53	54¢	$29	0xd29799…
03-23 19:15:45	nba bkn por 2026 03 23	Trail Blazers	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x503fd0…
03-23 19:15:13	nba ind orl 2026 03 23	Pacers	BUY	42	14¢	$6	0x95b67b…
03-22 16:56:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0xf59146…
03-22 11:51:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x6167ab…
03-22 11:50:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xa3119c…
03-22 06:37:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xf3b3dc…
03-20 09:38:27	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x9fd68b…
03-17 17:15:13	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xb22685…
03-14 18:37:19	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Nuggets	BUY	37	58¢	$21	0x13f6ba…
03-14 18:36:53	nba cha sas 2026 03 14	Spurs	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0xca7f47…
03-14 18:36:21	nba orl mia 2026 03 14	Magic	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0xf93ca7…
03-08 13:30:03	nba det mia 2026 03 08	Pistons	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x47ea70…
03-08 13:29:37	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Pacers	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xaa7baa…
03-08 13:29:09	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Wizards	BUY	39	21¢	$8	0x18243b…
03-05 10:02:43	Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x78e8c6…
02-26 10:55:26	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xc51f64…